Bowl Projections Megathread

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Final BTN predictions:

Rose Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. BCS/Pac-12): Michigan State vs. Stanford
Orange Bowl, Jan. 3: (ACC vs. BCS): Ohio State vs. Clemson
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Wisconsin vs. Missouri
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Iowa vs. South Carolina
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Dec. 28 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Nebraska vs. Kansas State
Gator Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Michigan vs. Georgia
Texas Bowl, Dec. 27 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Minnesota vs. Texas Tech

http://btn.com/2013/12/08/bowl-projections-heres-my-final-2013-list/?cmp=user+shared+twitter

Go Gophers!!
 



badgergopher said:
Here goes:

NC #1 FSU vs. #2 Auburn
Rose MSU vs. Stanford
Fiesta Baylor vs. UCF
Orange Ohio St. vs. Oklahoma
Sugar Alabama vs. Clemson

Maybe flip Oklahoma and Clemson because Orange is tied to ACC.

Cap One Wisconsin vs.South Carolina
Outback Iowa vs. LSU
BWW Nebraska vs.Kansas St.
Gator Michigan vs. Georgia
Texas Minnesota vs. ???
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Mizzou? or are you thinking Chik Fil A
 

I'll be ripping on the Gator Bowl.after they see how many fans show from Michigan. What a joke. They won't fill a Super 8!
 


Iceland12 said:
Sounds like a fun match-up but wondering if Jerry thinks the Texas Bowl people be happy with an empty building?
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Not sure what they're alternative is. If the Big 12 can't fulfill all of their bowl allotments there isn't much the Texas Bowl can do.
 

badgergopher said:
Here goes:

NC #1 FSU vs. #2 Auburn
Rose MSU vs. Stanford
Fiesta Baylor vs. UCF
Orange Ohio St. vs. Oklahoma
Sugar Alabama vs. Clemson

Maybe flip Oklahoma and Clemson because Orange is tied to ACC.
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I don't see how both Clemson and Oklahoma jump Oregon. The Pac12 was probably the most competitive conference this year (at least as much as the SEC and Big Ten).

Oregon should be in no matter what. If A second Big XII team (K or OK State) gets into a BCS bowl it would be at the expense of the ACC.
 

As long as we're not playing Texas Tech again, I'll be happy.
 

Goldmember said:
I don't see how both Clemson and Oklahoma jump Oregon. The Pac12 was probably the most competitive conference this year (at least as much as the SEC and Big Ten).

Oregon should be in no matter what. If A second Big XII team (K or OK State) gets into a BCS bowl it would be at the expense of the ACC.
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A team like Oklahoma would travel much better than Oregon though. That matters.
 



jaymil said:
A team like Oklahoma would travel much better than Oregon though. That matters.
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I think the BCS bowls look at this differently than the smaller bowls. They are more in the ratings business. BCS bowls pretty much sellout without any help from a well-traveling fan base anyway. So it becomes more about creating a nationally-relevant matchup.

The Orange Bowl gets to chose between OSU and Alabama. They then get to chose between Clemson, OK State, Oklahoma, and Oregon.

I just can't imagine they will pass on the TV appeal of Oregon vs. OSU or Alabama.
 


Goldmember said:
I don't see how both Clemson and Oklahoma jump Oregon. The Pac12 was probably the most competitive conference this year (at least as much as the SEC and Big Ten).

Oregon should be in no matter what. If A second Big XII team (K or OK State) gets into a BCS bowl it would be at the expense of the ACC.
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Conference affiliations will win out.

The Orange will take Ohio State with the first replacement pick - by rule, they will not be allowed to take Alabama without the Sugar Bowl's consent. So the Sugar gets Bama, and then it comes down to conference loyalty. The ACC has a longstanding agreement with the Orange Bowl and Clemson would be the pick. The Big 12 begins an agreement with the Sugar Bowl next year, so Oklahoma would seem to reap the rewards now.

If it was between Clemson and Oregon for the Fiesta Bowl, Oregon would get the nod. But Oregon doesn't bring any value to the other games other than the Nike brand. And their blowout at Arizona is easily the worst loss of any of those at-large candidates.
 

