CBS Bowl Projection

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I don't really care too much what bowl we end up in. The Gator bowl would be sweet to get matched up against an SEC team. However, the Texas bowl would give us a really good opportunity to win and get a 9th win. Something that has only happened one other time in the modern era. That is, if we beat PSU first.
 

Jike Spingleton said:
Not a given. It is entirely possible, if Alabama runs the table, that there won't be another SEC team with fewer than three losses by the end of the season. If Clemson wins out to finish 11-1, I'd expect them to take the SEC's spot in the Sugar Bowl.
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How? All Alabama winning out would do is drop LSU and add another loss to Auburn, which still makes them a 10-2 team assuming they beat Tennessee and Georgia.

And even if that happens, the winner of the Missouri-A&M is almost guaranteed to have only 2 losses (at most), as the rest of their schedules are cake.

The Sugar Bowl is almost as loyal to the SEC as the Rose Bowl is to the B1G and Pac 12. They would take a 2-loss SEC team over Clemson, and there's almost no scenario where there isn't at least one team with only two losses.
 


ESPN projects Texas Bowl: http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/88238/big-ten-bowl-projections-week-10-3

And while Minnesota is a hotter team than even Nebraska or Michigan right now, the Gophers will have to battle a perception that their fan base does not travel well when it comes to bowl selection. That's why we think Minnesota will be behind the Cornhuskers and Wolverines in the pecking order, even though it could finish even or ahead of them in the division standings. Iowa likely will be a bigger draw than Minnesota once it gains one more win to become bowl-eligible, but Hawkeyes fans have not been filling Kinnick Stadium to capacity and don't seem overly enthused by this season's team.

Rose Bowl Presented by VIZIO, Jan. 1: Ohio State
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Wisconsin
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Michigan State
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Dec. 28: Nebraska
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Michigan
Texas Bowl, Dec. 27: Minnesota
Heart of Dallas Bowl, Jan. 1: Iowa
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl, Dec. 26: Not filled
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Edit: Oops, already posted by our resident bot :)
 



Gopherprof said:
How? All Alabama winning out would do is drop LSU and add another loss to Auburn, which still makes them a 10-2 team assuming they beat Tennessee and Georgia.

And even if that happens, the winner of the Missouri-A&M is almost guaranteed to have only 2 losses (at most), as the rest of their schedules are cake.

The Sugar Bowl is almost as loyal to the SEC as the Rose Bowl is to the B1G and Pac 12. They would take a 2-loss SEC team over Clemson, and there's almost no scenario where there isn't at least one team with only two losses.
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The Sugar Bowl would definitely take a two-loss SEC team over 11-1 Clemson. But I don't think it's far-fetched to think Auburn will lose to either Tennessee or Georgia. A&M ends with trips to LSU and Missouri - easy to see at least one loss there. Missouri must go to Ole Miss before hosting A&M, and they could get another loss in the SEC Championship Game. If Mizzou hits the skids and South Carolina gets to the SEC title game, USC would pick up another loss - that is, if Clemson doesn't get them first.

Bottom line: perhaps it's more likely than not the SEC will get two BCS teams, but it's not a given.
 

How would we match up against an Old Miss?
 

Dr.Don said:
Each school receives an equal share of Bowl money.
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Very true Dr.Don. That is why Big Ten teams that go to bowl games can end up with less money than teams that do go to bowl games. All the bowls have a cap on reimbursement for expenses that they will pay. It is pretty common for a team to exceed these caps and have to use some of their own money to pay the bills.
 

2 or 3 years ago I read an article in SI about bowl money and teams participating lose money. The AD at Michigan stated (summarizing here) that they did not go to a bowl game that year and finally made some money at it.
 



BarnBoy said:
How would we match up against an Old Miss?
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I took a look at their ESPN page. They have 3 losses. Alabama, Auburn, A&M. Top 50 in Passing, Rushing, and scoring. 58th in points against.

Statistically speaking, it looks like a pretty good game in terms of points for vs. points against. But with 3 losses to current top 15 teams. I think it would be quite the surprise if the game was even competitive.
 

Good thing the Gophers aren't projected or slated to play in the Military Bowl Dec 27.
Too many of our 'awesome' fan base would refuse to attend because their sociology professor
told them it's not cool to support anything that has to do with our military.
It's just naughty and bad and 'too much'.
 

BarnBoy said:
How would we match up against an Old Miss?
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afurry91 said:
I took a look at their ESPN page. They have 3 losses. Alabama, Auburn, A&M. Top 50 in Passing, Rushing, and scoring. 58th in points against.

Statistically speaking, it looks like a pretty good game in terms of points for vs. points against. But with 3 losses to current top 15 teams. I think it would be quite the surprise if the game was even competitive.
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Are you sure that is the Old Miss that BarnBoy was referring to?:cool02:
 

Gopher028 said:
Good thing the Gophers aren't projected or slated to play in the Military Bowl Dec 27.
Too many of our 'awesome' fan base would refuse to attend because their sociology professor
told them it's not cool to support anything that has to do with our military.
It's just naughty and bad and 'too much'.
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Put a sock in it.
 





Jike Spingleton said:
SI's Stewart Mandel has Minnesota vs. South Carolina in the Gator Bowl:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-football/news/20131104/college-football-bowl-projections/
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"• Most bowls are not obligated -- I repeat, NOT OBLIGATED -- to choose in exact order of conference standings. For instance, "Big 12 No. 3" means "third selection of Big 12 teams," not "the Big 12's third-place team." Bowls often pick a team with an inferior record due to geography, anticipated fan travel, the need to avoid a regular-season rematch or good old backroom politicking."
 

station19 said:
Bowls often pick a team with an inferior record due to geography, anticipated fan travel, the need to avoid a regular-season rematch or good old backroom politicking."
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I'll say it again - the Gophers need to get to at least 8 wins and have Iowa finish 6-6.

