It's an aggressive move, no doubt, but according to the article the raise is being funded by donations from a couple of alums, so I don't think they have to worry about sinking the athletic department.
I'm making large assumptions, as there is limited information being reported. The yearly salary is the easiest part of a coaches salary to account for, as it's a regular and expected expense they work into the budget. The fact that they have donors covering the yearly increase of his contract over and above what they're already paying him (not the entirety) covers only a small part of the risk. My comment was more directed at the potential buyout. As we've learned with NCAA football and basketball contracts, really the main numbers that matter are what does the school get in case he's hired away (thus how likely is he to bolt if successful), and what do they have to pay to fire a coach. PJ's contract has evolved to actually be pretty friendly to the U over the course of signing these extensions. His buyout to leave has gone up, and the U "only" has to pay 65% of his remaining base salary (something like $1.5mm/year). Jimbo Fisher's current buyout is $95.6mm.
If MSU is truly giving him a contract that will be able to fend off the helmet schools, the buyout will likely be substantial. That is the part that can sink an athletic department, or force them to keep him coaching even if not successful. He has a limited track record, and even if he is successful, something can derail even good coaches. Look at Ed Orgeron; wins the national title, was recruiting very well, and then things started happening in his personal life, and he started to get lax in his duties (possibly due to the large sense of security a big contract can provide) on the job. LSU has the ability to buy him out and get out from a messy situation. I highly doubt MSU would be able to get out of that contract, depending on what the buyout ends up being. I hope Tucker is successful, and a good coach remains in the B1G. All I'm saying is if I was an MSU fan, I'd be a bit cautious in how much they're "going all in".
The likelihood of Tucker plateauing based on decades of precedent are pretty high. What if PJ got a contract like this after 2019? He would have gotten WAY more heat in 2020, and the press (and fans alike) would be grilling him mercilessly after this years losses, way more so that he currently is. Big bucks equal big expectations, and that pressure alone can crack some individuals, or lead to impermissible benefits, etc. to try and win at all costs.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/spor...ct-buyout-largest-college-history/6003908001/