OU is ranked 10 and 11 and Okie state is 13 in both, Oregon is 10 and 11 and Clemson is 11 and 12 in the new polls, and Minnesota received 2 and 4 votes good for 34 and 37
 



Jike Spingleton said:
Conference affiliations will win out.

The Orange will take Ohio State with the first replacement pick - by rule, they will not be allowed to take Alabama without the Sugar Bowl's consent. So the Sugar gets Bama, and then it comes down to conference loyalty. The ACC has a longstanding agreement with the Orange Bowl and Clemson would be the pick. The Big 12 begins an agreement with the Sugar Bowl next year, so Oklahoma would seem to reap the rewards now.
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Yep, that's pretty much how CNNSI's Stewart Mandel has it: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/co.../college-football-bowl-projections/?eref=sihp

He also has Texas Bowl as Minnesota vs. Oregon State.
 

many Oregon State fans feel that WSU will be picked ahead of them and they won't go bowling since WSU has a better fan base and they haven't been to a bowl for i think 10 years so they will be more excited
 

Sounds like ESPN is brokering a deal to place Oregon State in the Hawaii Bowl against Boise State, and trading that C-USA spot to another of the bowls it owns (East Carolina to the BBVA Compass Bowl in Birmingham most likely).

The New Mexico Bowl is probably choosing between Arizona and Washington State, and whoever they don't take ends up in Houston against the Gophers.
 

Jike Spingleton said:
Sounds like ESPN is brokering a deal to place Oregon State in the Hawaii Bowl against Boise State, and trading that C-USA spot to another of the bowls it owns (East Carolina to the BBVA Compass Bowl in Birmingham most likely).

The New Mexico Bowl is probably choosing between Arizona and Washington State, and whoever they don't take ends up in Houston against the Gophers.
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It would seem to me the New Mexico Bowl would take AZ due to proximity. Mike Leach returning to TX would be a bit interesting given his past with TT.
 

Looks like we may be going to the Outback Bowl against Iowa. From what I have learned here, I should bring plenty of disinfectant spray. The other scenario is Gator Bowl against Michigan. I'm slightly more excited about the latter, even though Outback has a higher payout. I'd rather take the easy win against a program with a slightly more respectable tradition and fanbase. Am I wrong on this? Y'all know your conference mates better than I do.
 

What was the perception of Leach in Tx when he left? If it wasn't good, maybe the locals that turn out root for the Maroon and Gold...
 

MNGoldenGophers1 said:
It would seem to me the New Mexico Bowl would take AZ due to proximity. Mike Leach returning to TX would be a bit interesting given his past with TT.
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Yes, but the New Mexico Bowl had Arizona last year, and Wazzu fans will travel for their first bowl in a decade.

Now that I've looked at it, though, I think we may end up playing Syracuse. The Independence Bowl almost HAS to take a Pac-12 team, because they already have an ACC team in that game (unless they want to invite Louisiana-Monroe for a second year in a row). I think they'll try to pair the nation's top two running backs - BC's Andre Williams and Arizona's Ka'Deem Carey. With Oregon State going to Hawaii, that limits the Texas Bowl to Syracuse and Pitt.
 

TexasAggie11 said:
Looks like we may be going to the Outback Bowl against Iowa. From what I have learned here, I should bring plenty of disinfectant spray. The other scenario is Gator Bowl against Michigan. I'm slightly more excited about the latter, even though Outback has a higher payout. I'd rather take the easy win against a program with a slightly more respectable tradition and fanbase. Am I wrong on this? Y'all know your conference mates better than I do.
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You'll pound either one. That said, a mediocre Michigan team is far more interesting than anything that could come out of Iowa. If your Aggies do draw the short straw and get Herky, you're right in that an industrial size can of disinfectant spray will be a wise purchase.
 

