It is quite possible that it may be nearly impossible to develop a minimum NCAA tournament-type program in the Big Ten when you have a very poor record and hardly a whiff of any NIL money. This is a very challenging combination, and with these last defections (and even worse if Cooper leaves), the pressure on Johnson to get quality portal players who are at a Big Ten level is enormous. So far, his high school recruiting was his strength, and his portal recruiting has not been promising.
Johnson will need a whole lot of things to fall into place to have any success next year, and things "falling into place perfectly" don't happen very often. So can all of the remaining freshmen improve before next year, can Ihnen and Fox buck the odds and contribute, can Christie be a difference-maker, and can Ben find quality players in the portal? All of these things are possible, but if I was a betting guy...