Bubblicious Friday: Productive Day On The Bubble For Gophers

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Not sure how much it woulda helped us but Ohio State really blew that game against Michigan by missing 5 free throws down the stretch and then Craft loses the ball on the tying 3 point attempt. 2 of the more important games for us going on right now with Duke/NC State and Kentucky/Georgia.
 












Lunardi/Palm question -

Once they declare a team "a lock" - do they ever renege?

Just wondering if they paint themselves into a corner by declaring locks on teams like Iowa and SMU early on, only to see them stumble badly down the stretch.
 

afurry91 said:
How are we looking today? I just sat down for some ball. Good news or bad news on the bubble front?
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Primary games going the way we need them to -- St. Bonaventure, NC State, Georgia lose, so nobody jumps us.

Secondary games, i.e. RPI boosters, are not helping -- OSU and Wiscy losing. One more tonight--I think Providence is in regardless, but them losing might help us as it would likely put another team behind us in RPI ... you have to think the committee's only going to let so many teams jump us.
 

Absolutely ridiculous that he includes Nebraska and not Iowa

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Teams that will be sweating it out tomorrow: BYU, Dayton, Nebraska, Southern Miss, Minnesota, FSU, Arkansas, Cal, St. John's.</p>— Jeff Goodman (@GoodmanESPN) <a href="https://twitter.com/GoodmanESPN/statuses/444957834414129152">March 15, 2014</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

cemba99 said:
Lunardi/Palm question -

Once they declare a team "a lock" - do they ever renege?

Just wondering if they paint themselves into a corner by declaring locks on teams like Iowa and SMU early on, only to see them stumble badly down the stretch.
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I don't know that they declare teams 'locks' or not.
 



It's a Pig Man! said:
Absolutely ridiculous that he includes Nebraska and not Iowa

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Teams that will be sweating it out tomorrow: BYU, Dayton, Nebraska, Southern Miss, Minnesota, FSU, Arkansas, Cal, St. John's.</p>— Jeff Goodman (@GoodmanESPN) <a href="https://twitter.com/GoodmanESPN/statuses/444957834414129152">March 15, 2014</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Amen, if Iowa makes it and either Nebraska or MN don't (especially Nebraska) it will be BS.
 

howeda7 said:
You spent two months being the #1 cheerleader telling us how fine the Gophers resume was. The last week you've been the #1 board pessimist. Why? Nothing really changed as far as the Gophers themselves.

Bottom line is if the SOS/Dre's injury count for something, we have a shot. If they don't, we don't. I'm pretty sure they're not looking at lists like this. That's the whole point of looking at the RPI.
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A couple things changed.

#1 I think we lost to Illinois at home which made a pretty big difference.
#2 A lot of other bubble teams went on nice winning streaks. (Nebraska, Oregon, Pitt (kind of), Baylor).
#3 The amount of respect the American and the Atlantic 10 is what is concerning me. Both are very weak conferences in conference RPI, but the "experts" are going crazy for teams like SMU who if I looked at completely unbiased with just my own formulas / stats, they'd be no where near in.
 

If Larry Brown weren't the coach of SMU would they even be in the conversation?
 

WanderingGopher said:
Primary games going the way we need them to -- St. Bonaventure, NC State, Georgia lose, so nobody jumps us.

Secondary games, i.e. RPI boosters, are not helping -- OSU and Wiscy losing. One more tonight--I think Providence is in regardless, but them losing might help us as it would likely put another team behind us in RPI ... you have to think the committee's only going to let so many teams jump us.
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On Bracketmatrix, Providence is the consensus last team in with MN the first out.

They are two spots ahead of us in RPI. A loss by them would help our chances significantly (As much as anything at this point... there's really nothing else we can do).
 

MadtownGopher said:
If Larry Brown weren't the coach of SMU would they even be in the conversation?
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People keep pointing at their 4 wins. (Twice vs UConn, and two others. Cincy and Memphis) as if that's all a team needs to do. Oh yeah, and they won a lot of games against the bottom half teams. (RPI below 150). One of the worst SOS you can find.
 

MadtownGopher said:
If Larry Brown weren't the coach of SMU would they even be in the conversation?
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No. I think the American is the most over-rated conference. They have 4 good teams, SMU and five awful teams. The Gophers, Illinois or Indiana would finish no worse than 5th in that conference, IMO and any team in the B1G could finish 6th.
 



Face The Facts said:
On Bracketmatrix, Providence is the consensus last team in with MN the first out.

They are two spots ahead of us in RPI. A loss by them would help our chances significantly (As much as anything at this point... there's really nothing else we can do).
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How do you read Bracketmatrix? From what I'm looking at, Southern Miss is first out, we're second. We're not in their field because BYU, Providence, Dayton, Xavier, Nebraska, K State, and SMU are in.

Realistically, I think our best argument would be to jump SMU and Southern Miss, with the reasoning being SOS.
 

P.S. Why are these talking heads still talking about Arkansas? Their current RPI is 76. SEVENTY-SIX!! To put that in perspective, Richmond is still at 74 even with their complete collapse the last six weeks without their best player.
 

WanderingGopher said:
How do you read Bracketmatrix? From what I'm looking at, Southern Miss is first out, we're second. We're not in their field because BYU, Providence, Dayton, Xavier, Nebraska, K State, and SMU are in.

Realistically, I think our best argument would be to jump SMU and Southern Miss, with the reasoning being SOS.
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Hopefully Michigan wins and our RPI jumps back over. However.....I'm not too concerned about Missouri stealing our bid either way.
 

One other RPI note: we're perilously close to losing another top-100 win, as Indiana now checks in at #100.
 

WanderingGopher said:
One other RPI note: we're perilously close to losing another top-100 win, as Indiana now checks in at #100.
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It would also give Iowa a second 101+ RPI loss. Same as the Gophers. Iowa's RPI now checks in at 56. But they're a lock, so the point is moot.
 

Providence up 9 at half against Creighton. Really hope Creighton can come back and win.
 




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