Gopher_In_NYC
Well-known member
- Joined
- Apr 19, 2010
- Messages
- 21,384
- Reaction score
- 14,859
- Points
- 113
Replied to you with a DMWithout looking
Last edited:
Replied to you with a DMWithout looking
Without looking up.
Bonds
Aaron
Ruth
Mays
Thome
Pujols
A-Rod
Griffey
Ted Williams
Can't believe I missed the one I did, ugh!Replied to you with a DM
300 wins won't happen again I don't think. 3000 hits is more likely, but would still be hard. Has to be a guy like Arraez that starts in the MLB at a young age. Arraez would have to average a bit over 200 hits per year for 10 more seasons to get to 3000.In looking up where I screwed up on the home run list, I was fairly surprised to see Gaetti is 87th all-time in home runs with 360.
Also of note, I highly doubt there will ever be another 300 game winner in my lifetime and seeing someone get to 3000 hits doesn't feel like a very same bet either, so the other big milestone is the 500 home run club. Stanton is at 420 (at 34 years old). He could get there. Judge is at 291 (32 years old), and Harper is at 327 at 31 years old. Other than that, I don't see any likely candidates.
Interesting note on Zebby (what a great name) Matthew’s and how far he’s come. Easier for those tall hurlers to add velocity, like Festa-OK - day 3 of the draft for the Twins - (we like tall pitchers....)
round 11 - Michael Carpenter - LH Pitcher - Madison Area Technical College, WI (a juco) - 6'1", 195 lbs -- at his Juco went 10-2 with 1.03ERA - 111K in 78 IP
rnd 12 - Christian Becerra - RH P - Cal - 6'1", 170lbs - mostly worked out of 'pen - this year at Cal went 4-1 w/3.68 ERA - 51 IP, 57 K - 14 BB
rnd 13 - Xavier Kolhosser - RH P - St. John's (NY) - 6'5", 195 lbs - this year went 9-2 w/3.43 ERA, 76 IP, 51 K, 26 BB
rnd 14 - Jacob Kisting - RH P - Bradley Univ. - 6'5", 220 lbs - this year went 1-1 w/ 6.19 ERA, 16 IP, 15 K, 6 BB - did better in summer-league play
rnd 15 - Cole Peschl - RH P - Campbell U. (NC) - 6'1", 215 lbs - this year 3-3, 5.48 ERA, 69 IP, 83 K, 19 BB
rnd 16 - Aidan Haugh - RH P - North Carolina - 6'6", 210 lbs - was a juco, '24 1st season at N. Carolina - appeared in 22 games, 8 as a starter - 4-3, 4.83 ERA, 54 IP, 61 K, 27 BB
rnd 17 - Jay Thomason - 3B - Bat L/Throw R - Air Force - 6'1", 200 lbs - this season hit .358/.452/.763 (1.215 OPS) - 21 HR, 55 RBI,
rnd 18 - Michael Ross - RH P - Samford Univ. - 6'2", 205 lbs - this year 13-0, 3.27 ERA, 96 IP, 88 K, 21 BB
rnd 19 - Logan Whitaker - RH P - NC State - 6'6", 220 lbs - this year 3-1, 5.49 ERA, 59 IP, 69 K, 22 BB (appeared in 13 gms, 9 as a starter)
rnd 20 - Merit Jones - RH P - Utah - 6'4", 200 lbs (full name is Christian Merit Jones) - this year 3-5, 5.66 ERA, 68 IP, 68 K, 33 BB
3/5 of their rotation was developed in part by our minor leagues; with Ober being a draft pick.the Twins do seem to have a type when it comes to drafting pitchers. land bigger guys with decent control and go to work to bump up the velocity.
if they can just keep them healthy. don't know if it's just bad luck or something the Twins developmental people are doing, but so many of their top pitching prospects keep getting hurt. they can't convert them all to relievers. some of them have to stick as starters.
