Tyus must be a hot potato for Tubby. An early withdrawal from recruiting him would be a political suicide for him even if the possibility of getting Tyus were remote. If Tubby held onto Tyus a little too long and lost him, that would about destroy the program, to exaggerate a little, since he may not have enough time to be able to recruit a competent pg.
We may have to break away from Tyus, though, if we do not get a meaningful indicator, a verbal for instance, from him by the end of his junior year, in order for us to be able to redirect the recruiting effort toward other top 100 or a top 150 pg prospects. Otherwise, we may end up with no viable pg for the 2014 season and, worse yet, possibly thereafter.
Our chance of getting Tyus should improve if we start getting commitments from top 100 prospects, a supporting cast for Tyus, during the next season. However, that may not be a viable scenario unless we really start strong next season and maintain the pace though the middle of the season (6-3 or better for the first 9 conference games or achieve something meaningful like a sweet 16). Even then, our chance of getting Tyus may be no better than 50-50.
One thing for sure is that our doing well next season is necessary, though still “not sufficient”, to get Tyus. That is, if we find ourselves mediocre, like losing to Duke and going about 500 in conference play, through the middle of the season, I think Tubby should promptly quit recruiting Tyus and start recruiting other prospects. That is, unless Tubby is willing to sacrifice whole a lot like restructuring the offense solely to showcase Tyus like the Humphries situation, which is not worthwhile in the long run and border-line irresponsible.
Even if we win the Atlantis thing and @FSU and going well above 500 in conference play, I think Tubby should start looking elsewhere unless Tyus gives a verbal toward the end of his junior year. (To be honest, we are just a good insurance to Tyus unless he gives us a verbal around that time.)