matt
Let's get weird
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Hmm, I don’t think that’s enough passing to satisfy many on this board.In the ideal world of PJ Fleck, I believe he would like a 40 pass/60 pass ratio
Hmm, I don’t think that’s enough passing to satisfy many on this board.In the ideal world of PJ Fleck, I believe he would like a 40 pass/60 pass ratio
Maybe, but I don't think most have specified any amount other than to complain about service academy ajacent ratios. Except those teams get the benefits of the triple option, while the Gophers at their worst were lining up decoys at WR and not throwing the ball for entire quarters.Hmm, I don’t think that’s enough passing to satisfy many on this board.
Wow, is that true?Rutgers has had 13 offensive coordinators in the last 14 years. Good luck. Can almost guarantee this doesn't work out for him
People on this board have a really hard time differentiating effectiveness and aggressivenessIt was 7-0, then Tanner led them on a TD drive and PJ hit the breaks (in both halves).
On tanner’s first drive, we passed three times and ran once. It ended in a TD pass (14-0).
Tanner’s second drive was the weird one at the end of the second half where PJ tried to run out the clock.
Third drive was a 3 and out, we passed twice and ran once.
Fourth drive was after the KO return, ended with a TD pass.
Fifth and sixth drives were the ones at the end of the game where pj was trying to run out the clock.
I don’t think PJ is any less conservative at the end of half and game with Athan.
honestly I think it is as simple as how people view running plays vs. passing plays. to a lot of fans running = conservative, passing = aggressive.People on this board have a really hard time differentiating effectiveness and aggressiveness
Just because you scored doesn’t mean you were aggressive
Just because you didn’t score doesn’t mean you were conservative.
I am not sure why people struggle with that so much.
Generally that is true.honestly I think it is as simple as how people view running plays vs. passing plays. to a lot of fans running = conservative, passing = aggressive.
There are also fans that will never be ok with the shorten the game strategy when you have a lead by not calling a bunch of passing plays and instead running to keep the clock rolling.Generally that is true.
But if I start the game passing 8 times and running 12 in the first 20 plays
The last 20 plays we pass 7 but run 13.
I guess we went into a shell because we ran one extra time in a third and 1 situation
I think the bigger issue is fans don’t understand game flow at all.There are also fans that will never be ok with the shorten the game strategy when you have a lead by not calling a bunch of passing plays and instead running to keep the clock rolling.
Those fans will always counter with....well if you stay aggressive (translation - pass) and get more first downs you can keep the clock moving that way and end up with more points....or something to that effect. Ignoring that everytime you throw and don't get completions, you stop the clock allowing the other team more time to mount a comeback.
This was big in the playing to win vs. playing not to lose thread.....I asked in there for examples of all the times the playing not to lose strategy (that is apparently a massive problem) cost us a victory and shockingly the posters doing the most complaining seemed very short on any actual examples.
I absolutely think you are correct in this thinking, and there is a part of me, a small part of me, that doesn’t mind this because I think we can consistently win 8-9 games a year with that thinking. However, there is another part of me, the larger part, that despises this line of PJ’s thinking, and much like with Mason, the fan base will eventually tire of not being able to get over the hump and win big, at least on occasion. PJ needs to eventually realize that even he has to change his best and open things up offensively. And I don’t mean go run and shoot. But the 3 yards and a cloud of dust and mostly only throwing when you have to is not going to be able to keep up with the elite offenses of Ohio State, USC, Micigan and others. And who know what Fickell and Rhule will build at Wisconsin and Nebraska
We play to shorten the game when we’re losing. Other than a couple of examples, it’s like PJ has been a one trick pony the last two or three years regardless of the game situation.There are also fans that will never be ok with the shorten the game strategy when you have a lead by not calling a bunch of passing plays and instead running to keep the clock rolling.
Those fans will always counter with....well if you stay aggressive (translation - pass) and get more first downs you can keep the clock moving that way and end up with more points....or something to that effect. Ignoring that everytime you throw and don't get completions, you stop the clock allowing the other team more time to mount a comeback.
This was big in the playing to win vs. playing not to lose thread.....I asked in there for examples of all the times the playing not to lose strategy (that is apparently a massive problem) cost us a victory and shockingly the posters doing the most complaining seemed very short on any actual examples.
We play to shorten the game when we’re losing. Other than a couple of examples, it’s like PJ has been a one trick pony the last two or three years regardless of the game situation.
