Can someone explain how any D1 coach can have three years to at least maintain a status quo of competence and somehow bring the team to an epic low, and yet still have people advocating for him?
How did Minnesota get to be this bad in three years. This is new territory bad, and that's saying something for a mediocre program.
The team he took over finished 8-10 in the B1G the year before he was hired and was losing 3 of its top 6 or so players to graduation (Mbawke, Williams, and Welch). It was going to have to play Andre Hollins at PG, it had no known option at PF, and Mo Walker was north of 300lbs and a non contributor. Flash forward a year and Richard Pitino was able to match that 8-10 record despite losing Andre Hollins to injury for a few crucial games. The second year was a major disappointment, but how much of that was on coaching is certainly up for debate. Following that second season, Richard landed his best recruiting class to date with Coffey, Hurt, and Curry. For the first time in a long time, the Gophers got the top player in Minnesota to commit to them in back to back season (unfortunately Jarvis won't play). The third season has been a disaster. I think most people realized there was a good chance for this season to be bad, but very few if any saw this disaster coming. I can think of one poster who is consistently defending Pitino, but I've also seen some fairly strong Pitino defenders start to waver on him in the last week. The last two games and 8 minutes or so have really been hard to digest. First you had the inexcusable meltdown against Penn State, then a historic loss to Northwestern, followed by another pathetic effort at Nebraska. The program has seemingly hit a new rock bottom every game recently.
I am not going to advocate for Pitino, because I don't think a coach who can't get guys to at least play hard deserves that. However, I'd rather seem him stick around for next season for the following reasons assuming we don't have a slam dunk hire waiting in the wings (attached to an AD candidate?).
1. Keeping the 2016 class together. This team lacks talent and I'd hate to see us lose a very good class and use two or three more scholarships on Spring recruits. Amir Coffey is the highest ranked kid to choose Minnesota in a while (since Royce?) and Eric Curry gives us yet another Rivals 150 kid to add to Dorsey, McBrayer, and Murphy. There was a time early in Richard's tenure where I believe Andre Hollins was the only Rivals 150 kid on the entire roster. EDIT: Mo Walker was also a top 150 kid, so we had two guys.
2. Maybe he's learning on the job. A number of posters suggested Pitino would need to learn on the job, but most were focused on X's and O's when they made that statement. I'd look at recruiting. I think Pitino overestimated his ability to turn projects in to players or possibly more accurately how many projects he could handle at one time. Morris needed to gain weight and become comfortable in a more structured system (played in a bad zone at Chipola) while Bakary and Gas needed work in virtually every area other than being tall. Instead of taking guys with lower ceilings, but a better base of skills, Pitino went for the upside pick most of the time. When you put these three on the team with Buggs, all of a sudden you've got four of your ten players who really need a lot of work on fundamental basketball. I think it's possible that only one or two of these guys are on the roster next year despite only Morris exhausting his eligibility. Pitino is to blame for his roster construction (don't forget Josh Martin or Daquein McNeil), but maybe it is getting better.
3. Transfers: I am very skeptical of Reggie Lynch and Davonte Fitzgerald. We have recent history of Pitino hyping Zach Lofton that by itself is enough to be skeptical of how much help Lynch and Fitzgerald will bring. Going back further, I can't think of a single Gopher transfer who met or exceeded expectations during his transfer year. From Terrance Simmons to Adam Boone, everybody I can remember was rumored or expected to provide a greater impact than they actually did. With that said, Pitino took those two transfers with the idea that he wasn't coaching for his job this year and expects them to be nice pieces next year. It feels like the fair thing to do is to let him coach with a full/close to full roster next year. If he's failed in his evaluation of these guys, then clearly reason 2 is invalid and reason 1 will also no longer exist because the 2016 class will be on the floor and will have to sit a year if they want to transfer. If things aren't vastly improved next year (probably needs an NCAA berth), then it will be time to move on.
This is a rare instance where keeping a guy an extra year when things look bleak is actually the right move. Unlike the Mason and Monson decisions which were made at least one year too late and resulted in one or two more questionable recruiting classes to further dilute the roster for the next guy, Pitino would actually be leaving a better roster after 2016-17 than he would after this season. I'd rather look for a new coach after next year with a Coffey/Curry/Hurt/Murphy/Mason/possibly others depending on development roster and being one year closer to a practice facility being a reality than make a move after this year. I could be wrong, but I think the job is more attractive in ~15 months than it will be in 3.