Getting two Big Ten teams into the BCS wouldn't hurt, either. Regardless of whether the league gets two teams into the BCS, the Big Ten won't be filling its spot in Detroit, and Mandel might be onto something with that game nabbing 9-3 Notre Dame to face undefeated Northern Illinois. Talk about an upgrade from last year's Central Michigan-Western Kentucky matchup.
 

The bowl selection process has been very fluid the last few years, but I'm fairly certain that the 2-loss provision only applies for the top-end bowls (Rose, Capital, Outback). Beyond those, records go out the window and they can select any bowl-eligible team they want. Someone please correct this if it's inaccurate. I hope it is inaccurate, because if true, it means Minnesota will probably get picked for a low-end bowl again even if we get 10 wins.
 

dpodoll68 said:
The bowl selection process has been very fluid the last few years, but I'm fairly certain that the 2-loss provision only applies for the top-end bowls (Rose, Capital, Outback). Beyond those, records go out the window and they can select any bowl-eligible team they want. Someone please correct this if it's inaccurate. I hope it is inaccurate, because if true, it means Minnesota will probably get picked for a low-end bowl again even if we get 10 wins.
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That is correct. The Rose is sworn to take the B1G champion (unless that champion is in the BCS title game), the Capital One and Outback may choose any team except a team with two or more losses than another available team (the "2-loss provision") and the other bowls can choose any bowl eligible team from the B1G that has not yet been selected.

That means, feasibly (not realistically, mind you) that Minnesota could finish 10-2, get passed over for the Capital One and Outback Bowls by a 9-3 Michigan State and 9-3 Wisconsin, and then get passed over for the BWW, Gator, Texas by any other eligible B1G teams.
 

Gopher07 said:
That is correct. The Rose is sworn to take the B1G champion (unless that champion is in the BCS title game), the Capital One and Outback may choose any team except a team with two or more losses than another available team (the "2-loss provision") and the other bowls can choose any bowl eligible team from the B1G that has not yet been selected.

That means, feasibly (not realistically, mind you) that Minnesota could finish 10-2, get passed over for the Capital One and Outback Bowls by a 9-3 Michigan State and 9-3 Wisconsin, and then get passed over for the BWW, Gator, Texas by any other eligible B1G teams.
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Stupid money ploy. It's never been about the kids. Always about the money.
 

Yes - the two-win rule only applies until the Outback Bowl. But it is rare for a bowl to opt for a team with two fewer wins than another eligible team. Going back to 1999, the only time it has happened in the Big Ten was in 2011, when 9-3 Penn State slipped all the way to the Heart of Dallas Bowl (then TicketCity) in the wake of the Sandusky scandal, getting passed by Ohio State, Iowa and Northwestern, who were all 6-6.
 


The only team that will be below the Gophers in the bowl pecking order (if they win 2 more games) will be Northwestern. Right now there are 6 bowl eligible teams. If Iowa wins one more (they have Purdue on Saturday), that will make 7.

It looks like Dallas (or Houston if there are 2 BCS teams) for the Gophers. No way Meineke passes on Iowa for Minnesota.
 

Iowa's home attendance has been down this season, so it's far from a guarantee that bowls would take Iowa over Minnesota if they were 1-2 wins lower than us in the standings. With that said, it's not out of the question either.
 

B1G said:
Iowa's home attendance has been down this season, so it's far from a guarantee that bowls would take Iowa over Minnesota if they were 1-2 wins lower than us in the standings. With that said, it's not out of the question either.
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Iowa still has the "travels well" reputation. Plus The Meineke Bowl would take them so the Gophers don't go there 2 years in a row.
 

Jike Spingleton said:
SI's Stewart Mandel has Minnesota vs. South Carolina in the Gator Bowl:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-football/news/20131104/college-football-bowl-projections/
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South Carolina! wow, that would be awesome to see my gophers play a team of that caliber considering where we were 2 years ago, even if we got blown out it would still be really cool, i would almost consider it an honor to be blown out by an SEC team of that caliber, Ra'Shede has always said that the only thing he thinks about when he lifts is Clowney
 

so far after our Indiana win i have seen us projected to play Georgia, Ole Miss and South Carolina in the Gator Bowl, Oklahoma in the BWW bowl and Kansas State in the Texas Bowl
 

Don't discount the intangibles the Gophers would present for a TV audience - The Kill angle, an up-and-coming team, and a team that is new to much of the national audience. I could see a network promoting the Gophers and spotlighting the human-interest side of the story.

Of course, that all depends on the Gophers staying "hot." They definitely need to beat Penn State, and at least play competitively in their last two games. A win over WI or MSU would be icing on the cake.
 

If we want to get a good bowl game, we have to sell out the Bank for the next few home games!
 

The Gator Bowl would be an incredible fairy tale ending to the great season the Gophers have had so far. And there appears to be some emotional appeal for the Gophers to go to Jacksonville. Crazier things have happened.

From the Pioneer Press:
"I don't look at those projections," Kill said Sunday. "I hope they're right. But the only projection I'm worried about is Penn State."
Kill pointed out, though, that Jacksonville, Fla., home of the Gator Bowl, was also the hometown of former Gophers linebacker Gary Tinsley, who died of an enlarged heart in April 2012.
 

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