Another 300-game winner isn't likely, but it's at least worth keeping an eye on Verlander. He's sitting at 260 right now, so if he played another 3 seasons after this one, and averaged around 12-13 wins per (assuming he picks up another handful yet this season), he would get there. He would be 44 in that season, an age met, and sometimes easily surpassed, by a number of great pitchers in history.In looking up where I screwed up on the home run list, I was fairly surprised to see Gaetti is 87th all-time in home runs with 360.
Also of note, I highly doubt there will ever be another 300 game winner in my lifetime and seeing someone get to 3000 hits doesn't feel like a very safe bet either, so the other big milestone is the 500 home run club. Stanton is at 420 (at 34 years old). He could get there. Judge is at 291 (32 years old), and Harper is at 327 at 31 years old. Other than that, I don't see any likely candidates.
Off the top of my head: Trout, Verlander, Kershaw, Scherzer, Freeman, Altuve? Maybe Betts?Name the 6 active MLB players guaranteed to be in the Hall of Fame when they retire (not my creation, but it made sense to me FWIW) -
Active players who are guaranteed to make the Hall of Fame #mlb #baseball #trivia
Buy tickets NOW for our All-Star event on Tuesday, July 16th in Dallas, Texas! https://shop.jomboymedia.com/products/jomboy-media-all-star-party-dallasSubscr...youtube.com
What a sneaky great career he had - if he would have played on the East Coast, his mug would have been everywhere.Off the top of my head: Trout, Verlander, Kershaw, Scherzer, Freeman, Altuve? Maybe Betts?
Edit: Ah close, the one guy I missed I didn't consider as still active. Forgot he signed with the Blue Jays.
Good add and I agree.I feel like Altuve is pretty much a lock as well. His numbers are right there, then add in what he's done in the postseason and winning an MVP as a 2B.
Consumable pro; with such a sweet swing. Especially respect guys that also can use their as a weapon.Also, is Freeman one of the most underrated great players of all time? He doesn't get the notoriety of a lot of other guys, even though he's played in big markets his entire career. He just quietly continues to rake.
I’m doubling down - thanks Jennifer Coolidge for showing me the way.this is interesting (at least to me)
Austin Mock in The Athletic uses a system to predict which teams have the highest odds of making the playoffs. here's what he does:
My MLB model creates a projection for every player which can then be combined into a team rating. From there, I’m able to simulate every game of the regular season and playoffs to see how often every team wins the World Series. This process runs 100,000 times to get a large enough sample to most accurately reflect the expected results. I will note that I do not project any trades before they’re official.
for the Twins - he projects them to finish the season with 89.5 wins, which would be the 6th most in MLB and 3rd-most in the AL.
Odds of making the playoffs - 84.2%
odds of winning the division - 47.1% (Guardians at 41.1%)
odds of making it to the World Series - 14.3% (5th-highest in MLB)
odds of winning the World Series - 6.8% (6th-highest behind Dodgers, Yankees, Phillies, Orioles and Braves)
Name the 6 active MLB players guaranteed to be in the Hall of Fame when they retire (not my creation, but it made sense to me FWIW) -
Active players who are guaranteed to make the Hall of Fame #mlb #baseball #trivia
Buy tickets NOW for our All-Star event on Tuesday, July 16th in Dallas, Texas! https://shop.jomboymedia.com/products/jomboy-media-all-star-party-dallasSubscr...youtube.com
Rolen got in and I would put him and Votto on the same level.Trout, Verlander, Scherzer, Kershaw, Stanton, Altuve? Judge, Ohtani, Harper in the wings?
Edit: I also missed on Freeman and Votto. I’m a big fan of Votto, but looking at his overall numbers, he seems borderline to me.
Freeman seems more assured, as he’s still putting up numbers and you can foresee two-three solid seasons ahead for him.
It's fun looking through the all-time leader lists in different categories. In doing so, noticed two guys that are very underrated IMO are Lance Berkman and Carlos Delgado. Berkman has the 31st highest OPS of all-time. Delgado is 44th. Delgado has 31st highest SLG of all-time, Berkman at 41st.What a sneaky great career he had - if he would have played on the East Coast, his mug would have been everywhere.
