All Things 2024 Minnesota Twins In-Season Thread


Only 4.5 games behind Cleveland and Correra’s sizzling June continues as he’s now 4th in MLB in batting after leapfrogging some bum named Ohtani.

Mentioned in the Athletic that Correra’s OPS+ is 149 now 🫨

13 more hits last night as well, as the O keeps rolling and team BA is now .245.

I wonder when the last time we had a player of the month? Buck in April a few seasons ago in his AS season when he had 10+ HRs in April?

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Here’s an update on Festa and Lee via Gleeman (The Athletic). I purposely skipped his comments on Wallner, as I think he’s not going anywhere until after the trade deadline, which may free up a spot for him. Also, I don’t see Larnach or Martin being demoted to make room, both have earned their keep for now. FWIW, Larnach strikes me as a better pure hitter than Wallner, who’s whiff rate, may inhibit him from becoming a regular MLB contributor.

I also think Lee is the longer term solution at second, as he’ll likely hit for a higher average, is a switch hitter (love those guys), profiles as a better fielder than Eddie, as a ciollege SS and can play multiple infield positions. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Eddie moved at some point.

Will be interesting to see if Festa gets a chance this year.

David Festa’s whiff factory​

Three teams have used just six starting pitchers this season, tying for the fewest in baseball. Two of them are the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, owners of the top record in each league. And the third is the Twins, whose only rotation changes were calling up Simeon Woods Richardson to replace Louie Varland in April and giving Varland a spot start last week.

Woods Richardson has been one of the team’s biggest bright spots, posting a 3.29 ERA in 11 starts; veterans Pablo López, Joe Ryan, Chris Paddack and Bailey Ober have stayed healthy; and Varland just showed he’s still a viable option if more starter help is required. And now David Festa, the Twins’ top pitching prospect, is knocking on the door to the majors as well.

Festa has a 3.50 ERA with 81 strikeouts over 54 innings at Triple-A St. Paul, including double-digit strikeouts in three of his last eight starts in spite of a pitch count capped around 90. Festa leads all Triple-A starters by striking out 36 percent of batters faced, an average of 13.5 per nine innings, and he’s allowed two runs or fewer in 11 of 13 starts this season.

And the 24-year-old right-hander’s overpowering raw stuff has been even more impressive than his numbers. Festa’s fastball has averaged 95.2 mph, regularly reaching 97 to 99, and it’s pretty clearly been his third-best pitch behind a slider and a changeup that have basically turned Triple-A hitters into mush at the plate.

Festa’s high-80s slider, used 37 percent of the time, has held opponents to a .196 batting average and generated whiffs on 45 percent of their swings. His high-80s changeup, used 26 percent of the time, has held opponents to a .197 batting average with whiffs on 44 percent of their swings. Plenty of prospects have mid-90s velocity, but few have two legit, bat-missing off-speed weapons.

Control remains Festa’s biggest weakness, with 4.0 walks per nine innings, but he’s trimmed that to 2.9 per nine in his last 10 starts, the most recent of which featured 10 strikeouts and no walks. Slinging fastballs and sliders to righties, and fastballs and changeups to lefties, is a straightforward recipe for success with such high-octane stuff if he can consistently throw strikes.

Brooks Lee looking healthy​

Brooks Lee would almost surely have made his big-league debut by now if not for the herniated disk in his back that popped up in the middle of spring training and sidelined him for the first two months of the Triple-A schedule. After a two-week rehab assignment in the low minors, Lee joined St. Paul’s lineup on June 5 and has hit .290 in his first nine games.

Combined with his rehab work, Lee has hit .342 in 19 games since returning from the back injury and the reports on his fielding have been encouraging as well. Lee continues to play mostly shortstop despite Correa’s presence in the majors, but he’s also been working at second and third base since spring training to prepare for his future in the Twins’ infield.

Lee’s switch-hitting ability and fielding flexibility could make him the next-in-line prospect at a bunch of positions and for varied roles, either directly (shortstop, third base, second base, designated hitter) or indirectly by way of freeing up Castro for more outfield action. For now, his most obvious call-up path is beating Julien in a race to second base at Target Field.
 
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They threw Salazar under the bus about this type of stuff two years ago. Players cover up/ hide injuries all the time, but you'd think in an organization worth a billion dollars, you'd leave no stone unturned in examining and evaluating your highest profile employees.
In an updated article, he basically tried to play through it and wasn’t transparent on it, even though he had an MRI on it 5/26. I understand his reticence in doing so, as he’s only played 249 games in four seasons, but he’s screwing the team, by playing when he shouldn’t be.

