As I have stated previously, I expect them to finish somewhere between 4th and 7th. In the 25 seasons that actually count since our last Big Ten championship, the U's average Big Ten finish is 7.44. Under Tubby Smith, it is 7.4. Given that we are losing no one of consequence from this squad, 7th (and a Tournament berth) is the very bottom of what should be acceptable. Given that MSU and OSU are always right there, and that Indiana is losing no one of consequence (assuming Zeller's likely return), I deem it very unlikely that we finish ahead of any of them, making 4th the probable high-water mark. Bo Ryan has never finished worse than 4th in the conference, so it is likely that they will finish ahead of us as well, but they are also losing the leader of their team whose backup has zero game experience. Michigan's success is very dependent on whether Trey Burke returns. We could very well finish ahead of either of them (or both), but past precedent says no. Either 5th or 6th seems most likely, with 4th (Wisconsin falters, Michigan loses Burke) possible and 7th (Purdue reloads, Illinois plays better under a new coach) also possible. Anything less should result in a Tubby dismissal.