Shama: Keeping QB Drake Lindsey in 2026: Job 1 for Fleck, Gophers

Please, please, please point to some reliable data. I don't care who talks about it unless someone is actually on the know. There just seems to be this assumption that we somehow have less than the majority of the BIG schools? Really?
I'll put it to you like this. Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Oregon, USC, Indiana, there is no chance in hell we are anywhere near those schools in NIL. So of the rest of the league who do you think we are ahead of and who do you think we should be ahead of and why?
 

Dont bother arguing with that clown. All he cares about is whining. Us owning Wisconsin makes him worse because they used to be his primary method of denigrating the team. (We can never be/beat Wisconsin!!)

Unless you want to know about Michigan Hockey Recruiting bonin is a waste of bandwidth.
Nico was getting 2 mill, he wanted 4 million or his dad wanted $4 million, thought if they waited until the end of spring, panic would set in and Tennessee would pay up.Tennessee called the bluff
 

Thank you! This is good stuff, and a very good database. I am going to start pulling stuff from MYASS too. But I have found conflicting reports. The data I pulled from MYASS says we are in the top third. Can't find a way to link it though...
I generally find that folks pulling data from their MYASS data base are likely full of Situationally Hilarious Internet Takes.
 

I generally find that folks pulling data from their MYASS data base are likely full of Situationally Hilarious Internet Takes.
Could be worse, could be some troll who joined the AF because their Asshat score was too low for the MC and is too big of a bitch to have a legitimate discussion about anything
 

I'll put it to you like this. Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Oregon, USC, Indiana, there is no chance in hell we are anywhere near those schools in NIL. So of the rest of the league who do you think we are ahead of and who do you think we should be ahead of and why?
I agree with the ones you list (not sure about Indiana) but I see no concrete evidence that we are behind any of the remaining schools. Are we really behind Iowa? Maryland? Rutgers? Illinois? Michigan State? Purdue? What makes anyone think that UCLA, Northwestern, Nebraska, or Wisconsin are ahead of us? Granted, any guess from me would be speculating too, but that's all it is... speculation.
 


I agree with the ones you list (not sure about Indiana) but I see no concrete evidence that we are behind any of the remaining schools. Are we really behind Iowa? Maryland? Rutgers? Illinois? Michigan State? Purdue? What makes anyone think that UCLA, Northwestern, Nebraska, or Wisconsin are ahead of us? Granted, any guess from me would be speculating too, but that's all it is... speculation.
I personally think we are ahead of Rutgers and NW and Purdue and UCLA, at least in Football, maybe Maryland, but they have Under Armor money and they have a strong basketball fund and always have good skill guys. Although I know NW has the Ryan family as their ATM but they also have other issues that hold them back. Sparty gave Mel Tucker $90 million dollars before that blew up in their face. They also don't seem to have an issue paying Smith a $33 million dollar buyout. Washington basketball had a 2 million dollar player last year and with their recent football success, I am guessing they are not hurting there either. I would say Wisconsin is ahead of us but the gap isn't substantial unless you believe that Fickell will get an additional 28 million from boosters in 2026, will see how true that is by their portal additions. I would say Nebraska, even with an uncle on staff you don't flip a five star QB from Georgia without some serious coin and Emmett Johnson went in the portal threatened to come here to get more NIL money and that was done in a day. I couldn't tell you about Illinois but they seem to have a healthy basketball fund so I imagine they are not hurting in football, Iowa same thing but in their case if you can have an additional $3 million in assistant coach money than we do, than you probably have additional NIL funds on us as well. UCLA, they are clearly not hurting in hoops, football seems to be lacking and I think that's ultimately why Fleck didn't jump. I would say common sense would put us ahead their as well.
Again outside the P2, we are sitting pretty well, unfortunately that's not our competition though. DTA does a really good job, it's about as good of a grassroots, boots on the ground type funding you can ask for with some smart and more importantly emotionally intelligent people running it and they work really well with the athletic department. Where we are lacking outside of an obvious whale is even for or five medium fish that could help and we just don't have those guys or enough of those guys to really take that next step. If I ever become why I will gladly throw hundreds of millions dollars away for only an emotional ROI but alas I am only a JAG!
 