This sounds more ominous than just a sore back as well -

Following a meeting with manager Rocco Baldelli on Tuesday, Kirilloff was removed from the St. Paul roster and added to the team’s 10-day injured list with a sore lower back. The hitter said he’s scheduled to see a back specialist soon and mentioned he’s experienced nerve issues in his leg, as well.
 


Carlos Santana, an All-Star? Certainly, that would have been a wild thought to have in April if you had been following the Minnesota Twins. However, his performance since (and the state of his cohort of AL first basemen) at least merits a review.

 


the Kirilloff thing - to me - stands out even more because of what happened last year with Joe Ryan. Ryan tried to pitch through an injury without saying anything, and he arguably hurt the team by doing so.

and now Kirilloff basically tries to do the same thing. he learned nothing from Ryan's mistake.

paranoid thought - players don't trust/respect the training & medical staff.

less paranoid thought - Kirilloff knows his career is hanging by a thread right now, and he's afraid that if he goes on the IL, he might never make it back to the majors.

----
in other news -- a Twins Daily guy had an interesting post in which he pointed out that Carlos Santana right now has a higher OPS and a higher fWAR than.....Luis Arraez.
 

Don't mean to be a downer, but the Twins are 1-16 against the good teams. Somehow, we need to get that huge monkey off of our backs.

On another note, Sharma says that naming rights for the Target Center and Target Field might go away. There is strong interest I guess for renaming of the X.
 



Don't mean to be a downer, but the Twins are 1-16 against the good teams. Somehow, we need to get that huge monkey off of our backs.
Five wins against KC, three against Seattle, and one each against Milwaukee and LA.
 

Don't mean to be a downer, but the Twins are 1-16 against the good teams. Somehow, we need to get that huge monkey off of our backs.

On another note, Sharma says that naming rights for the Target Center and Target Field might go away. There is strong interest I guess for renaming of the X.

Not to denigrate your methods, but using team above .500 right now as good teams, I have them slightly better at 12-21.

5-2 vs KC
3-1 vs Sea
2-1 vs Bos
1-1 vs Mil
1-2 vs LAD
0-3 vs Bal
0-5 vs Cle
0-6 vs NYY

Leaving off KC, Seattle, Boston, and Milwaukee was arbitrary.
 
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Not to denigrate your methods, but using team above .500 right now as good teams, I have them slightly better at 11-21.

5-2 vs KC
2-1 vs Bos
2-1 vs Sea
1-1 vs Mil
1-2 vs LAD
0-3 vs Bal
0-5 vs Cle
0-6 vs NYY

Leaving off KC, Seattle, Boston, and Milwaukee was arbitrary.
Thank you.

Also important to remember that both of teams in the WS last season, Texas and AZ, had losing records against.500+ teams.

The 87 & 91 Twins were hardly the best team in the regular season, just like the Giants team which beat the undefeated Pats in the SB, we just need to stay healthy & get in the playoffs and let the funkiness begin.

Being 14-5 in one run games is much more of an eye opener to me than our record vs. +500 teams IMNHO.
 

Not to denigrate your methods, but using team above .500 right now as good teams, I have them slightly better at 11-21.

5-2 vs KC
2-1 vs Bos
2-1 vs Sea
1-1 vs Mil
1-2 vs LAD
0-3 vs Bal
0-5 vs Cle
0-6 vs NYY

Leaving off KC, Seattle, Boston, and Milwaukee was arbitrary.
3-1 vs Seattle
 




Bats and the mostly reliable bullpen arms are carrying things right now, but things tighten up considerably once the playoffs start. If Thielbar is done, they need to find a lefty arm and if Pablo can't fix what is broken right now, they need to find another starter to avoid having to send The Dobber out there for Game 2 in Yankee Stadium.
 

