Didn't the Big Ten, Pac 12 and Big 12 form some kind of group right before the Pac 12 went poof?No idea what this means, but I can only assume it is good for the SEC and Big Ten and bad for everyone else.
My predicition for a while has been this... The Big Ten and SEC are going to continue to grow and become quite large. They will get so large that they will become many small conferences. Big Ten West will be USC, UCLA, Oregon, Washington, etc Big Ten Midwest will be Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etcThey could both expand by 6-8 teams, only play each other for non-conference games, play a Championship game & their media rights would increase substantially. The SEC & B1G are top dogs & will out recruit out NIL everyone else. Who would not want to play, coach & watch those two Mega conferences? Great games every week unlike now. Just give it time boys give it time. Like they say in Poltergeist "They're Here".
My predicition for a while has been this... The Big Ten and SEC are going to continue to grow and become quite large. They will get so large that they will become many small conferences. Big Ten West will be USC, UCLA, Oregon, Washington, etc Big Ten Midwest will be Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etc
I would be all in with my prediction and your post combining. Year one Big Ten West plays Sec East, etc for non-conference. Each schedule could have one open week to play whoever they want (regional rival, etc)... FCS, Iowa/Iowa State game, Colorado/CSU game... Similar to the NFL winning your division is key to getting into the Big Ten Tournament and having a chance to play the SEC winner for a National Championship.
Sounds well thought out and authoritative!
Go Gophers!!
I could also see a world where the big moneymaker programs of the SEC and Big Ten for example combine and leave behind their old conference members with poor fan and media support. It’s only a matter of time before the Ohio States, Texas, etc., get tired of having an equal media payout as programs like Indiana, etc. that the TV network execs could care less about and aren’t generating an equal share of the television revenue.It seems so obvious sad people who claim to know football can't see it. Notre Dame will join the B1G & the ACC will be raided by both conferences joining the Pac12 in the conference graveyard.
Remember any contract or heart can be broken.there's been a lot of speculation about the P4 teams breaking away from the NCAA and becoming their own entity - with new rules and policies.
and I suppose that's possible - but if they try, there will be lawyers lining up from Ann Arbor to Tuscaloosa to challenge various aspects of the proposal. let's say for the sake of argument that the B1G and SEC announce they are breaking away from the rest of college football. just sorting out the ramifications for the TV contracts could get tied up in court for years.
and - as some speculate - if the B1G or SEC tried to kick out bottom-rung teams - and cut them off from the TV money - the injunctions and TRO's would be flying.
this could be the biggest train wreck since "The Fugitive." or if you like older movies, "The Greatest Show on Earth."
hearts are cheap - lawyers are expensive.Remember any contract or heart can be broken.
That won't happen because someone has to lose each game played. Half of those programs would have losing records and not be considered big programs over time. The other concern is t the challenge of going undefeated would be a lot harder in a league of the top teams, and would more than likely mean even the top teams in the league would have 2-4 losses each year.I could also see a world where the big moneymaker programs of the SEC and Big Ten for example combine and leave behind their old conference members with poor fan and media support. It’s only a matter of time before the Ohio States, Texas, etc., get tired of having an equal media payout as programs like Indiana, etc. that the TV network execs could care less about and aren’t generating an equal share of the television revenue.
Think NFL with playoffs. Does anyone remember or care what the Super Bowl Champs regular season record was? Keep your eye on the prize. Records are for disc jockeys & museums.That won't happen because someone has to lose each game played. Half of those programs would have losing records and not be considered big programs over time. The other concern is t the challenge of going undefeated would be a lot harder in a league of the top teams, and would more than likely mean even the top teams in the league would have 2-4 losses each year.
There wouldn't be any such ramifications, just from this move.let's say for the sake of argument that the B1G and SEC announce they are breaking away from the rest of college football. just sorting out the ramifications for the TV contracts could get tied up in court for years.
That won't happen because someone has to lose each game played. Half of those programs would have losing records and not be considered big programs over time. The other concern is t the challenge of going undefeated would be a lot harder in a league of the top teams, and would more than likely mean even the top teams in the league would have 2-4 losses each year.
I think you both have valid points.Think NFL with playoffs. Does anyone remember or care what the Super Bowl Champs regular season record was? Keep your eye on the prize. Records are for disc jockeys & museums.
?Think NFL with playoffs. Does anyone remember or care what the Super Bowl Champs regular season record was? Keep your eye on the prize. Records are for disc jockeys & museums.
The NFL plays 5 more games in their regular season though, which makes the impact a single loss has on your overall win % less than it is in college. As well, NFL fans are conditioned to expect some losses during a season. In the NFL, there has only been 1 undefeated season (regular and playoff), and only 4 undefeated regular seasons ever. Whereas in FBS football, even just looking back to 1990, only 9 seasons didn't have any undefeated teams (1990, 1996, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2021), and multiple years had more than 1 undefeated team.Think NFL with playoffs. Does anyone remember or care what the Super Bowl Champs regular season record was? Keep your eye on the prize. Records are for disc jockeys & museums.
They need to increase the schedule by 2-4 games for more revenue & eliminate non-revenue generating sports. Fans will adapt as it will provide a better product. Remember inflation, higher interest rates & smaller budgets are not only for citizens.The NFL plays 5 more games in their regular season though, which makes the impact a single loss has on your overall win % less than it is in college. As well, NFL fans are conditioned to expect some losses during a season. In the NFL, there has only been 1 undefeated season (regular and playoff), and only 4 undefeated regular seasons ever. Whereas in FBS football, even just looking back to 1990, only 9 seasons didn't have any undefeated teams (1990, 1996, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2021), and multiple years had more than 1 undefeated team.
So college football fans of these "top tier" teams are heavily conditioned to expect undefeated seasons, and only maybe 1 or 2 losses max as an "acceptable down year". It would be a very risky move for these teams to break away from their "guaranteed" wins and chose to move to a schedule where every game legitimately was a game they had a chance at losing. Many fans of these teams would start to complain that their team was losing too much, ignoring the fact that they would be playing far stronger opponents, and that would potentially impact their fan support and profit.
It's not impossible, but with the way college fans of these teams are conditioned to expect perfection rather than just "whatever gets us to the national title", it is a mountain of a hurdle.
I could also see a world where the big moneymaker programs of the SEC and Big Ten for example combine and leave behind their old conference members with poor fan and media support. It’s only a matter of time before the Ohio States, Texas, etc., get tired of having an equal media payout as programs like Indiana, etc. that the TV network execs could care less about and aren’t generating an equal share of the television revenue.
In addition, when those NFL teams have a down year, they are rewarded with a higher draft pick, so there can potentially be a light at the end of the tunnel.As it is now ... fans of elite programs have been conditioned to think that anything less than 10 wins out of 12 and a CFP berth is a mediocre season.
In the NFL, fans are fine with a 10-7 season if you get solidly into the playoffs and go on a run. That's a completely different conditioning.
The only contracts the NCAA has is with CBS/Time Warner-Discovery for MBB and Disney (ESPN/ABC) for FCS and all the other championships.There wouldn't be any such ramifications, just from this move.
The Big Ten and SEC have their own contracts, between the conferences and TV partners. The NCAA doesn't figure into them one iota.
Nor does the CFP, for that matter. And the CFP is also completely independent of the NCAA.