MNGoldenGophers1 said:
You'll pound either one. That said, a mediocre Michigan team is far more interesting than anything that could come out of Iowa. If your Aggies do draw the short straw and get Herky, you're right in that an industrial size can of disinfectant spray will be a wise purchase.
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I think Iowa could actually put up a fight in that one. I'm not sure how their pass defense stacks up, but if they could keep the offense in check through the air they could grind out a close game, a la the OSU game.
 

pharmacygopher said:
What was the perception of Leach in Tx when he left? If it wasn't good, maybe the locals that turn out root for the Maroon and Gold...
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Most fans of the "big" Texas schools hated Mike Leach for his ability to spoil seasons. Under Leach, Tech never did anything outstanding for themselves, but could somehow muster the effort to beat the one team they weren't supposed to beat - often ruining shots at championships, BCS bowls, or some other goal.

I would say that Tech fans were split on Leach during the Tubberville era. Some hated Leach for embarrassing them on a national scale due to the James kid getting "locked" in a "shed." The remainder were so used to being embarrassed on a national scale that this scandal did not phase them. They enjoyed the pirate mentality and did not mind that the athletic department ran out of money or that Leach showed up to signings drunk off his butt.

Now, most Tech fans have their lips so tightly glued to KK's posterior that the former Leach lovers now have a new mistress.

The rest of Texas football fans don't care about Leach at all. They barely care about their own programs.

However, the general consensus would probably be a distaste for Leach, rather than a strong hate which would cause you to root against him. If anything, people may casually tune in to see the score, but not actively seek out a chance to watch him humiliated in person.
 

RedPoo said:
I think Iowa could actually put up a fight in that one. I'm not sure how their pass defense stacks up, but if they could keep the offense in check through the air they could grind out a close game, a la the OSU game.
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Our defenses are both ranked poorly, but A&M's offense is #9 while Iowa's is #74. We've put at least 41 points on the board in every single game, save the last two (where we stupidly played a QB with an injury and had horrible play calling, among numerous other mistakes). That includes putting 42 and 41 on Bama and Auburn, respectively. Iowa averages something like 27 points per game. If we can use the next month to figure out how to call actual plays, I think we have this game by 14-21 points.
 

TexasAggie11 said:
Our defenses are both ranked poorly, but A&M's offense is #9 while Iowa's is #74. We've put at least 41 points on the board in every single game, save the last two (where we stupidly played a QB with an injury and had horrible play calling, among numerous other mistakes). That includes putting 42 and 41 on Bama and Auburn, respectively. Iowa averages something like 27 points per game. If we can use the next month to figure out how to call actual plays, I think we have this game by 14-21 points.
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I'm not sure you can compare the teams that way. Teams like Iowa are built to grind it out and control the clock. Texas A&M is built to just outscore everyone. I think you guys would win but if Iowa gets their running game going and limits the number of A&M possessions, it could be closer than you think.
 

TexasAggie11 said:
Looks like we may be going to the Outback Bowl against Iowa. From what I have learned here, I should bring plenty of disinfectant spray. The other scenario is Gator Bowl against Michigan. I'm slightly more excited about the latter, even though Outback has a higher payout. I'd rather take the easy win against a program with a slightly more respectable tradition and fanbase. Am I wrong on this? Y'all know your conference mates better than I do.
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Iowa has gotten much better the season progressed, as the usually do. They always bring a good defense. Michigan has gone the other way. The Gophers played both at the beginning of the season, so I haven't followed them that closely to comment much more.

Iowa has a strong fan base that treats them like a pro team in some respects. We don't like them but it's a big rivalry that clouds reason on both sides. Michigan has very proud fans, but I guess they don't always show up for bowl games. What can I say? There's much more going on in Michigan than Iowa to distract Wolverine fans.
 

ESPN's Brett McMurphy reporting the BCS games are set. No surprises:

BCS: Florida State vs Auburn
Rose: Michigan State vs Stanford
Sugar: Alabama vs Oklahoma
Orange: Ohio State vs Clemson
Fiesta: Baylor vs UCF

This guarantees no Gophers-Texas Tech rematch.
 

Please not Syracuse. Please!!!
 



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