I just want to say thanks for being a reasonable optimist. You at least recognize the things that are happening now and you are honest if they don't smell right and the things that are still unknown you have chosen a positive lean. I can deal with that reasonable stance with a positive bias. Some on here are acting like everything that happens is exactly part of the plan, like its a good thing we lost all our players, because of course if they aren't here then Ben didn't want them, but anyways that's not what I wanted to say.
I get all of what you are saying, and in no way was I expecting a great year next year, my concern is the 2022 recruiting class. At this point I am not seeing signs that would lead me to believe there is going to be big success, mainly because I am not seeing someone who can sell ice to an eskimo, that's what I believe it will take to succeed at Minnesota, and here is why:
- Sure if he could have kept all the players, that in no way would have been a panacea, but at least we would have seen evidence that Ben can sell to kids. Because the opposite happened it raises concerns.
- He was not able to get any interest from Xavier players. I get concerned when players who entered the portal, who know Ben very well, and none of them have any interest in following him.
- In general I would not consider that he has been a big winner in head-to-head recruiting of players in the portal so this seems reasonable to think that he may not be able to win with traditional recruiting.
- We aren't hearing anything that makes us think any 2022 recruits are likely coming to the U. In the past I would say that usually means they aren't coming.
- I don't see a credible unique sales pitch that Ben has. Some coaches have NBA ties, some have game tape to show kids, some have past season tourney runs. The only thing he has are things that sound like coach speak that any coach could say, things that won't differentiate his pitch, but Ben's competition will have in spades.
- My main concern is with all these things going the wrong way, and then you get a 6-24 or 8-22 season, anything you are trying to sell loses credibility and is not a situation that most kids are going to be excited to join.
- Then if you miss on that 2022 class, that means, assuming the best, you won't have a potential positive type of season till maybe 2026 or 2027. If you hit on that 2022 class it will take 2 maybe 3 years to start coming into their own, but that's ok, because you got the team that will turn things around, so you don't need to worry about convincing as many players in the subsequent years. If you miss, now you wrack up another bad year or two and then are trying to sell players with an even worst resume. Bottom-line if Ben can't sell himself in 2021, its only going to get harder.
- After 2022, the talent coming up is pretty sparse in Minnesota, which is supposedly where BJ has the advantage.
So while the 2021 season doesn't matter in and of itself, but it does play a role in the 2022 recruiting. I like you am not worried about 2021 season, I am worried that it becomes a negative when trying to win the 2022 recruiting battles, and losing that could be the death blow for a long time, that's what I am concerned with.