Bats and the mostly reliable bullpen arms are carrying things right now, but things tighten up considerably once the playoffs start. If Thielbar is done, they need to find a lefty arm and if Pablo can't fix what is broken right now, they need to find another starter to avoid having to send The Dobber out there for Game 2 in Yankee Stadium.
They need another starter regardless. Paddock shouldn't be in a play-off rotation and may hit an innings limit anyway and they clearly don't trust SWR yet. But if Pablo can't get it figured out, they're not making a deep play-off run IMO.
 

the Kirilloff thing - to me - stands out even more because of what happened last year with Joe Ryan. Ryan tried to pitch through an injury without saying anything, and he arguably hurt the team by doing so.

and now Kirilloff basically tries to do the same thing. he learned nothing from Ryan's mistake.

paranoid thought - players don't trust/respect the training & medical staff.

less paranoid thought - Kirilloff knows his career is hanging by a thread right now, and he's afraid that if he goes on the IL, he might never make it back to the majors.

----
in other news -- a Twins Daily guy had an interesting post in which he pointed out that Carlos Santana right now has a higher OPS and a higher fWAR than.....Luis Arraez.
I think it's just in their nature. It's why athletes need people to pull them out (boxers need a corner to throw in the towel). For Kiriloff, he is probably feeling a ton of pressure to produce. He is competing with a number of guys for PT now and in the future.
 

Update from the farm, er St Paul as with the day off and a favorable forecast, I made a late decision to go to the Mud Hens-Saints tilt.

- Lots of kiddos on the ballpark. No sign of Klinger.
- Nice pregame tribute to Willie Mays.
- Julien lead off for the Twins, went down looking.
- Lee followed with a double in the gap, but later gunned down at the plate to end the inning trying to score on a single.
- Must be a bullpen day for the Saints. Already a reliever in the 3rd, down 2-0.
 

Update from the farm, er St Paul as with the day off and a favorable forecast, I made a late decision to go to the Mud Hens-Saints tilt.

- Lots of kiddos on the ballpark. No sign of Klinger.
- Nice pregame tribute to Willie Mays.
- Julien lead off for the Twins, went down looking.
- Lee followed with a double in the gap, but later gunned down at the plate to end the inning trying to score on a single.
- Must be a bullpen day for the Saints. Already a reliever in the 3rd, down 2-0.
Lee hit another gapper for a 2 run double. He eventually scored on a 3 run shot by Camargo (catcher). That put the Saints up 5-2, B3, but they gave it all back and now trail 6-5 , T5.

Julien has now also walked and reached on an infield single.
 
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Lee hit another gapper for a 2 run double. He eventually scored on a 3 run shot by Camergo (catcher). That put the Saints up 5-2, B3, but they gave it all back and now trail 6-5 , T5.

Julien has now also walked and reached on an infield single.
Thanks for the updates.

How’s a crowd for an afternoon tilt?
 

Thanks for the updates.

How’s a crowd for an afternoon tilt?
Pretty solid at the beginning. 75-80% full, perhaps. Lots of folks now roaming the concourse & OF. Short beer lines with the high percentage of Little Leaguers. 😀

Lee just made a fabulous play in the hole at short.
 
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Pretty solid at the beginning. 75-80% full, perhaps. Lots of folks now roaming the concourse & OF. Short beer lines with the high percentage of Little Leaguers. 😀

Lee just made a fabulous play in the hole at short.
Julien walked again. Lee now 3-4, all doubles. Wallner has been quiet.

Saints up 8-7 in the T8.
 

Julien walked again. Lee now 3-4, all doubles. Wallner has been quiet.

Saints up 8-7 in the T8.
Time to call up Lee and put poor Kyle Farmer out of his misery.
 




Having 3 or the 8 bullpen sports filled with people that can only pitch in blowouts is less than ideal. Of course you can always score more runs and turn games into blowouts so they can pitch.
 

Time to call up Lee and put poor Kyle Farmer out of his misery.
A very similar thought went through my head.

Small sample size obviously, but I saw him last Sept when there was talk he might get brought up, possibly even for the post-season hinging on the health of Correa & Lewis. He didn't look ready that night.

Today he did.
 

Having 3 or the 8 bullpen sports filled with people that can only pitch in blowouts is less than ideal. Of course you can always score more runs and turn games into blowouts so they can pitch.
While seeing Brooks Lee swing a live bat & make some plays at SS today in St Paul was highly encouraging, the flip side was seeing the Saints parade out what I would assume is their entire bullpen. I don't have much reason for optimism that they can leverage any of those guys to consistently get MLB hitters out.

Not much velocity. Lots of guys trying to fool 'em with off speed.
 

The Twins totally deserved to lose tonight. The relievers, aside from Duran, were all atrocious. I'd be pissed if I were Ryan that I didn't get this win.
 




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