Regarding the prediction of last place or missing the BTT, a lot has to shake out, of course. But I did want to comment on the parallel with Washington. They hired a promising MWC coach last year, got one huge portaler to follow him in Osobor (who I'd argue was a better get than any potential CSU trans) and then some miscellaneous portal parts. They were picked to finish outside the BTT qualifying zone and did. But, everyone expects them to be on an upward trajectory (and they have a good recruiting class coming in.
I say all this, because MN next year may end up a bit like Washington did this year. The fanbase needs to be patient