Confernce Realignment Chaos is Here!!!!!! (maybe ... probabbly not) (Rumor Texas and OK reach out to SEC about joining)

ISU and Matty is very recent phenomena. Should Big Ten take abysmal KU? See IU basketball. There are fundamentals that you just cant wish away.
Also there is a giant difference between adding members to add revenue vs not adding those who don’t

VS

cutting the least valuable entities in a conference

People in the bottom half of a conference aren’t going to cut the bottom, because it makes them a potential cut



For people to reference
 

I personally don’t think the big ten expands at all.
I also don’t think the big ten was smart to take rutgers and would’ve preferred either stay at 12 or take Maryland and someone else who adds more football value.

the big ten markets matter a little bit more because they have half ownership in Big Ten Network.
But the payouts per team would likely be the same or I would argue higher long term at 12 than they are now


the 12 team adds a lot of value regardless of who it is because it, at the time, gave you the big ten title game which adds measurable value by itself.
 

A big issue with the PAC-12 as a whole, is simply location. They play a lot of late games that people in the east won't stay up to watch, and it diminishes their value as a TV property. Now I personally love late night college football (Hawaii home games at night are the best), but that's a real problem for those schools.
I don’t buy that this is a problem, but some game times will have to shift. Simply put, there won’t be anymore PAC-12 after dark and the last football games will be scheduled for a 7 or 8 pm ET start. The NFL makes it work with viewers spread across 3 time zones, and there is no reason the Big Ten couldn’t make it work as well. That is an easier to problem to solve on Saturdays than Sundays anyway.
 

I personally don’t think the big ten expands at all.
I also don’t think the big ten was smart to take rutgers and would’ve preferred either stay at 12 or take Maryland and someone else who adds more football value.

the big ten markets matter a little bit more because they have half ownership in Big Ten Network.
But the payouts per team would likely be the same or I would argue higher long term at 12 than they are now


the 12 team adds a lot of value regardless of who it is because it, at the time, gave you the big ten title game which adds measurable value
Totally agree. Go Big or do nothing. Adding teams like ISU or KU will make it worse. Let them sort it out. If valuable teams from PAC or ACC want to be part of B1G, let them in.
 

I think this is roughly the ordered list of how likely the Big Ten would be interested in expanding (irrespective of availability):

1. Notre Dame
2. Texas
3. North Carolina
4. Virginia Tech
5. Georgia
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8.UCLA
9. Tennessee
10. Texas A&M
11. Colorado
12. Virginia
13. Washington
14. Oregon
15. Stanford
16. Cal
17. Missouri
18. Kansas
19. Georgia Tech
20. Utah
21. Iowa State
22. Oklahoma State
23. Kansas State

No one below 10 is coming without one of the top 10 on that list (except maybe Colorado). How available some of these schools are is going to shift and change a lot over the next two years.

*edited because I “forgot” about TX and OK.
 
Last edited:


I think this is roughly the ordered list of how likely the Big Ten would be interested in expanding (irrespective of availability):

1. Notre Dame
2. Texas
3. North Carolina
4. Virginia Tech
5. Georgia
6. USC
7. UCLA
8. Tennessee
9. Texas A&M
10. Colorado
11. Virginia
12. Washington
13. Oregon
14. Stanford
15. Cal
16. Missouri
17. Kansas
18. Georgia Tech
19. Utah
20. Iowa State
21. Oklahoma State
22. Kansas State

No one below 10 is coming without one of the top 10 on that list. How available some of these schools are is going to shift and change a lot over the next two years.
Washington is not in your top ten but very possible. Big Ten likes its large media markets and Seattle is a big one.
 

If valuable teams from PAC or ACC want to be part of B1G, let them in.
Or Big XII.

Granted, you have no clue what a TV partner might find valuable and are just taking a wild guess.
 

I think this is roughly the ordered list of how likely the Big Ten would be interested in expanding (irrespective of availability):

1. Notre Dame
2. Texas
3. North Carolina
4. Virginia Tech
5. Georgia
6. USC
7. UCLA
8. Tennessee
9. Texas A&M
10. Colorado
11. Virginia
12. Washington
13. Oregon
14. Stanford
15. Cal
16. Missouri
17. Kansas
18. Georgia Tech
19. Utah
20. Iowa State
21. Oklahoma State
22. Kansas State

No one below 10 is coming without one of the top 10 on that list. How available some of these schools are is going to shift and change a lot over the next two years.
Virginia would be higher than Va tech.
Georgia tech would be higher than Kansas.

not bad


to expand, I think the only way the big ten does is with one of:
Notre dame
Texas
Oklahoma
USC
Oregon
North Carolina

Unless you have one of those in the deal, it’s a money loser per school

obviously there are some others….like Georgia. But Georgia will not be interested at all.