Derek Burns has done a good job on a couple recent podcasts explaining his thinking that winning offense is now about manufacturing explosive plays rather than consistency. Fleck (and Rossi) know this and preach limiting explosive plays on defense. But on the other side, I think what frustrates people is that Fleck seems to value consistency on offense through churning out first downs, controlling the clock, protecting the ball, etc. rather than explosive plays.I absolutely think you are correct in this thinking, and there is a part of me, a small part of me, that doesn’t mind this because I think we can consistently win 8-9 games a year with that thinking. However, there is another part of me, the larger part, that despises this line of PJ’s thinking, and much like with Mason, the fan base will eventually tire of not being able to get over the hump and win big, at least on occasion. PJ needs to eventually realize that even he has to change his best and open things up offensively. And I don’t mean go run and shoot. But the 3 yards and a cloud of dust and mostly only throwing when you have to is not going to be able to keep up with the elite offenses of Ohio State, USC, Micigan and others. And who know what Fickell and Rhule will build at Wisconsin and Nebraska.
Agree with all of this, and wasn't advocating for wanting to go 70% pass. Just wanted to bring up the point that PJ dictates the "identity" and "style" of the offense.In the ideal world of PJ Fleck, I believe he would like a 40 pass/60 pass ratio with the right personnel. Take a look at WMU stats. This year we saw a bit over 32%. But only about 37% in 2019. But Fleck hasn't had a Zac Terrell to work with.
The CFB playoffs have highlighted the passing game. But I don't expect PJ to go over the deep end and change his plan. Maybe AK will develop enough to get us to the point of a more balance offense within the framework of PJ's style.
Oh, I see. 84.7% ?Not high enough imo
OK. Appreciate this post.I dont like flawed logic...and well, you post a lot so it is much more noticeable
It is nothing personal, I just think you are making circular arguments on this hire because you like your guy. I get it we all do stuff like that when we have our biases but if you are going to post the same thing 12 times and ignore all the arguments against it someone will point it out to you.
Plus you are an example of the "if you dont like the guy I like you are a hater!!1!" argument which is ridiculous. I question PJ doesn't mean I hate him. I am skeptical of a lot of people but I am not locking out the idea they might be right. My gf questions me all the time I doubt she hates me...wait...bad example
I find it all but impossible to believe that the WR coach had no recruiting contact with a WR recruit.According to 247sports Matt Simon is not listed as the primary, secondary, or tertiary recruiter for either of the Kaliakmanis brothers.
We have no idea what "deal" was made between Simon and Fleck when Fleck hired his buddy Sanford, or what was said.one could speculate Simon may not want to be a coordinator. We’ve seen him be fine with being passed over before.
Fair enough.Going to have to disagree. If it was a physically limited QB that had spent years in a particular system, there could be an argument. For all the possible reasons that AK chose to Row the Boat, I doubt that a run-heavy, hold the ball strategy was the deciding factor.
My guess is AK is quite adaptable and might actually prefer a different offense, though there is still the issue of how much time do they need to implement it.
As long as we're speculating, Kirk leaving would be more reason for AK to leave than Simon getting "denied".
* mid to long passes = aggressive.honestly I think it is as simple as how people view running plays vs. passing plays. to a lot of fans running = conservative, passing = aggressive.
This is interesting.Derek Burns has done a good job on a couple recent podcasts explaining his thinking that winning offense is now about manufacturing explosive plays rather than consistency. Fleck (and Rossi) know this and preach limiting explosive plays on defense. But on the other side, I think what frustrates people is that Fleck seems to value consistency on offense through churning out first downs, controlling the clock, protecting the ball, etc. rather than explosive plays.
The explosive plays against Wisconsin this year won the game.Personally, I don't think it's an "either/or" for Fleck. My contention has always been that he wants to do exactly what's needed to win on offense and NOTHING more. So if he thinks they can win by running it 70% of the time and throwing short passes that move the chains, that's what they'll do. But we've also seen plenty of games (Auburn, PSU, OSU, Wisconsin, etc.) in which they're throwing deep more often, running more play action, scheming up screens and trick plays, etc. because they sense it's gonna be tough to stay consistent and they'll need more explosive plays. I think where Fleck has gone wrong has been misjudging what's needed to win certain games and placing too much confidence in his OL and RBs because they've been VERY talented. On top of that, he's slow to adjust when it's clear the "flow" has been disrupted for whatever reason -- a team winning in the trenches or having a good plan, the OL playing poorly, an injury to a Gopher, etc. I think that's where Fleck can change his best -- not necessarily by throwing the baby out with the bathwater and changing his whole philosopy.
According to 247sports Matt Simon is not listed as the primary, secondary, or tertiary recruiter for either of the Kaliakmanis brothers.
This feels like all speculation, which in turn one could speculate Simon may not want to be a coordinator. We’ve seen him be fine with being passed over before.
Derek Burns has done a good job on a couple recent podcasts explaining his thinking that winning offense is now about manufacturing explosive plays rather than consistency. Fleck (and Rossi) know this and preach limiting explosive plays on defense. But on the other side, I think what frustrates people is that Fleck seems to value consistency on offense through churning out first downs, controlling the clock, protecting the ball, etc. rather than explosive plays.