I whiffed on him also.
Good add and I agree.
Consumable pro; with such a sweet swing. Especially respect guys that also can use their as a weapon.
He seems like a great dude too - both his parents are Canadian, so that helps.
Bergman always reminded me of a guy who looked like he could be on your softball team; semi-portly, but athletic.It's fun looking through the all-time leader lists in different categories. In doing so, noticed two guys that are very underrated IMO are Lance Berkman and Carlos Delgado. Berkman has the 31st highest OPS of all-time. Delgado is 44th. Delgado has 31st highest SLG of all-time, Berkman at 41st.
Not saying they deserve to be in the Hall but both guys didn't even make it past the first ballot. Crazy.
I think it has a lot to do with there being more teams and more players overall. Expanding globally and having better training means there is less difference between the truly great and the very good. A smaller percentage of players get into the Hall of Fame now than they used to so they are technically more selective now.on the Hall of Fame, I am one of those grumpy old guys. I think the Hall should be reserved for the truly great players - in today's parlance "generational" talent. there are players in the Hall who - in my opinion - really don't belong - IF you are comparing them to Ruth, Aaron, Mays, Koufax, Gibson, etc.
at the same time, I understand that the game has changed - and it's harder to compare stats to players of earlier eras. the traditional 'counting' stats are less important in today's game.
so for me, the question is one of standards. what is the standard for a Hall of Fame player, and should those standards change over time to reflect changes in how the game is played and evaluated?
but in the end, my personal opinion is that, if there is a question on whether someone belongs in the Hall of Fame, my choice would be to err on the side of caution. I would rather keep a borderline player out of the Hall as opposed to letting a borderline player in the Hall.
Wow. I had no idea stanton has that many. 129 ahead of judge and only 2 years olderIn looking up where I screwed up on the home run list, I was fairly surprised to see Gaetti is 87th all-time in home runs with 360.
Also of note, I highly doubt there will ever be another 300 game winner in my lifetime and seeing someone get to 3000 hits doesn't feel like a very safe bet either, so the other big milestone is the 500 home run club. Stanton is at 420 (at 34 years old). He could get there. Judge is at 291 (32 years old), and Harper is at 327 at 31 years old. Other than that, I don't see any likely candidates.
Stanton debuted at age 20, while Judge went to college and debuted at age 24. Those 6 years @ 21+ HRs a year is the difference.Wow. I had no idea stanton has that many. 129 ahead of judge and only 2 years older
If there’s one player who needs a reassessment and admission to the HOF, it’s Sweet Lou Whitaker in my book. He’s smack dab in the middle of the HOF 2B’s from statistically point of view, was part of an iconic double play combo for 10+ years that included a World Series win and he’s gotten minimal support over the years, both initially (3% of the vote!) and through the veteran committee in 2020 fell well short of the needed votes. I don’t get it.It's fun looking through the all-time leader lists in different categories. In doing so, noticed two guys that are very underrated IMO are Lance Berkman and Carlos Delgado. Berkman has the 31st highest OPS of all-time. Delgado is 44th. Delgado has 31st highest SLG of all-time, Berkman at 41st.
Not saying they deserve to be in the Hall but both guys didn't even make it past the first ballot. Crazy.
He's in a similar situation that Blyleven was in. Was never great (although had a 5 year run that was near great in the mid 80s) but was very good for a long time. He's probably the second best 2B of the 80's behind Sandberg.If there’s one player who needs a reassessment and admission to the HOF, it’s Sweet Lou Whitaker in my book. He’s smack dab in the middle of the HOF 2B’s from statistically point of view, was part of an iconic double play combo for 10+ years that included a World Series win and he’s gotten minimal support over the years, both initially (3% of the vote!) and through the veteran committee in 2020 fell well short of the needed votes. I don’t get it.
Yeah, Judge being older than Harper might be the most surprising part now that I think about it.Wow. I had no idea stanton has that many. 129 ahead of judge and only 2 years older