formerlybis
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I don't dispute anything you say here.Every player that has put their name in the portal you have held out hope that they'll return. They haven't and they're not going to. If Christie plays college basketball next year, it won't be at MN. Doogie made it clear he put his name in the portal because he has big $$ promised elsewhere if he chooses to pull out of the draft. If he had any intention of playing for the Gophers again, he wouldn't have gone into the portal.
For argument's sake, however, put yourself in the position of this other school that's promised him big $$. Do you stop shopping for anybody else at that position while you wait for his decision? If you do wait and then he stays in the draft, your plan Bs and Cs probably signed elsewhere. Unless Christie already told this school that he plans on opting out of the draft, it's a mighty gamble for that school to wait.
Really, it's not that different a gamble that MN has right now - with the major difference being that the other school has enough NIL $ to be on the prowl for NBA opter-outers.