I hope the SEC let’s in Oklahoma but tells Texas to F off. Would be epic and hilarious
 




I don’t buy that this is a problem, but some game times will have to shift. Simply put, there won’t be anymore PAC-12 after dark and the last football games will be scheduled for a 7 or 8 pm ET start. The NFL makes it work with viewers spread across 3 time zones, and there is no reason the Big Ten couldn’t make it work as well. That is an easier to problem to solve on Saturdays than Sundays anyway.
Agree 100% that this really wouldn't be much of a problem. And there could still be some "after dark" games, it would just have to be when two of the west coast team played each other. Can still have a 7:30pm PT kickoff for Stanford vs Washington. If they really wanted to make it a priority just have two west coast teams play each other every week (not really that hard to do if there are 6 of them in the conference) and have that be the "after dark" game.
 

Agree 100% that this really wouldn't be much of a problem. And there could still be some "after dark" games, it would just have to be when two of the west coast team played each other. Can still have a 7:30pm PT kickoff for Stanford vs Washington. If they really wanted to make it a priority just have two west coast teams play each other every week (not really that hard to do if there are 6 of them in the conference) and have that be the "after dark" game.
Why would the networks pay more for the pac 12 games at night when linked in a conference with the big ten than they would right now anyways?
 

Also there is a giant difference between adding members to add revenue vs not adding those who don’t

VS

cutting the least valuable entities in a conference

People in the bottom half of a conference aren’t going to cut the bottom, because it makes them a potential cut



For people to reference
The bolded part is why it is so hard to get rid of schools. The SEC would love to get rid of Vanderbilt. Heck, I bet most Vandy fans would even admit that. But the problem is they need 11 of 14 votes to bounce them. There is no way Mississippi State, Ole Miss, or Arkansas are voting for that because without Vandy one of them would become the lowest on the totem pole and next in line to be kicked out.

I do think this is where the B1G is a little different. There really isn't an anchor in the B1G like there are in other conferences. Obviously most would say Rutgers, but Rutgers also brings that all important NYC TV market so they do actually provide some value.
 

Why would the networks pay more for the pac 12 games at night when linked in a conference with the big ten than they would right now anyways?
I'm not saying they would keep the after dark games I'm saying they could if they wanted to. That's up to the TV networks to decide.
 



The bolded part is why it is so hard to get rid of schools. The SEC would love to get rid of Vanderbilt. Heck, I bet most Vandy fans would even admit that. But the problem is they need 11 of 14 votes to bounce them. There is no way Mississippi State, Ole Miss, or Arkansas are voting for that because without Vandy one of them would become the lowest on the totem pole and next in line to be kicked out.

I do think this is where the B1G is a little different. There really isn't an anchor in the B1G like there are in other conferences. Obviously most would say Rutgers, but Rutgers also brings that all important NYC TV market so they do actually provide some value.
Yeah and the big ten schools actually like each other, the former CIC now has a new name I can’t remember now are more important than the football tv deal. The big ten is a conference of colleges. Most other conferences are football/basketball conferences
 

Why would the networks pay more for the pac 12 games at night when linked in a conference with the big ten than they would right now anyways?
Because they have to if they want to televise the Ohio State vs. Oregon, Michigan vs. UCLA, and Penn St vs. USC games that occurred earlier that day.
 

The first tier is usually just the top games, but the above post is exactly that point.
 

Or Big XII.

Granted, you have no clue what a TV partner might find valuable and are just taking a wild guess.
Show me the valuable team from Big 12 leftover crumbs. TX and OU are gone. Btw I my wager is still good. I've no clue but I am willing to put the money where my mouth is. Are you ?
 




I'm all for adding Colorado, so I can see the Gophers every other year an hour away from home
 

TALON-I WAS SENT THIS

WON'T HAPPEN! Go down two thirds of the way to see his conference plan


America, Realigned: A Radical Reimagining of the NCAA Landscape

More Coverage From SI.com Team Sites:

PAT FORDE of S.I


JUN 29, 2020

Ten years ago this month, the last great spasm of realignment began shaking the college sports world. When it finally subsided in 2014, the landscape had changed dramatically. For the richer, but not necessarily for the better.

The Big Ten wound up with 14 teams, stretching from Nebraska to New Jersey. The Southeastern Conference expanded into Texas and Missouri. The Atlantic Coast Conference wandered nearly 1,000 miles inland. The Pac-12 annexed the Rocky Mountains. The Big 12, pushed to the brink of collapse, steadied itself by adding a school 1,200 miles to the northeast of the league office. Lesser conferences followed suit, scrambling for financial viability.

A decade later, it’s time to blow up what was done and start over. The COVID-19 pandemic’s effects have been profoundly felt in a realm where, for 10 years, money was no object and the map made no sense. Slapped in the face by a new fiscal reality, maybe we’re due to both rein in and reach out—to contract geographically into more regional conferences, while expanding the scope of the revenue gusher that is the College Football Playoff.

Q&A: 10 Key Questions for Pat Forde's Realignment Proposal

Get SPORTS ILLUSTRATED's best stories every weekday. Sign up now.

