Joey Brackets' latest Bracketology

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GameDay said:
I'm not saying it won't be done because those four games are very winnable, but we've just lost 3 games in a row against mediocre competition. Winning these four will be very difficult. Good chances of losing to Indiana, and @NW. We have to put the hammer down on Saturday night and turn things around! It definitely goes in the "Must Win" category.
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Ohio State lost three straight and won at Iowa. Funny how these things work out. That's why they play the games.
 

The 8-10 in the Big Ten means something, but you have to add the BTT tournament games to it. They are just another game or two. So you might go 8-10 and 0-1 as they did last year. Essentially they were 8-11 in the Big Ten and still got in thanks to overall record.


Interesting thing about last year's team, MN worse losses were against 76, 103, 115, and 166. (Iowa, Purdue, Northwestern, and Nebraska).
This years worst losses are against #74, 89, 94, and 106. (Arkansas, Purdue, Northwestern, and Nebraska (not in order).

In any regard, a win is needed tonight. They really need to be 8-10 or 7-11 at worst so they could still reel off a couple more wins in the BTT tournament. Overall B1G record of 9-11 or 9-12 would be needed I think.
 

Well good ol' Joey Brackets has got us out with a loss and Indiana in with a win tonight. Lots to play for.
 

Gophers need to win 4 more games to get to 8-10.
Gophers have a respectable RPI yet with a very good SOS.

If they beat Indiana, Illinois, Northwestern, and Penn State they are pretty much in. There first round game would be against a 8-9 matchup team with an RPI around 50-70 probably. A loss like that wouldn't be devastating.
 

Blizzard said:
Well good ol' Joey Brackets has got us out with a loss and Indiana in with a win tonight. Lots to play for.
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MN I think is a clear choice ahead of them, but obviously with the one game between them it's important to win.

Currently Indy only has 2 top 50 wins. Gophers have 4.
Minnesota has 7 wins against top 150
Indiana is at 5, Minnesota would be their 6th.
 





Per lunardi insider article

Last four byes
These teams are not on the immediate cut line for making the NCAA field, but they are on the bubble for a first-round bye and avoiding the First Four round in Dayton, Ohio.

Colorado (70 percent)
Minnesota (60 percent)
Tennessee (60 percent)
Florida State (55 percent)
 



Florida State fading to black

schlegs said:
Per lunardi insider article

Last four byes
These teams are not on the immediate cut line for making the NCAA field, but they are on the bubble for a first-round bye and avoiding the First Four round in Dayton, Ohio.

Colorado (70 percent)
Minnesota (60 percent)
Tennessee (60 percent)
Florida State (55 percent)
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Florida State now in free-fall mode, loses at home to Miami. Looks like Richmond now is Gophers' only chance for a RPI top-50 win outside of the Big Ten.
 

SelectionSunday said:
Florida State now in free-fall mode, loses at home to Miami. Looks like Richmond now is Gophers' only chance for a RPI top-50 win outside of the Big Ten.
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Florida St, if they go 4-2 would still only have an RPI of about 53.
Gophers if they go 7-11 in Big Ten will have an RPI of about 50.
 

Face The Facts said:
Florida St, if they go 4-2 would still only have an RPI of about 53.
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Let's say FSU only wins 1 of their final 6, which seems very possible at this point. Any chance the projected RPI would have them falling out of the top 100? Probably not?
 

Wisconsin would take this bracket right now if they could. 2 of the 4 teams in Spokane they have already beat.
 




SelectionSunday said:
Let's say FSU only wins 1 of their final 6, which seems very possible at this point. Any chance the projected RPI would have them falling out of the top 100? Probably not?
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If they lose straight out, it looks like they'd be about 100-101.
If they win one of those last six, they finish around 89.
 


Lunardi's Feb. 13 Bracketology update

Gophers in as a #11 seed, but inching closer to the bubble. One of the last four byes.

I'm wondering what Joe has been smoking if he truly has Indiana as one of his first 4 teams out. That is simply ludicrous. EDIT: Never mind he just pulled the Hoosiers.http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
 


Mock bracketology at indianapolis convention
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Two more AQs: American (Patriot), IPFW (Summit). So that's 13 AQs and 25 "locks." So 38 spots, with 30 to go (pending conference tourneys).</p>— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) <a href="https://twitter.com/ESPNLunardi/statuses/434068040880107520">February 13, 2014</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>So it's 39 teams under consideration for 30 spots, with 19 of them going eventually to AQs.</p>— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) <a href="https://twitter.com/ESPNLunardi/statuses/434071061085159424">February 13, 2014</a></blockquote>
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minnesota one of the 39

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Cal wins tiebreaker and joins ASU, GW, Minn, NMex, OklaSt, SMU and Xavier to put four more teams into field. <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23MockSelection&src=hash">#MockSelection</a></p>— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) <a href="https://twitter.com/ESPNLunardi/statuses/434081415643160576">February 13, 2014</a></blockquote>
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gophs were selected in second group of 8
 




afurry91 said:
Ya, if that was the bracket on selection Sunday. I would wet my pants. Lots of potential to make a run there.
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My preference would be to have a potential second round matchup against any mid-major round two. (SDSU / Witchita State). I know they are good, but it would beat playing Arizona probably, and we can't play Syracuse again if they do the bracket right.
 




This is good I guess. I thought we might slip all the way to First Four Out. Leads me to believe 8-10 with a BTT win can be enough as long as the bid stealers are kept to a minimum.
 

howeda7 said:
This is good I guess. I thought we might slip all the way to First Four Out. Leads me to believe 8-10 with a BTT win can be enough as long as the bid stealers are kept to a minimum.
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If the Gophers get to 8-10 with a BTT win I think they will be in. An 8-10 record with a loss last night is probably better than an 8-10 record with a win last night....it means one more top 25 win. I'm guessing the odds are pretty good they get a win in the next three games.
 

I said we need four wins, but after reading I think a losing record in the Big with a Big tourney win gets us squarely on the bubble. If we don't get in....... Thats another thread.
 


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