Championship Week Update: Through Thursday, May 23
Will update this daily as we wind our way toward Selection Monday. ... (updated Friday a.m.)
Friday's Projected Bubble Cutline: between #40-47
There are 11 D-I baseball conferences that absolutely will receive only 1 bid to the 64-team NCAA Tournament. They are: America East (TBD); Atlantic 10 (TBD); Horizon (TBD); Ivy (Columbia); Metro Atlantic (TBD); MAC (TBD); MEAC (Savannah State); Patriot (Army); SWAC (Jackson State); Summit (TBD); and WAC (TBD). In addition, Cal State-Fullerton (#5 RPI) has already clinched the Big West's automatic bid.
I've also locked in bids for three teams already eliminated from their conference tournament, meaning 15 bids are locked up. That leaves roughly 68 teams in the hunt for the remaining 49 bids, 18 of which will be automatic qualifiers.
All listed teams are in the RPI top 75 and have an overall record over. 500.
AUTO BIDS ALREADY EARNED (5)
Big West: #5 Cal-State Fullerton (46-8)
Ivy: #104 Columbia (27-19)
MEAC: #178 Savannah State (33-20)
Patriot: #198 Army (27-21)
SWAC: #252 Jackson State (31-20)
68 Teams for 49 Bids (in RPI order & still have games remaining)
1. North Carolina (ACC top seed)
2. Vanderbilt
3. Virginia
4. Oregon State (current Pac 12 leader)
6. LSU
7. Oregon
8. Florida State
9. NC State
10. Mississippi State
11. Virginia Tech
12. Clemson
14. Indiana (B1G top seed)
15. UCLA
16. South Alabama
18. Kansas State (Big 12 top seed)
20. Miami-Florida
21. Arizona State
22. Georgia Tech
23. Cal Poly
24. Louisiana
25. Alabama
26. Mercer (Atlantic Sun top seed)
27. NC-Wilmington
28. Austin Peay
29. Troy (Sun Belt top seed)
30. Illinois
31. FAU
33. Texas A&M
34. Arkansas (SEC tournament leader)
35. Notre Dame (Big East tournament leader)
36. Coastal Carolina
40. Seton Hall
41. William & Mary (Colonial tournament leader)
42. Campbell (Big South top seed)
43. Rice (Conference USA top seed)
44. Sam Houston State
45. Oklahoma State
48. Oklahoma
49. New Mexico (Mountain West top seed)
50. San Diego (West Coast tournament leader)
51. San Francisco
52. Western Carolina
53. Houston
54. Bryant
55. Southeastern Louisiana
57. North Florida
58. BYU
59. Ohio State
60. UCSB
61. Arizona
62. Baylor
63. Illinois State (Missouri Valley top seed)
65. South Florida
67. Pitt
68. Florida Gulf Coast
69. UNLV
71. The Citadel (Southern tournament leader)
73. UC Irvine
74. Belmont
75. Stanford
SEASON COMPLETED (Locks/Squarely on the Bubble/Longshots)
Locks
13. South Carolina (39-18)
17. Louisville (46-12)
19. Ole Miss (37-22)
Squarely on the Bubble -- conference records include conference tournament
32. Florida (29-28, 14-17)
37. Michigan State (33-17, 12-9)
39. Auburn (33-23, 13-18)
Longshots or "No-Shots" -- conference records include conference tournament
38. Maryland (30-25, 11-19)
47. Kentucky (30-25, 11-20)
56. Wake Forest (28-27, 9-20)
64. Creighton (30-18, 13-10)
72. Texas (27-24, 7-17)
Notes
** #80 Tennessee Tech (Ohio Valley), #103 Oral Roberts (Southland), and #150 Sacred Heart (Northeast) are the top seeds and/or lead their conference tournaments but are not in the RPI top 75. Those conferences have lower-seeded teams with RPI rankings in the top 75.
** In 2012 Sam Houston State (#52) had the worst RPI among at-large selections, while Maryland (#33) had the best RPI left out of the tournament.