Did some stats analysis, according to on3's 2025 numbers[take it with a grain of salt] and the FPI from ESPN. You see some weird correlations. Pearson correlation is −0.566 [moderate relationship that as you spend more in NIL you do observe a better FPI, but far from deterministic]. You could interpret this as only about 31% of performance differences are explained by NIL spending. There is obviously something more than just throwing money at the problem to get college kids to play football [e.g. Nebraska, UCLA, Wisconsin]. View attachment 40536View attachment 40535View attachment 40534
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Did some stats analysis, according to on3's 2025 numbers[take it with a grain of salt] and the FPI from ESPN. You see some weird correlations. Pearson correlation is −0.566 [moderate relationship that as you spend more in NIL you do observe a better FPI, but far from deterministic]. You could interpret this as only about 31% of performance differences are explained by NIL spending. There is obviously something more than just throwing money at the problem to get college kids to play football [e.g. Nebraska, UCLA, Wisconsin].
Why is does Minnesota have worse FPI than two teams that it BEAT?
 



Why is does Minnesota have worse FPI than two teams that it BEAT?
FPI is a pretty flawed metric. It incorporates factors like days of rest, distances traveled to games, in addition to performance metrics in-game. I think they also use preseason priors even in the in-season calculations [recruiting rankings, returning starters, coaching tenure, and past performance], and these never disappear from the calculation [the big bitch in the BCS era].
 

FPI is a pretty flawed metric….
That is interesting I never knew that about FPI. But I do know that NIL “data” is definitely less than half as reliable as North Korean or Russian state propaganda. NIL data is just cheaters telling lies about liars who are telling lies about cheaters.

So when the data on the x is unreliable and the data on the y is unreliable, I’m not sure any correlation means much at all.

However, to the extent these two variable are correlated, there seems to be a very compelling case for this being a reverse causal relationship. In other words, past success on the field has increased NIL spend at a lot of these places (more fans, more interest = more cash floating around)
 

Gaardsy and Burns both said Sunday AM they are very very confident Drake will be a gopher next season. Can’t remember exact verbiage. Was snowblowing for 2 freaking hours so heard a lot of stuff.
 

I agree with the ones you list (not sure about Indiana) but I see no concrete evidence that we are behind any of the remaining schools. Are we really behind Iowa? Maryland? Rutgers? Illinois? Michigan State? Purdue? What makes anyone think that UCLA, Northwestern, Nebraska, or Wisconsin are ahead of us? Granted, any guess from me would be speculating too, but that's all it is... speculation.
We are definitely behind Illinois, Iowa, Maryland and Michigan State, alphabetically speaking.
 



The internet is 2025. Say something without a shread of proof, complain like a 3 year old when someone says you might be wrong and then make up more baseless facts. Bonin living in his best world. Honestly it baffles me why people enjoy being total morons.

Are we at the top of the heap for $$ probably not, but does anyone actually know, not at all. So everyone stop with the, well he makes this or they have that or we don't have this. Until there is some sort of cap or reporting system (which the NCAA will never do as they suck at everything) it's all baseless speculation.

Let's hope Lindsey stays lets hope we get great players. Could he leave sure, could he love it here sure.
 
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The internet is 2025. Say something without a shread of proof, complain like a 3 year old when someone says you might be wrong and then make up more baseless facts. Bonin living in his best world. Honestly it baffles me why people enjoy being total morons.

Are we at the top of the heap for $$ probably not, but did anyone actually no, not at all. So everyone stop with the, well he makes this or they have that or we don't have this. Until there is some sort of cap or reporting system (which the NCAA will never do as they suck at everything) it's all baseless speculation.

Let's hope Lindsey stays lets hope we get great players. Could he leave sure, could he love it here sure.
It is funny how people pretend like they actually know what is being spent by teams in this pay for play era.

We definitely know we are not able to spend anywhere near the helmet schools who have always had more resources but beyond that it is really anyone's guess.

On the football side we have lost a few key players to the portal but overall we have been able to retain most of our top players. So we must be doing ok on the pay for play front.
 





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