What is Coyle's, "keep Ben, win tally?"

I personally don't think any of the freshman are job saving recruits, they're nice prospects but they'll need time There's no Amir Coffey, Andre Hollins or even an Asuama in that group. We lose them I would trust if we hire established coach there will be guys that he brings with him. With that said I do agree you have to take inventory every year when making decisions about your program I just don't think the 2025 class is any ace in the hole.
The odds we do that and finish in 18th place next are greater than 80%. See Washington. Changing coaches every 5 years isn't going to fix the fundamental problem with Gopher basketball.

Does anyone think the Gophers are going to hire someone like Danny Sprinkle? Much less suceed with a coach of his caliber if there's not an influx of money?
 

Part of me thinks Cole was keeping Ben the whole time regardless of record.

Truth is, the last two coaches were fired after NCAA tournament appearances.

Ben has been kept with the worst winning percentage in Gopher history.

Based on those facts, how can you possibly make an accurate prediction?
A lot of an AD's decision is going to be based on program trajectory. Year's 1 and 2 were bad but you expect some of that when hiring a first time head coach. Year 3 showed significant improvement with a roster full of players that could return.

Then everything basically got reset back to the beginning as the roster fell apart.

Year 4 started rough but is on a bit of an upswing, however it still has a ways to go before it can be viewed as improvement from year 3. Gong to need a lot more of an upswing to get it to the point where the program once again seems to be on an upward trajectory since we all know the roster is going to be reset yet again after this season.

After this year Coyle will have to decide if he has seen enough in the roster rebuilds Ben has done to this point to justify the chance to let him do it again. With no above .500 finishes in conference and no NCAA tournament bids that is going to be a real tough sell.
 

Tourney or Toodledo.
Anything short demands a change after four years.
 

The odds we do that and finish in 18th place next are greater than 80%. See Washington. Changing coaches every 5 years isn't going to fix the fundamental problem with Gopher basketball.

Does anyone think the Gophers are going to hire someone like Danny Sprinkle? Much less suceed with a coach of his caliber if there's not an influx of money?
No but to play devils advocate we are going to be rebuilding this roster next year regardless. At a minimum eight guys are out of eligibility so that 89 percent line you pulled out of your ass isn't really relevant to our situation. Yes the program needs more money and donors but part of that is on the coach and putting in that effort. Look at PJ and the inroads he's made on the NIL front with DTA. While not great it's a complete t collective and it's way harder to win here in football then it is in basketball. You don't give up and settle because it's hard.
 

Part of me thinks Cole was keeping Ben the whole time regardless of record.

Truth is, the last two coaches were fired after NCAA tournament appearances.

Ben has been kept with the worst winning percentage in Gopher history.

Based on those facts, how can you possibly make an accurate prediction?
Pitino wasn't fired after an NCAA appearance
 


No but to play devils advocate we are going to be rebuilding this roster next year regardless. At a minimum eight guys are out of eligibility so that 89 percent line you pulled out of your ass isn't really relevant to our situation. Yes the program needs more money and donors but part of that is on the coach and putting in that effort. Look at PJ and the inroads he's made on the NIL front with DTA. While not great it's a complete t collective and it's way harder to win here in football then it is in basketball. You don't give up and settle because it's hard.
The basketball history here is filled with scandal and cheating. Haven't won more than one tournament game in almost 30 years and that doesn't count per the record books. Why do you think this?
 

the Question in the OP is essentially - what is Mark Coyle thinking?

we're talking about Mark Coyle - the Ghost AD. he's more of a rumor than a real person. he pops up like the Groundhog every once in a while, makes some vaguely positive comments to Justin Gaard, and then retreats back into his lair.

but, to take a stab at the question - I don't think the win total really matters. I suspect the decision has already been made. Johnson is gone at the end of the season, and Coyle will bring in someone else who is willing to work for a below-average salary and work with limited resources.
 

Not yours, not mine, but what is going to be the bar Ben has to cross in Big Ten wins to get Coyle to keep him?

