Gophers open +1.5 at Maryland, line quickly shifts to +3

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Gophers_4life said:
Now the "Money line" trend is interesting! I think someone in the thread said that was betting on the winner of the game straight off the score (not the spread).

It has shifted from -115 Maryland -105 Gophers, to -135 Maryland +115 Gophers! I think that means a $100 winning bet on the Gophs to win the game gets you $115 winnings, as opposed to only $65 winnings on a Maryland winning bet. (if I did that right)
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Its actually closer to $74 in winnings if you took the Maryland ML at -135. The math is (100/135) {your odds} * $100 {your bet}.
 

Take Maryland. Gophers play poorly in early road games.


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Gophers_4life said:
Now the "Money line" trend is interesting! I think someone in the thread said that was betting on the winner of the game straight off the score (not the spread).

It has shifted from -115 Maryland -105 Gophers, to -135 Maryland +115 Gophers! I think that means a $100 winning bet on the Gophs to win the game gets you $115 winnings, as opposed to only $65 winnings on a Maryland winning bet. (if I did that right)
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-135 on Maryland means when you wager $135 you win $100 (plus the return of you $135). Or put into context, for a $100 bet, you win $74.07 ( plus the return of your $100)
 

Mick Turition said:
I'm seeing Minnesota +1.5 on most betting sites, +2.0 on only one betting site. That tells me Gophers would be -0.5 on neutral field.
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According to SP+, the Gophers should be -10.5 on a neutral field (no, that's not a typo).
That's what's so confusing about this. My eyes and the stats are aligned, but the betting is not.

I'm guessing it's a combination of recovered players (Maryland), going on the road with a young team (Minnesota), Fleck's poor track record on the road (Minnesota), and ZA's limping last week.

I think Vegas is wrong about this game, but I don't gamble on college sports, so whatever.

There are a few games like that this week outside of Minnesota, WSU at USC, is the notable one to me.
I feel like that game should be dead even based on what we've seen so far, but USC is favored by 5.
 
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hello-world said:
According to SP+, the Gophers should be -10.5 on a neutral field (no, that's not a typo).
That's what's so confusing about this. My eyes and the stats are aligned, but the betting is not.

I'm guessing it's a combination of recovered players (Maryland), going on the road with a young team (Minnesota), Fleck's poor track record on the road (Minnesota), and ZA's limping last week.

I think Vegas is wrong about this game, but I don't gamble on college sports, so whatever.

There are a few games like that this week outside of Minnesota, WSU at USC, is the notable one to me.
I feel like that game should be dead even based on what we've seen so far, but USC is favored by 5.
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The WSU game feels that way to me as well, but part of it in digging deeper is who they’ve played and preseason expectations for WSU (unloaded a whole team and untested QB). I was real tempted to take both lines and maybe I will, but both have the feeling of a trap bet game as well
 


Odds favoring USC went down to 4.5, but in the end Wash St did cover, with the 3 pt loss.
 


Spread bets have come dumping in for Maryland, since Friday night. http://www.vegasinsider.com/[email protected]/date/9-22-18/linechanges/y

Spread bets are now 62%-38% in favor of Maryland. The spread itself changed to -2.5 Maryland, on Friday morning.

Money line bets are now 57%-43% in favor of Gophers.

Over/Under bets are taking under (??? can't tell if "Away" means under) 72%-28% (at 47.5 pts).


(and I'm pretty sure this is the percentage of total money bet, not the total number of bets, but not certain)
 





Well Maryland betters looking smart.

Freaky thing: O/U was 47.5. Game is 35-13....
 

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