The radical realignment highlights:

  • A 120-school ecosystem, with 11 current FBS members relegated to FCS and one elevated from that level. Congratulations to North Dakota State; condolences to UTEP, Texas State, UTSA, South Alabama, Louisiana-Monroe, Bowling Green, New Mexico State, San Jose State, Coastal Carolina, Troy and Liberty. (Relegation/elevation can be revisited every three seasons.)
  • Ten leagues, each with 12 members, each designed to maximize proximity and reduce travel demands and costs. All current conference structures are broken and reassembled. There are no more than eight Power 5 programs in a single new conference, and no fewer than four. And there are no independents—yes, Notre Dame is in a conference.
  • In football, each school will play a full round-robin schedule plus one nonconference game (no FCS opponents). The nonconference opponent will be locked in for a minimum of four seasons before there is an opt-out to schedule someone different. There will be no conference championship games.
  • All 10 conference champions, plus two at-large teams chosen by a selection committee, advance to the expanded College Football Playoff. The teams are seeded by the committee. The top four receive a first-round bye, while seeds 5–8 host seeds 9–12 at their home stadiums the first weekend of December. Quarterfinals are played the next week at the home stadiums of seeds 1–4. The semifinals and championship game are conducted under the current CFP format.
  • There still will be bowl games for the teams that don’t make the CFP. Just fewer of them, which nobody should mind.
  • The conferences will work for basketball and other sports as well—in fact, it will be better for nonrevenue sports in terms of travel cost savings. The 230-odd non-FBS programs that are part of NCAA Division I will remain aligned pretty much where they already are, with a few exceptions.
SI's reimagined conference realignment for the NCAA


For full-sized image, click here.

Sports Illustrated

If only this could be pitched to centralized leadership of college football that was interested in the good of the entire enterprise. But that doesn’t exist, and that’s another column for another day.

What college football would gain from this realignment: uniformity; conference championships that truly matter; increased access to a more lucrative playoff; a more level playing field for the little guys; renewed regional identity; cherished rivalries preserved, restored—and, in some cases, forced into permanent existence. The advantages are abundant.

America, Realigned: How Would a 12-Team Playoff Look?

The complaints about conference schedules would disappear. Everyone would play 11 league games, taking on every opponent within the conference every season. There would be no unbalanced scheduling, beyond six home games vs. five, and that would be flipped every season. Without divisions, there is no luck of the draw in cross-divisional opponents. And the endless carping from conferences that play more league games than others would be silenced.

Having automatic playoff bids tied to conference championships—and having enough room in the playoff for every conference champion—would remove another chronic complaint. Win your league, get a shot at the national title. It’s just that simple. It works for the NCAA basketball tournament, and it would work for the new FBS.

And there would be triple the access to the playoff, from four to 12 teams. Instead of having to fight its way through eternal Big Ten roadblock Ohio State for a playoff bid, Penn State has a clearer path. Same with Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and others. Schools out west would no longer have to worry whether their league was strong enough to compete for a playoff spot. Spreading around the heavyweight teams to more conferences increases playoff access, which should help with recruiting.

The alignment also would theoretically provide the have-nots of college football with a chance to stand toe-to-toe with the haves. League membership for the likes of Ohio alongside Ohio State, Georgia Southern alongside Georgia and Louisiana Tech alongside LSU is a step toward competitive equality. It might also include a lot of beatdowns—but at least they’d get to play the in-state powers that often refuse to schedule them, and every other year they’d get them at home. Those games would be huge for the host underdogs, from a monetary and prestige standpoint and for the chance at a memorable upset.

(If you’re concerned about a proliferation of mismatches in this conference alignment, you haven’t been paying attention. There already are plenty of blowouts on a weekly basis. Some 2019 numbers: 37 games involving SEC teams decided by 30 points or more; 36 involving ACC teams; 35 involving the Big Ten; 19 involving the Big 12; and 16 involving the Pac-12. Removing FCS opponents from the schedule will reduce the number of hide-your-eyes massacres.)

As for regional identity: This isn’t solely about making travel easier and safer for athletes and more affordable for athletic directors, although both factors are more significant now than at any time this century. It’s also an opportunity to rebuild a neighborhood with sensible boundaries that create common ground among people who already live and work together. There is not a lot of office or barber shop banter in, say, Orlando between Florida and Missouri fans when the Gators and Tigers play; there sure would be when the Gators play Central Florida. And the fans can pretty easily drive to many of these games.

Along those lines, think of the instant rivalries that would materialize: UCF and South Florida would get their shots at Florida, Florida State and Miami. Marshall would finally get West Virginia on an annual basis, and Cincinnati would get Ohio State. Fresno State, which has never played USC, UCLA or California at home and rarely played them anywhere, would meet them on a regular basis.

