Henley has potential, but I don't think he has more than Payne for sure, and Ola-Joseph has a ton of athletic ability and a greater willingness to guard and be part of a team than Henley. Carrington a much better natural shooter, more willing defender, but needs to stay healthy. Henley potential - I see as 3 of the 4.
I don't disagree with your analysis but substitute "ceiling or NBA contract" for potential.
That's where I'm coming from. Payne can be a great Gopher but has pretty much no NBA future.
He can be Illinois Cockburn good if Ben puts him on the block.
Again, I said many times Ola Joseph was the most effective of the freshmen...can be a great piece on a team but he needs better teammates to win. NBA future is just as a junk yard dog type and to do that he needs to learn how to pursue loose balls and rebounds at a much higher number ala Rodman.
Carrington has a long way to go. Shot doesn't go in, not a ball handler and willing but no where near tenacious defender. Not a guy who hunts shots.....complimentary player ceiling.
Henley has the length and quickness to defend at an elite level...other 3 don't.
Henley can refine his shooting stroke - can be best shooter of group- able to find and create shots- but where he is unique to the other is his willingness, mindset and ability to get to the rim. Wants to run, play fast. Think Scottie Pippen...potentially same ceiling, same game. The other 3 can't be elite ceiling wise - or say NBA guys.
All 4 could be all conference college players. Nice recruits for sure. Just need 8 more with Betts and Christie. Tough build when foundation guys leave and portal additions are only average to just good.