Personally, I don't think it's an "either/or" for Fleck. My contention has always been that he wants to do exactly what's needed to win on offense and NOTHING more. So if he thinks they can win by running it 70% of the time and throwing short passes that move the chains, that's what they'll do. But we've also seen plenty of games (Auburn, PSU, OSU, Wisconsin, etc.) in which they're throwing deep more often, running more play action, scheming up screens and trick plays, etc. because they sense it's gonna be tough to stay consistent and they'll need more explosive plays. I think where Fleck has gone wrong has been misjudging what's needed to win certain games and placing too much confidence in his OL and RBs because they've been VERY talented. On top of that, he's slow to adjust when it's clear the "flow" has been disrupted for whatever reason -- a team winning in the trenches or having a good plan, the OL playing poorly, an injury to a Gopher, etc. I think that's where Fleck can change his best -- not necessarily by throwing the baby out with the bathwater and changing his whole philosopy.
Assistant head coach could also go to a defensive assistant.It's totally possible. There are probably three possibilities. 1) Simon may want his next step to be O-Coordinator. 2) Maybe he wants to be a head coach someday and it's more important for his next step to be associate head coach instead of a coordinator (e.g., Kenny Burns). 3) Maybe he loves his current position as a position coach with quasi-coordinator responsibilities.
This isn't only about Simon/OC. Fleck needs to backfill not only the OC play calling job (KC) but also the associate head coach job (Burns) in addition to the position coaches. There's all kinds of ways he could rearrange the deck chairs. We'll find out soon.
Always a development program = always not good enoughOh, I see. 84.7% ?
Assistant head coach could also go to a defensive assistant.
I still like the idea of bringing in a young, high-energy QB position coach, a guy who played QB in FBS, and can help the younger QB's AK and Knuth out with decision making and throwing mechanics (if needed). That guy can focus on them, and doesn't have to also worry about coming up with the game-plan.
Wow, is that true?
That was just a comment on which seemed the more likely of the two. The chances that AK leaves before 2023 for any reason, OC-related or otherwise, are low.Fair enough.
I'm with you on all but the last sentence. If that were true, AK would be off to Rutgers by now. But we have the Tweet showing he's staying put.
I don't buy for a second that AK is Kirk's guy, as was well explained by another poster since Kirk left him once for PSU, and now is leaving him again.
Some are saying Simon and Harbaugh are named Co/Co's and Simon still coaching WR's and Harbaugh move to QB coach.It's totally possible. There are probably three possibilities. 1) Simon may want his next step to be O-Coordinator. 2) Maybe he wants to be a head coach someday and it's more important for his next step to be associate head coach instead of a coordinator (e.g., Kenny Burns). 3) Maybe he loves his current position as a position coach with quasi-coordinator responsibilities.
This isn't only about Simon/OC. Fleck needs to backfill not only the OC play calling job (KC) but also the associate head coach job (Burns) in addition to the position coaches. There's all kinds of ways he could rearrange the deck chairs. We'll find out soon.
honestly I think it is as simple as how people view running plays vs. passing plays. to a lot of fans running = conservative, passing = aggressive.
The QB position was the reason for our lack of success until Tanner got hurt. He had hit his ceiling.I don't think anyone would even mention Simon as a candidate for the OC job if he was from Michigan as opposed to Minnesota. The WR position was arguably the weakest link of an offense that was the reason this team wasn't in the Big Ten championship game this season. In reality, we've had one standout year on offense in PJ's 6 years at the helm. Sanford being a failure is not a reason to be afraid of going outside an offensive staff that hasn't produced at level that would make you want to stick with the status quo. Would Simon be a candidate for an OC job at another Big Ten school? We know that answer to that.
And every time you run three times then punt the other guys have control of the clock. If they are trailing they will be throwing. The clock will stop on incompletes, out of bounds after completion, and briefly on first downs.There are also fans that will never be ok with the shorten the game strategy when you have a lead by not calling a bunch of passing plays and instead running to keep the clock rolling.
Those fans will always counter with....well if you stay aggressive (translation - pass) and get more first downs you can keep the clock moving that way and end up with more points....or something to that effect. Ignoring that everytime you throw and don't get completions, you stop the clock allowing the other team more time to mount a comeback.
This was big in the playing to win vs. playing not to lose thread.....I asked in there for examples of all the times the playing not to lose strategy (that is apparently a massive problem) cost us a victory and shockingly the posters doing the most complaining seemed very short on any actual examples.
Sure but if you used the whole playclock on the 3 and out then you took close to 2 minutes off the clock. Then you force them to take the risks with the ball and trust in your very good defense to make them run a lot of plays or stop them.And every time you run three times then punt the other guys have control of the clock. If they are trailing they will be throwing. The clock will stop on incompletes, out of bounds after completion, and briefly on first downs.
The only way to control and run out the clock is to make first downs. This means calling both runs and passes in most cases and not being crippled by a no matter what philosophy.