Then there are the rivalries torn asunder by realignment but put back together here: Texas–Texas A&M, Missouri-Kansas, Utah–Utah State. And how about these regular nonconference meetings: Oklahoma-Nebraska, Texas-Arkansas and Pittsburgh–West Virginia. Rivalries preserved by nonconference games: Alabama-Tennessee, USC–Notre Dame, Georgia-Auburn, Clemson–Florida State, Penn State–Ohio State, Nevada-UNLV. Dormant, across-the-river rivalries renewed via

Now, the downside of the new FBS.

The flaws in this system are obvious. The consideration would have to be that the good outweighs the bad, and I believe it does.

This would require the fracturing of ancient conference bonds. Some Big Ten schools that had been aligned since the start of the 20th century would be splintered off into different leagues. Same with the rest of the Power 5—no conference would remain the same. Change isn’t easy, especially in college football. But they went ahead and broke the mold a decade ago, so this isn’t exactly sacrilege.

The biggest sticking point of the conference breakup is this: The Power 5 schools would have to share with the non-P5 schools, and that goes against every money-grubbing, power-consolidating principle they have come to espouse. When you have every advantage, giving some of them up is counterintuitive. The schools with clout would use that clout to stop it from happening. Staggering revenue shares based on competitive success is one option that could make the deal more palatable to the establishment schools.

(That list of schools would include Notre Dame. There’s no way the Fighting Irish will willingly give up independence to join a conference alongside Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee and Marshall. But in this model, they have to go somewhere to maintain FBS membership. They are a better overall profile fit with the Mid-Atlantic or Yankee Conference, but for geography’s sake, they are where they are. At least they have Northwestern and Vanderbilt for academically elite, private-school company.)

The TV networks wouldn’t much like it, either. (For one thing, some of them would have to change their names.) There is a reason why so many Sun Belt and Mid-American Conference games are played midweek, and why other leagues are fighting for airtime on off-brand networks—those programs don’t do big ratings. So the idea of liberally sprinkling them in with the glam schools from the glam leagues, instead of keeping them in their corner of the FBS universe, would not be well received.

But let’s consider the possible implications of cord cutting, alternative broadcast platforms and a more diffuse media landscape. If there are more outlets, why not give them more conferences with headline acts? Why not 10 conferences that all have programs that are viable ratings draws, as opposed to five conferences with viewer appeal and five without?

There are academic incompatibilities that relate directly to the schools’ missions. There are athletic incompatibilities that relate directly to budget, scope and fan following. But what better incentive to improve than being able to play in the same leagues together—with the same access to the playoff? The biggest lament most schools in the Group of Five have is lack of regular opportunity to compete on the same level with the big boys. This plan presents exactly that opportunity.

Will it happen? Nah. But it’s fun to think about and argue about. The Great College Sports Realignment that began in 2010 can be improved upon, by simultaneously contracting and expanding.

Got a better idea? We'd love to hear it. Email your own proposed realignment to me at [email protected]. Your ideas could be used (with full credit) in a subsequent column.

Here’s the Forde Bowl Subdivision lineup (FBS Profile Rank is a 1–120 metric that combines a school’s five-year average Sagarin football ranking; its 2020 U.S. News & World Report National University ranking; and its 2018–19 Learfield Cup all-sports ranking):

THE PAC-12 CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Stanford2Northwestern
USC3Notre Dame
Washington12Utah
Cal14BYU
UCLAT-15Arizona
Oregon26Boise State
Washington State65Wyoming
San Diego State72New Mexico
Oregon State77Arizona State
Hawaii84Army
Fresno State87Utah State
NevadaT-103UNLV
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Arizona State37Oregon State
BYUT-42California
UtahT-44Washington
Air ForceT-49Navy
ColoradoT-58Kansas
ArizonaT-60UCLA
Boise State70Oregon
Colorado State85North Dakota State
New Mexico91San Diego State
Utah State92Fresno State
Wyoming95Washington State
UNLV107Nevada
THE GREAT MIDWEST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Wisconsin7Michigan State
Minnesota21Michigan
IowaT-22Purdue
Iowa StateT-49Oklahoma State
Nebraska56Oklahoma
MissouriT-58Illinois
Kansas State66TCU
North Dakota State68Colorado State
Kansas82Colorado
Western Michigan93Toledo
Central Michigan98Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan112Ball State
THE GREAT MIDEAST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Michigan1Minnesota
Ohio State5Penn State
Michigan State36Wisconsin
IndianaT-42Kentucky
Purdue52Iowa
Cincinnati75Louisville
Miami (Ohio)89Western Kentucky
Ohio94Marshall
ToledoT-103Western Michigan
Akron108Middle Tennessee
Kent State110Buffalo
Ball State118Eastern Michigan
THE MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Notre Dame4USC
Northwestern18Stanford
Tennessee33Alabama
Kentucky39Indiana
Vanderbilt40Mississippi
Louisville53Cincinnati
Illinois55Missouri
West Virginia63Pittsburgh
Western Kentucky88Miami (Ohio)
Middle TennesseeT-103Akron
Marshall115Ohio
Northern Illinois117Central Michigan
THE SOUTHWEST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Texas8Arkansas
Texas A&M13Mississippi State
Oklahoma24Nebraska
TCU30Kansas State
Oklahoma StateT-31Iowa State
Baylor34Louisiana Tech
Texas TechT-60Louisiana-Lafayette
Houston69East Carolina
SMU78Temple
Rice79Tulane
Tulsa86Arkansas State
North Texas119Southern Miss
THE MID-ATLANTIC CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
North CarolinaT-15Georgia Tech
Duke17Rutgers
Virginia20Maryland
Wake Forest27Boston College
Clemson28Florida State
NC StateT-31Syracuse
Virginia Tech35Miami
South Carolina38South Florida
Appalachian State97Georgia Southern
East CarolinaT-101Houston
Old Dominion111FIU
Charlotte120UAB
THE DEEP SOUTH CONFERENCE