I am guessing 7 or 8 wins and he convinces Coyle to stay the course. To get to 8- he would have to go 5-6 the rest of the way and he could claim he went 8-6 down the stretch.
Just let er rip!
 

Saw Coyle at the game Saturday on the court pregame doing things that administrators do. If ADs are more public it's typically because of scandal, a coaching change is made, or there is something to celebrate/announce. He does football interviews every week at halftime of the games. He works behind the scenes with the programs.

Not sure what people are looking for in the middle of a season with 6 weeks to go in the season.

Still think that Coyle has a solid plan and has been slowly working through the evolution of NIL and paying players.
 



Three very differing outcomes for CBJ and the Gophers season.

I hope they continue solid play and win 6/+ more BTN games, finish the season 9-11/10-10 AND have a solid BigTen Tournament showing winning a couple games--CBJ clearly will be finishing his contract. Going 19-15/20-14 for season is decent/bubble discussion. I suspect most attitudes would change, even the pitchforkers would support CBJ.

If MN has peaked and slides/has injuries the rest of the season winning 3-4 games and NOT getting in/or not winning a couple tournament games, 15-16 record--CBJ likely could be removed for an "instant-impact" coach ie. Dusty May that brings guys in. Problem is, who is that guy if he's even out there? (not).

If MN wins 5 more games, 8-12 conf. record, then the Big Ten tournament run would be required and NCAA bid would save CBJ. Unlikely.
 
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The basketball history here is filled with scandal and cheating. Haven't won more than one tournament game in almost 30 years and that doesn't count per the record books. Why do you think this?
Is this sarcasm or are you being serious. Technically we won two tournament games in a seven year span post scandal, Clem also has five tourney wins that do count in the record books and quite frankly now that Michigan is hanging their fab five banners are you really going to play possum with the 90s era? I'll have a discussion if serious but if you look at our last 60 years of football history and have a basic understanding of football and basketball recruiting, understand the 300 mile radius for both sports to get talent, follow up by the common sense of paying more players and needing a bigger payroll for football. Do I really need to draw you a map? Even with the portal, there's way more parody in college basketball, the dance allows for more upsets, especially now as teams at all levels are looking to stay older, trickle down effect is much more obvious. You think FAU was paying transfers huge NIL money?
 

Saw Coyle at the game Saturday on the court pregame doing things that administrators do. If ADs are more public it's typically because of scandal, a coaching change is made, or there is something to celebrate/announce. He does football interviews every week at halftime of the games. He works behind the scenes with the programs.

Not sure what people are looking for in the middle of a season with 6 weeks to go in the season.

Still think that Coyle has a solid plan and has been slowly working through the evolution of NIL and paying players.
Look there is no place here for rational opinions like that.... :)

Not really sure what some expect Coyle to do or say right now in regards to the situation but also feel confident in saying that no matter what he does or says they won't like it unless it involves him firing the coach.
 

The basketball history here is filled with scandal and cheating. Haven't won more than one tournament game in almost 30 years and that doesn't count per the record books. Why do you think this?
Fake news.
 



Is this sarcasm or are you being serious. Technically we won two tournament games in a seven year span post scandal, Clem also has five tourney wins that do count in the record books and quite frankly now that Michigan is hanging their fab five banners are you really going to play possum with the 90s era? I'll have a discussion if serious but if you look at our last 60 years of football history and have a basic understanding of football and basketball recruiting, understand the 300 mile radius for both sports to get talent, follow up by the common sense of paying more players and needing a bigger payroll for football. Do I really need to draw you a map? Even with the portal, there's way more parody in college basketball, the dance allows for more upsets, especially now as teams at all levels are looking to stay older, trickle down effect is much more obvious. You think FAU was paying transfers huge NIL money?
More than one tournament game as in making the sweet sixteen. We literally lost 2 starters last year because of NIL. Minnesota is the 17th or 18th best program in the B1G. FAU winning has little to do with Minnesota considering they don't play in a premier conference.

