GophersInIowa
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Weather pattern looks to be pretty active the next couple of weeks.
I do think it will be a warmer than average winter, the majority of El Nino's are. Where I've disagreed with others is that I think it will be slightly above average snowfall as well. I don't think winter will really get going until January, and then we'll see above average snowfall Jan-Apr.
Snowfall during El Nino winters is much harder to predict. Typically they are drier, but we have had some very snowy El Nino winters as well.
Bring itI posted this in the OTB climate thread in response to @Full Speed Ahead's question on November 16th, and so far we are pretty much on track. It's going to be interesting to see how much snow we get this month, and the rest of the winter.
The pattern is changing and it's going to stay that way for awhile.
Bring it
Lock it in
It's popular to joke about meteorologists being wrong all the time, but the reality is they are actually really damn good at what they do when you consider all the variables involved.I kinda feel bad for meteorologists now days. We had a nice storm here in Wisconsin yesterday. The responses on social media for the NWS and local guys was brutal. People are just mean. For most of the area the forecast was dead on. But for a small portion they didn't get as much snow as expected. It was a tricky storm with temps around 33-34 all day and the warm Lake Michigan.
One of the meteorologists from the local station had a lady respond that in her area they were going to get less than 2 inches but school was called off. He made sure to go back to that post at the end of the day to let her know her city actually received 12 inches. I got a kick out of it.
The models predicted this one really well. But it's not perfect. People are so ignorant and ridiculous with their expectations sometimes.
Yeah I see it all the time "If I was as wrong as they are all the time, I'd be fired". Well they're right most of the time for one. It's just that most people don't notice unless they do get it wrong. And secondly most jobs don't require you to predict the future.It's popular to joke about meteorologists being wrong all the time, but the reality is they are actually really damn good at what they do when you consider all the variables involved.
We're gonna get another big storm here Friday into Saturday. 6+ inches. Then brutal cold.It will finally be necessary to break out the big coats this week-end.
You do realize that the result of global warming is the next Ice Age? Dennis Quaid has all the data.Can we bring back global warming...I'm freezing.
It seems the bulk of the complaints are when schools close and things are canceled and then it isn’t that bad. I get the frustration but these people don’t understand how difficult it is to predict snowfall totals, especially with these very complex storms. They’re the same people that would be bitching if they don’t predict a lot and it ends up being really bad.It’s such a midwestern thing to be mad that you get less snow than predicted. I am thrilled when they say 10 inches and it’s only a couple of inches. (That’s what she said)
Basically, exactly what you predicted two or more months back - just another reason @GopherWeatherGuy is an elite forecaster.
Remember they changed it to Climate Change, just to have all their bases covered.Can we bring back global warming...I'm freezing.
Basically, exactly what you predicted two or more months back - just another reason @GopherWeatherGuy is an elite forecaster.
We ended up with about 2 feet at our house from Tuesday through yesterday morning. Went from about 16 inches below normal to 8 above.The only problem is my house got very little, and I'm very midwestern upset about it.
It will finally be necessary to break out the big coats this week-end.
799 inches ehTo date in the Twin Cities, the airport has had just 11 cumulative inches of snow DEPTH for the season. This is t-2nd lowest all time with 1960-61, behind the 8 inches of 2002-03.
By contrast, the most to this point in the season was not surprisingly 1991-92 with 799 inches.
2003 did not have a day exceeding 2 inches until January 31, and 1961 did not have one until February 18th.
I went on a hike last weekend. It was -4 below when I got out of my car.I wore my winter coat for the first time (this winter) today. Hate wearing all that extra bulk.