TALON - NO WAY THIS WOULD HAPPEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Florida6LSU
Georgia10Auburn
Florida State11Clemson
Miami29Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech41North Carolina
UCF67Memphis
South Florida71South Carolina
Georgia SouthernT-101Appalachian State
UAB106Charlotte
Florida International109Old Dominion
Georgia State114UConn
Florida Atlantic116UMass
THE SUN BELT CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANk
NON-CON OPPONENT
LSU19Florida
AuburnT-22Georgia
Alabama25Tennessee
Mississippi State47Texas A&M
Arkansas57Texas
Mississippi62Vanderbilt
Tulane80Rice
Memphis83UCF
Arkansas State96Tulsa
Louisiana TechT-99Baylor
Southern MissT-99North Texas
Louisiana-Lafayette113Texas Tech
THE YANKEE CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Penn State9Ohio State
NavyT-44Air Force
Syracuse46NC State
Boston College48Wake Forest
Maryland51Virginia
Pittsburgh54West Virginia
Army64Hawaii
Temple73SMU
Rutgers74Duke
Buffalo76Kent State
Connecticut81Georgia State
Massachusetts90FAU
RELEGATED

San Jose State
New Mexico State
UTEP
UTSA
Texas State
Louisiana-Monroe
Troy
Bowling Green
Coastal Carolina
South Alabama
Liberty

PROMOTED

North Dakota State

More Coverage From SI.com Team Sites:
 
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I think this is roughly the ordered list of how likely the Big Ten would be interested in expanding (irrespective of availability):

1. Notre Dame
2. Texas
3. North Carolina
4. Virginia Tech
5. Georgia
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8.UCLA
9. Tennessee
10. Texas A&M
11. Colorado
12. Virginia
13. Washington
14. Oregon
15. Stanford
16. Cal
17. Missouri
18. Kansas
19. Georgia Tech
20. Utah
21. Iowa State
22. Oklahoma State
23. Kansas State

No one below 10 is coming without one of the top 10 on that list (except maybe Colorado). How available some of these schools are is going to shift and change a lot over the next two years.

*edited because I “forgot” about TX and OK.

I would probably drop it in as:
1. UVA
2. UNC
3. Notre Dame
4. Kansas

Conditional adds...
- ISU to balance Kansas
- Duke to get UNC

Don't see them doing anything bigger than that unless they are really feeling the heat. The B1G would be making a bad mistake by tying themselves into the big west coast schools. The amount of infighting would be unbearable.
 


I think this is roughly the ordered list of how likely the Big Ten would be interested in expanding (irrespective of availability):

1. Notre Dame
2. Texas
3. North Carolina
4. Virginia Tech
5. Georgia
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8.UCLA
9. Tennessee
10. Texas A&M
11. Colorado
12. Virginia
13. Washington
14. Oregon
15. Stanford
16. Cal
17. Missouri
18. Kansas
19. Georgia Tech
20. Utah
21. Iowa State
22. Oklahoma State
23. Kansas State

No one below 10 is coming without one of the top 10 on that list (except maybe Colorado). How available some of these schools are is going to shift and change a lot over the next two years.

*edited because I “forgot” about TX and OK.
Grabbing Cal and UCLA would be such a stone-cold TV money grab and the Big Ten would also do it academically. If we think more broadly than football the financial and academic gems on here are the 4 Pac 12 Cali schools. Plus we would finally get to the Rose Bowl!

*disclaimer: I don't want the Big Ten to expand at all.
 

TALON-I WAS SENT THIS

WON'T HAPPEN! Go down two thirds of the way to see his conference plan


America, Realigned: A Radical Reimagining of the NCAA Landscape

More Coverage From SI.com Team Sites:

PAT FORDE of S.I


JUN 29, 2020

Ten years ago this month, the last great spasm of realignment began shaking the college sports world. When it finally subsided in 2014, the landscape had changed dramatically. For the richer, but not necessarily for the better.