I'm sure Pitino, Tubby and Monson had no idea how to coach and magically discovered how to coach after being fired here. I don't care about 60 years ago but this century the football program has been better than the basketball program.
 

More than one tournament game as in making the sweet sixteen. We literally lost 2 starters last year because of NIL. Minnesota is the 17th or 18th best program in the B1G. FAU winning has little to do with Minnesota considering they don't play in a premier conference.

I'm sure Pitino, Tubby and Monson had no idea how to coach and magically discovered how to coach after being fired here. I don't care about 60 years ago but this century the football program has been better than the basketball program.
Yet they all kept losing and you act like they all turned into God's gift to basketball coaching in lesser leagues. So you think we should keep the status quo when it's obviously not working. Got it. Our NIL issues are in part due to Ben's in ability to drive up donors, if PJ can do it in football it can be done in hoops too. FAU on its own has nothing to do with it other than one of their guards started his career here, but they are an example of the parity in the sport, which is a good thing you don't need to have a huge NIL budget to find talent, they're plenty of talented division one basketball players out there and under Ben we have failed for four years to put a consistent product on the floor. Anyways you want to just throw your hands up and accept being a losing program then you do you beau. Tubby has one okay year and a bunch of shitty years at TT, Memphis and High Point. Monson, really two tourneys in 19 years at Long Beach. I'm genuinely happy for Pitino but he got eight years. That really the hill you want to die on?
 

Yet they all kept losing and you act like they all turned into God's gift to basketball coaching in lesser leagues. So you think we should keep the status quo when it's obviously not working. Got it. Our NIL issues are in part due to Ben's in ability to drive up donors, if PJ can do it in football it can be done in hoops too. FAU on its own has nothing to do with it other than one of their guards started his career here, but they are an example of the parity in the sport, which is a good thing you don't need to have a huge NIL budget to find talent, they're plenty of talented division one basketball players out there and under Ben we have failed for four years to put a consistent product on the floor. Anyways you want to just throw your hands up and accept being a losing program then you do you beau. Tubby has one okay year and a bunch of shitty years at TT, Memphis and High Point. Monson, really two tourneys in 19 years at Long Beach. I'm genuinely happy for Pitino but he got eight years. That really the hill you want to die on?
I don't really care if they fire the coach or not. Bringing in a new coach with the 17th or 18th salary in the B1G isn't going to do anything other than repeating this same process in 5 years. Would love to be proven wrong but I wont be.
 

I don't really care if they fire the coach or not. Bringing in a new coach with the 17th or 18th salary in the B1G isn't going to do anything other than repeating this same process in 5 years. Would love to be proven wrong but I wont be.
I think they need to move on barring a miraculous run by Ben and the Gophers. However, I totally agree with you- if you are going to move on- go big. Pay big boy money for a proven winner or....don't fire the current coach. I said this in the past when we were firing Monson, Tubby and then Pitino- if you are going to do it, go big.
 

I think we all can agree Ben was a poor unqualified hire, well liked, etc but ultimately not ready for prime time. His record on the court, in recruiting and in NIL fund raising is a direct reflection of his inadequacies. The experiment is over...time to move on...we need a real head coach who has a track record of winning at some level.
 

I don't really care if they fire the coach or not. Bringing in a new coach with the 17th or 18th salary in the B1G isn't going to do anything other than repeating this same process in 5 years. Would love to be proven wrong but I wont be.
Did Ben magically find more $$ the past week? How in the world did his team win three straight given the dearth of $$.
 


Look there is no place here for rational opinions like that.... :)

Not really sure what some expect Coyle to do or say right now in regards to the situation but also feel confident in saying that no matter what he does or says they won't like it unless it involves him firing the coach.
The reason we can have these discussions is that because the AD can't be talking much, we are free to add in our own thoughts as his thoughts, and no one can deny it. It's a lot like modern news, where huge percentages of it are speculation. It's not really a problem as long as we understand the difference between our inferences and fact. Pretty easy to lose the distinction though.
 


