bga1, I happen to agree with you that we will have sports this fall/winter. In person attendance might be limited or disallowed in some cases but I am pretty confident we can make it happen.
I'm curious where you get this claim from, though. I did a little digging and the most recent data I can find from the
NHTSA says that in 2017 we had 34,560 car crash fatalities in the US. That works out to 1.17 deaths per million miles traveled by car. If we assume 25,000 average car miles traveled per year, that means each your annual risk of dying in a car crash is 0.03%. That number is obviously dependent on things like safety features, actual number of miles driven (I average about 5K per year) etc. but I think that's a fair estimate. If you are just getting in the car for a 25 mile drive, that chance of dying drops to 0.00003% for the trip.
It's impossible for us to know what the true fatality rate is for COVID-19 because we simply don't have a good handle on the denominator: how many people have been infected. Based off our current confirmed cases, the fatality rate for all populations in the US is 5.8%. I think we have undertested so much that the real number might be closer to 0.5%-1.0%. In healthy people under 65, I agree with you that it is quite low. Maybe similar to the annual car crash number.
I do want to add that it is really important to consider people's co-morbidities in addition to age. A friend and former colleague of mine died at age 52 two weeks ago from COVID-19. She was obese and had some form of COPD, so she certainly had a higher risk. She was a middle school teacher and the entire school community is devastated. Unfortunately, we have a lot of teachers in America that are either older or have co-morbidities (heart disease, obesity, COPD, kidney disease, diabetes). We need to come up with a plan for how we can protect these people at the same time we get our economy going.