The Big Ten wound up with 14 teams, stretching from Nebraska to New Jersey. The Southeastern Conference expanded into Texas and Missouri. The Atlantic Coast Conference wandered nearly 1,000 miles inland. The Pac-12 annexed the Rocky Mountains. The Big 12, pushed to the brink of collapse, steadied itself by adding a school 1,200 miles to the northeast of the league office. Lesser conferences followed suit, scrambling for financial viability.

A decade later, it’s time to blow up what was done and start over. The COVID-19 pandemic’s effects have been profoundly felt in a realm where, for 10 years, money was no object and the map made no sense. Slapped in the face by a new fiscal reality, maybe we’re due to both rein in and reach out—to contract geographically into more regional conferences, while expanding the scope of the revenue gusher that is the College Football Playoff.

Q&A: 10 Key Questions for Pat Forde's Realignment Proposal

Get SPORTS ILLUSTRATED's best stories every weekday. Sign up now.

The radical realignment highlights:

  • A 120-school ecosystem, with 11 current FBS members relegated to FCS and one elevated from that level. Congratulations to North Dakota State; condolences to UTEP, Texas State, UTSA, South Alabama, Louisiana-Monroe, Bowling Green, New Mexico State, San Jose State, Coastal Carolina, Troy and Liberty. (Relegation/elevation can be revisited every three seasons.)
  • Ten leagues, each with 12 members, each designed to maximize proximity and reduce travel demands and costs. All current conference structures are broken and reassembled. There are no more than eight Power 5 programs in a single new conference, and no fewer than four. And there are no independents—yes, Notre Dame is in a conference.
  • In football, each school will play a full round-robin schedule plus one nonconference game (no FCS opponents). The nonconference opponent will be locked in for a minimum of four seasons before there is an opt-out to schedule someone different. There will be no conference championship games.
  • All 10 conference champions, plus two at-large teams chosen by a selection committee, advance to the expanded College Football Playoff. The teams are seeded by the committee. The top four receive a first-round bye, while seeds 5–8 host seeds 9–12 at their home stadiums the first weekend of December. Quarterfinals are played the next week at the home stadiums of seeds 1–4. The semifinals and championship game are conducted under the current CFP format.
  • There still will be bowl games for the teams that don’t make the CFP. Just fewer of them, which nobody should mind.
  • The conferences will work for basketball and other sports as well—in fact, it will be better for nonrevenue sports in terms of travel cost savings. The 230-odd non-FBS programs that are part of NCAA Division I will remain aligned pretty much where they already are, with a few exceptions.
SI's reimagined conference realignment for the NCAA's reimagined conference realignment for the NCAA


For full-sized image, click here.

Sports Illustrated

If only this could be pitched to centralized leadership of college football that was interested in the good of the entire enterprise. But that doesn’t exist, and that’s another column for another day.

What college football would gain from this realignment: uniformity; conference championships that truly matter; increased access to a more lucrative playoff; a more level playing field for the little guys; renewed regional identity; cherished rivalries preserved, restored—and, in some cases, forced into permanent existence. The advantages are abundant.

America, Realigned: How Would a 12-Team Playoff Look?

The complaints about conference schedules would disappear. Everyone would play 11 league games, taking on every opponent within the conference every season. There would be no unbalanced scheduling, beyond six home games vs. five, and that would be flipped every season. Without divisions, there is no luck of the draw in cross-divisional opponents. And the endless carping from conferences that play more league games than others would be silenced.

Having automatic playoff bids tied to conference championships—and having enough room in the playoff for every conference champion—would remove another chronic complaint. Win your league, get a shot at the national title. It’s just that simple. It works for the NCAA basketball tournament, and it would work for the new FBS.

And there would be triple the access to the playoff, from four to 12 teams. Instead of having to fight its way through eternal Big Ten roadblock Ohio State for a playoff bid, Penn State has a clearer path. Same with Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and others. Schools out west would no longer have to worry whether their league was strong enough to compete for a playoff spot. Spreading around the heavyweight teams to more conferences increases playoff access, which should help with recruiting.

The alignment also would theoretically provide the have-nots of college football with a chance to stand toe-to-toe with the haves. League membership for the likes of Ohio alongside Ohio State, Georgia Southern alongside Georgia and Louisiana Tech alongside LSU is a step toward competitive equality. It might also include a lot of beatdowns—but at least they’d get to play the in-state powers that often refuse to schedule them, and every other year they’d get them at home. Those games would be huge for the host underdogs, from a monetary and prestige standpoint and for the chance at a memorable upset.

(If you’re concerned about a proliferation of mismatches in this conference alignment, you haven’t been paying attention. There already are plenty of blowouts on a weekly basis. Some 2019 numbers: 37 games involving SEC teams decided by 30 points or more; 36 involving ACC teams; 35 involving the Big Ten; 19 involving the Big 12; and 16 involving the Pac-12. Removing FCS opponents from the schedule will reduce the number of hide-your-eyes massacres.)

