It most likely will come down to their performance in their respective conference tournament. MN must first beat PSU and their first B1G tourney game. After that, even if Xavier loses vs. Nova, how do these two teams perform in the tourney? MN will likely need that second tourney victory to ensure a spot. If Xavier goes deep in their tourney I wouldn't worry about them. I would be more concerned with the performance of the other bubblers.
Jim Souhan thinks this is ridiculous. Baldy McBalderson can't coach worth a darn.