From Dan Hates @ The Athletic regarding trade deadline possibilities (Fair Warning: This includes a Randy Dobnek reference!!)-
As calls about the availability of
Sonny Grayand
Kenta Maedacontinue to roll in, the
Twins remain open to listening — while also heeding hard lessons learned.
Namely, they’re not far enough removed from 2019 to forget what happened.
Even though Gray and Maeda are expected to test free agency after the season, with the Twins unlikely to retain both of them, it doesn’t make the first-place club any likelier to make a deal.
Not only is the starting rotation, which carried the Twins through June, in its biggest slump of the season (Twins starters entered Sunday with a 5.38 ERA since the All-Star break), the club knows how easily a strength can evaporate.
In June 2019, the Twins’ rotation looked strong early in the summer with All-Stars
José Berríos and
Jake Odorizzi,
Martin Pérez, Michael Pineda and even
Kyle Gibson, who struggled all season physically with a stomach issue. By October, the Twins were forced to start rookie
Randy Dobnak in Game 2 of the American League Division Series.
Hearing what other teams say about Gray and Maeda makes sense. The best decision-makers know to gather as much relevant information as possible because it may generate other trade concepts.
Beyond that, there’s very little chance the Twins bring both Gray and Maeda back next year, and they may not sign either pitcher. The club is likely to extend a qualifying offer to Gray in hopes he’d either accept a one-year deal in the $20 million range, or they’d receive a draft pick if he signed elsewhere.
But exploring what they could get is wise, especially with some of the hauls the
Chicago White Soxreceived this week in trading away rental players. Contending teams in need of starting pitching are desperate with few certain sellers on the market, and the Twins could potentially receive more in a trade now if one of those clubs grossly overpaid.
Though teams don’t need a five-man rotation in the playoffs and can reshuffle the roster, the Twins remember what it’s like to operate with a rotation running on fumes. Through 11 starts in 2019, Pérez boasted a 2.95 ERA with 56 strikeouts in 58 innings. Pineda improved as the season went on, posting a 3.46 ERA over his final 20 starts. There also was always hope that Gibson’s stomach issues would eventually subside.
Pairing that trio with Berríos and Odorizzi, both of whom were 2019 All-Stars, would give the Twins a fighting chance. But Pérez began to underperform and was removed from the rotation, Gibson never recovered.
What else I’m hearing
• Though Keuchel carries a 1.13 ERA through 32 minor-league innings, there’s been minimal interest in the veteran. While improved, Keuchel’s fastball still isn’t what it was in 2019. Teams may have doubts about how he’d fare against major-league pitching.
• The
Jorge López for
Dylan Floro swap helps the Twins’ hierarchy. Floro is seen as a middle reliever whereas López still wanted to pitch at the back end of games, which became increasingly difficult because the Twins didn’t know what they’d get out of López from day to day.
• A National League scout who recently evaluated Floro described the reliever as being no stranger to struggling himself. “His issue is sometimes the stuff all blend together and the groundballs become ground lasers,” the scout said.
• The Twins remain interested in bullpen help, though the significance of the arm they acquire isn’t certain. The Twins feel good about their current back end of
Jhoan Duranand
Griffin Jax with expected help from
Caleb Thielbar, who was activated Sunday, and hopefully
Brock Stewart in August.
• A right-handed bat to combat left-handed pitching is still on the shopping list, too, The trick will be creating space on the major-league roster for such a player.
• Twins left-handed hitting outfielders continue to draw interest, namely
Max Kepler,
Trevor Larnach and
Matt Wallner. Larnach is drawing interest from multiple teams, including the
San Diego Padres and
New York Mets. Given the team’s preference to trade off the
MLB roster or Triple A, dealing from this strength seems likely.