hello-world
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Right now they are mostly based on recent performance, recruiting rankings, and returning production. They're not only based on two games. The line moved by a touchdown because both teams moved by 3 points in opposite directions versus the "average" team. That's a completely reasonable move given that Minnesota's offense started the season at like #60 in SP+ (which is clearly too low) and Wisconsin's defense started at like #3 in SP+ (which is clearly too high).Ok. But the game isn't being played on Saturday. These numbers are being based on four games.....three of which have been played against far inferior opponents. The fact that the SP+ line moved by more than a touchdown from week one to week two shows how incomplete the information is at this point.
If you're that confident that the line is off, do you want to give me $1K on Wisconsin at even money right now? I'll take it.