Over Macho Grande?
- Nov 20, 2008
- Reaction score
Per The Athletic’s best writer for the Vegass tilt-
Who will start at quarterback in Week 14 (and why)? — Dan B.
We should get the answer early in the week. My prediction is that Josh Dobbs will be starting against the Las Vegas Raiders for multiple reasons.
First, another starting opportunity would give Dobbs more time to get on time. Another week to learn the intricacies of how his drop in the pocket ties to the receivers’ routes. Another week to sync up with how receivers come out of their breaks. Another week to master the load at the line of scrimmage.
Second, the Vikings already have proof of what Dobbs can do for them, whereas backup Nick Mullens and rookie Jaren Hallremain question marks. Mullens recently returned from a serious lower-back injury. Hall, meanwhile, has finished one career NFL drive. Dobbs has turned the ball over nine times in his four games as a Viking, but his overall efficiency in non-turnover drives ranks in the top half of the NFL.
Third, Minnesota values running efficiency. Justin Jefferson’s reintegration into the offense will help the Vikings’ rushing attack. Before the receiver strained his hamstring, Minnesota ranked second in the NFL in rushing success rate. Early-down rushing prowess is one thing. But Dobbs adds to what’s possible on third down and in the red zone with designer play calls and scrambles.
Moving forward with Dobbs would essentially be a bet on variance. Dobbs’ lows over the last two weeks have been low, but the highs in the two weeks prior were wildly impressive. The odds of competing with the NFC elites are long whoever starts at quarterback. Rolling with an option that gives you the best puncher’s chance against those teams is likely the route they’ll take.
I read this too and I have to say I was surprised. Alec Lewis is really sharp, a fantastic beat writer for the Vikings. But I really disagree with him here. My thoughts on Dobbs are noted; hard not to cheer for the guy but I need more than that. He just hasn't been very good and been loose with the football. It's not his fault, by most accounts I've seen, this Vikings offense is just not something you can expect a guy to pick up in 4 weeks, 6 weeks, 8 weeks.
Hall and Mullens have both been deep in this offense since the summer, at a minimum. Unless you're going to change the offense to accommodate Dobbs, I think the experiment should be over.