What's Coyle's skin-in-the-game as far as success of the men's bb team? Same for the UoM administrators. Don't remember seeing any of those people at bb games. If those people have a say-so in the administration of the program, e.g. CBJ needs to be hired since he fits their desired background, then they should also have a responsibility beyond their "worthless" opinions. Coyle and the administrators should be at every game while publicly promoting the UofM athletics, regardless of the program as well as paying for their own season tickets (2 tickets per administrator). Coyle's wife included. These people are being paid exorbitant salaries from the taxpayers and students of the UofM and need to show their support.
 

What's Coyle's skin-in-the-game as far as success of the men's bb team? Same for the UoM administrators. Don't remember seeing any of those people at bb games. If those people have a say-so in the administration of the program, e.g. CBJ needs to be hired since he fits their desired background, then they should also have a responsibility beyond their "worthless" opinions. Coyle and the administrators should be at every game while publicly promoting the UofM athletics, regardless of the program as well as paying for their own season tickets (2 tickets per administrator). Coyle's wife included. These people are being paid exorbitant salaries from the taxpayers and students of the UofM and need to show their support.
Let me start by saying I am not sure if you are being serious or making a really really really poor attempt at being sarcastic or humorous.

Can't speak for the admins or BOR members because I could be standing right next to one of them and not know it. But in regards to Coyle he has been at many games, I know this because I have seen shots of him down near the court on multiple TV broadcasts. That said, he also can't be at every game because as the AD he has to make appearances at other sports as well. So in spite of the fact that you claim not to have seen him....I feel confident saying he's there most of the time.

As for skin in the game....the AD is evaluated primarily on the success of the football and men's basketball programs....so yeah....it is in Coyle's best interests for the basketball team to be successful in spite of what some on here seem to think.
 

Three very differing outcomes for CBJ and the Gophers season.

I hope they continue solid play and win 6/+ more BTN games, finish the season 9-11/10-10 AND have a solid BigTen Tournament showing winning a couple games--CBJ clearly will be finishing his contract. Going 19-15/20-14 for season is decent/bubble discussion. I suspect most attitudes would change, even the pitchforkers would support CBJ.

If MN has peaked and slides/has injuries the rest of the season winning 3-4 games and NOT getting in/or not winning a couple tournament games, 15-16 record--CBJ likely could be removed for an "instant-impact" coach ie. Dusty May that brings guys in. Problem is, who is that guy if he's even out there? (not).

If MN wins 5 more games, 8-12 conf. record, then the Big Ten tournament run would be required and NCAA bid would save CBJ. Unlikely.
Good summation and this is where I’m at.
 

I would guess 9-11 saves his job.
8-12…means they finish 5-6


Some momentum right now but these 3 games aren’t enough to finish less than .500 the rest of the way and keep his job
 

Yes. IMO. If you believe Coyle would have pulled the plug if they missed the tournament and that Musselman wanted to come here it certainly did. Instead Pitino got two more futile years and now we've had 4 years of this. That's a steep price to pay for an NCAA bid and one win.
Forget Muss, they totally whiffed on getting Dutcher. Remember all the reasons not to go get him?
 

Johnson’s buyout is a factor. Any new coach would cost more than Johnson’s $2.079 million contract plus the buyout. I think he’s here another year.
 

Johnson’s buyout is a factor. Any new coach would cost more than Johnson’s $2.079 million contract plus the buyout. I think he’s here another year.
If he stays another year he will get a contract extension. His buyout will never get lower than it is right now.
 

If he stays another year he will get a contract extension. His buyout will never get lower than it is right now.
Let's say that Ben goes on a good enough run where the decision is a close call. If Coyle wants to keep him but minimize risk, he could tell Ben that he gets a one or two year extension but with minimal buyout.
I don't think Ben has even an ounce of negotiation leverage, so I would assume he would take anything as this is the best job he is getting anytime in the next decade.

Extensions are not needed as much in the portal age. Very few players are making a 4 year plan anymore that requires coach security.
 




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