As for regional identity: This isn’t solely about making travel easier and safer for athletes and more affordable for athletic directors, although both factors are more significant now than at any time this century. It’s also an opportunity to rebuild a neighborhood with sensible boundaries that create common ground among people who already live and work together. There is not a lot of office or barber shop banter in, say, Orlando between Florida and Missouri fans when the Gators and Tigers play; there sure would be when the Gators play Central Florida. And the fans can pretty easily drive to many of these games.

Along those lines, think of the instant rivalries that would materialize: UCF and South Florida would get their shots at Florida, Florida State and Miami. Marshall would finally get West Virginia on an annual basis, and Cincinnati would get Ohio State. Fresno State, which has never played USC, UCLA or California at home and rarely played them anywhere, would meet them on a regular basis.

Then there are the rivalries torn asunder by realignment but put back together here: Texas–Texas A&M, Missouri-Kansas, Utah–Utah State. And how about these regular nonconference meetings: Oklahoma-Nebraska, Texas-Arkansas and Pittsburgh–West Virginia. Rivalries preserved by nonconference games: Alabama-Tennessee, USC–Notre Dame, Georgia-Auburn, Clemson–Florida State, Penn State–Ohio State, Nevada-UNLV. Dormant, across-the-river rivalries renewed via

Now, the downside of the new FBS.

The flaws in this system are obvious. The consideration would have to be that the good outweighs the bad, and I believe it does.

This would require the fracturing of ancient conference bonds. Some Big Ten schools that had been aligned since the start of the 20th century would be splintered off into different leagues. Same with the rest of the Power 5—no conference would remain the same. Change isn’t easy, especially in college football. But they went ahead and broke the mold a decade ago, so this isn’t exactly sacrilege.

The biggest sticking point of the conference breakup is this: The Power 5 schools would have to share with the non-P5 schools, and that goes against every money-grubbing, power-consolidating principle they have come to espouse. When you have every advantage, giving some of them up is counterintuitive. The schools with clout would use that clout to stop it from happening. Staggering revenue shares based on competitive success is one option that could make the deal more palatable to the establishment schools.

(That list of schools would include Notre Dame. There’s no way the Fighting Irish will willingly give up independence to join a conference alongside Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee and Marshall. But in this model, they have to go somewhere to maintain FBS membership. They are a better overall profile fit with the Mid-Atlantic or Yankee Conference, but for geography’s sake, they are where they are. At least they have Northwestern and Vanderbilt for academically elite, private-school company.)

The TV networks wouldn’t much like it, either. (For one thing, some of them would have to change their names.) There is a reason why so many Sun Belt and Mid-American Conference games are played midweek, and why other leagues are fighting for airtime on off-brand networks—those programs don’t do big ratings. So the idea of liberally sprinkling them in with the glam schools from the glam leagues, instead of keeping them in their corner of the FBS universe, would not be well received.

But let’s consider the possible implications of cord cutting, alternative broadcast platforms and a more diffuse media landscape. If there are more outlets, why not give them more conferences with headline acts? Why not 10 conferences that all have programs that are viable ratings draws, as opposed to five conferences with viewer appeal and five without?

There are academic incompatibilities that relate directly to the schools’ missions. There are athletic incompatibilities that relate directly to budget, scope and fan following. But what better incentive to improve than being able to play in the same leagues together—with the same access to the playoff? The biggest lament most schools in the Group of Five have is lack of regular opportunity to compete on the same level with the big boys. This plan presents exactly that opportunity.

Will it happen? Nah. But it’s fun to think about and argue about. The Great College Sports Realignment that began in 2010 can be improved upon, by simultaneously contracting and expanding.

Got a better idea? We'd love to hear it. Email your own proposed realignment to me at [email protected]. Your ideas could be used (with full credit) in a subsequent column.

Here’s the Forde Bowl Subdivision lineup (FBS Profile Rank is a 1–120 metric that combines a school’s five-year average Sagarin football ranking; its 2020 U.S. News & World Report National University ranking; and its 2018–19 Learfield Cup all-sports ranking):

