Average, using what he could have/should have delivered.
I don't like PJ for several reasons, but the primary one is the number of wins he's left on the table. He has consistently underperformed in comparison to the team's capabilities and its players.
2018: Loss at Illinois. A team that won 2 games in the B1G - Rutgers, and us.
2019: Losses against Iowa and Wisconsin. The Iowa game was just a missed opportunity, as he tried so hard not to lose, but he did. Wisconsin was a different story. It was the precursor to last year's Iowa game. We played very hard not to lose in the first half, taking a page out of the Gutekunst playbook by scoring early and then implementing the prevent offense to try to walk away with a 7-0 victory. Like last year vs Iowa, we never came out of the locker room at halftime and got blown off the field. The first year we would have gone to the B1G championship game if we had a better coaching staff - probably could get over this IF it wasn't followed by:
2021: Bowling Green (the 4th and one Episode 1). Illinois, Iowa
2022: Purdue (the 4th and one Episode 2 - failing is learning, but what is failing AND failing to learn, PJ?). Win this game, and we would have gone to the B1G championship game.
2023: Northwestern (we left early to catch our flight, apparently), Illinois (4th and 11 on their own 15 yard line with 1:24 left in the game and the starting QB just knocked out of the game, the backup QB comes in and completes 3 passes for 85 yards and a TD in 34 seconds.....), Purdue (again)
2024: Michigan (yeah, the refs missed a call at the end of the game. We missed the first half. Michigan was wounded, Mason and Kill both beat a wounded Michigan. Fleck should have), Rutgers (to quote Fishbone "U-G-L-Y, you ain't got no allibi")
2025: Cal
Accuse me of over-reacting to one loss if you will. Quibble with any of the losses on my list, but there is a trend. That's twelve losses in six seasons (2017 - year ONE, and 2020 excluded). With another one this year, PJ's averaging two losses to teams the Gophers should have beaten
per season, and he still has a chance to add more this season. It cost us at least two trips to the B1G title game, back when that was a thing.
As for Saturday's game, what happened was expected, to an extent, and while disappointing, I didn't have a huge problem overall (although I agree recruiting needs to improve. We consistently rank in the lower half of the B1G every year. We don't have to spend to compete against the ridiculousness of schools like tOSU, Oregon, and others that spend at very high levels to get into the top half of the conference. While acknowledging the pain of the people who refuse to see PJ's flaws and deny the problem, it is a fixable problem - to an extent - and needs to be upgraded at signing time, not in June.)
We came out and swung for the fences. We all knew it was a long shot. And I loved the 4th-and-one call against tOSU, for the pointed references above. We had to take chances to win this game (as opposed to taking unnecessary risks against teams we should have easily beaten). So we went for it. I do disagree, however, that the best approach is to come up with a play for 4th-and-one on our side of the 50 against the top-ranked defense in the country (not statistical darlings as long as you don't look too deeply at the details). And line up to and then take the snap in the shotgun.....wait, what?)
Even when being less predictable, the coaching errors are brutal and, dare I say, thoughtless. And contribute to inexplicable losses.
At least we fired the Offensive Coordinator for the stupid call at he goal line with time running out against Michigan in 2015. (NOTE: Not advocating firing Harbaugh because you know he'd be replaced by a cheaper, less effective version of the same thing).