THE PAC-12 CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Stanford2Northwestern
USC3Notre Dame
Washington12Utah
Cal14BYU
UCLAT-15Arizona
Oregon26Boise State
Washington State65Wyoming
San Diego State72New Mexico
Oregon State77Arizona State
Hawaii84Army
Fresno State87Utah State
NevadaT-103UNLV
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Arizona State37Oregon State
BYUT-42California
UtahT-44Washington
Air ForceT-49Navy
ColoradoT-58Kansas
ArizonaT-60UCLA
Boise State70Oregon
Colorado State85North Dakota State
New Mexico91San Diego State
Utah State92Fresno State
Wyoming95Washington State
UNLV107Nevada
THE GREAT MIDWEST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Wisconsin7Michigan State
Minnesota21Michigan
IowaT-22Purdue
Iowa StateT-49Oklahoma State
Nebraska56Oklahoma
MissouriT-58Illinois
Kansas State66TCU
North Dakota State68Colorado State
Kansas82Colorado
Western Michigan93Toledo
Central Michigan98Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan112Ball State
THE GREAT MIDEAST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Michigan1Minnesota
Ohio State5Penn State
Michigan State36Wisconsin
IndianaT-42Kentucky
Purdue52Iowa
Cincinnati75Louisville
Miami (Ohio)89Western Kentucky
Ohio94Marshall
ToledoT-103Western Michigan
Akron108Middle Tennessee
Kent State110Buffalo
Ball State118Eastern Michigan
THE MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Notre Dame4USC
Northwestern18Stanford
Tennessee33Alabama
Kentucky39Indiana
Vanderbilt40Mississippi
Louisville53Cincinnati
Illinois55Missouri
West Virginia63Pittsburgh
Western Kentucky88Miami (Ohio)
Middle TennesseeT-103Akron
Marshall115Ohio
Northern Illinois117Central Michigan
THE SOUTHWEST CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Texas8Arkansas
Texas A&M13Mississippi State
Oklahoma24Nebraska
TCU30Kansas State
Oklahoma StateT-31Iowa State
Baylor34Louisiana Tech
Texas TechT-60Louisiana-Lafayette
Houston69East Carolina
SMU78Temple
Rice79Tulane
Tulsa86Arkansas State
North Texas119Southern Miss
THE MID-ATLANTIC CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
North CarolinaT-15Georgia Tech
Duke17Rutgers
Virginia20Maryland
Wake Forest27Boston College
Clemson28Florida State
NC StateT-31Syracuse
Virginia Tech35Miami
South Carolina38South Florida
Appalachian State97Georgia Southern
East CarolinaT-101Houston
Old Dominion111FIU
Charlotte120UAB
THE DEEP SOUTH CONFERENCE

TALON - NO WAY THIS WOULD HAPPEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Florida6LSU
Georgia10Auburn
Florida State11Clemson
Miami29Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech41North Carolina
UCF67Memphis
South Florida71South Carolina
Georgia SouthernT-101Appalachian State
UAB106Charlotte
Florida International109Old Dominion
Georgia State114UConn
Florida Atlantic116UMass
THE SUN BELT CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANk
NON-CON OPPONENT
LSU19Florida
AuburnT-22Georgia
Alabama25Tennessee
Mississippi State47Texas A&M
Arkansas57Texas
Mississippi62Vanderbilt
Tulane80Rice
Memphis83UCF
Arkansas State96Tulsa
Louisiana TechT-99Baylor
Southern MissT-99North Texas
Louisiana-Lafayette113Texas Tech
THE YANKEE CONFERENCE

SCHOOL
FBS PROFILE RANK
NON-CON OPPONENT
Penn State9Ohio State
NavyT-44Air Force
Syracuse46NC State
Boston College48Wake Forest
Maryland51Virginia
Pittsburgh54West Virginia
Army64Hawaii
Temple73SMU
Rutgers74Duke
Buffalo76Kent State
Connecticut81Georgia State
Massachusetts90FAU
RELEGATED

San Jose State
New Mexico State
UTEP
UTSA
Texas State
Louisiana-Monroe
Troy
Bowling Green
Coastal Carolina
South Alabama
Liberty

PROMOTED

North Dakota State

More Coverage From SI.com Team Sites:
TLNR
 

It sucks that all these realignment changes are due to a single sport, football. College football is so unique with the Power 5, Group of 5 and FBS official and unofficial levels that it would make more sense to me to come up with a football only alignment plan if they are going to change at all.
 

It sucks that all these realignment changes are due to a single sport, football. College football is so unique with the Power 5, Group of 5 and FBS official and unofficial levels that it would make more sense to me to come up with a football only alignment plan if they are going to change at all.
My hope is that, if this ends up the way that it appears that it might with the top 48 or 64 or whatever schools peeling off entirely from the NCAA for football, that the conferences might again re-align in ways that return to smaller, more geographically sensible groupings for the other sports. It's all well and good for Rutgers to travel to play USC in football, it makes a lot less sense to do that for non-revenue sports.
 

My hope is that, if this ends up the way that it appears that it might with the top 48 or 64 or whatever schools peeling off entirely from the NCAA for football, that the conferences might again re-align in ways that return to smaller, more geographically sensible groupings for the other sports. It's all well and good for Rutgers to travel to play USC in football, it makes a lot less sense to do that for non-revenue sports.
If it happens, basketball will be next.

If these schools aren’t using the NCAA for football governance, why let them have all of that basketball money? And why share revenue with the basketball “mid-majors”.
 

If it happens, basketball will be next.

If these schools aren’t using the NCAA for football governance, why let them have all of that basketball money? And why share revenue with the basketball “mid-majors”.
You could well be right, but I have little hope that it will make for a better sports environment from a fan's point of view. Not that anyone making those decisons cares about that.
 




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