Question for Monday morning quarterbacks

Rog

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If you were the AD

Would you fire the coach first, then trying (hopeing) to find a better replacement and probably having a large number of applications to choose from. Usually this would be at the end of the season, as most canidates would be still coaching before then.

or

Wait and not fire the coach until, in secret, find a proven coach who would accept the task (and reward). this could delay the changing of a coach for a longer period in time. Maybe even a year or two. But if the AD is lucky it may not.

In the past the first has always (I believe) been used with the historical results as we know them.
 

There is no advantage in firing a coach mid season. It doesn't change your hiring at all. In fact it might hinder it if you're deemed irrational and quick with the trigger.

If Maturi makes the decision to fire Brew, he'll be working behind the scenes well before the season ends. There is no opportunity gain in an early firing, or loss in an end of season firing.
 

Question for Monday morning quarterbacks

I'll let you know tomorrow. I have scrupples you know.
 


I doubt there will be a secret hiring process. This is what will happen.

If it is deemed at the end of the season that Brewster should be fired, then and only then will Maturi start contacting candidates. Before then there's nothing stopping Maturi from being prepared for what seems like the inevitable. Most of this would between Maturi, Bruinicks and their closest advisors. They won't start reaching out to people until afterwards, because it's viewed as dishonorable to do so.

Honestly people, we shouldn't fret too much. If by some miracle Brewster points this team back in the right direction and wins enough to convince the powers that be deserves another year, then he'll be back. We're 1-2 with 9 games left. I can't muster any righteous indignation after watching this team play to the end yesterday despite being outmanned. Even though losing to USD is unforgivable, I doubt Maturi and Bruinicks will make their decision solely on that game. Mason wasn't fired because he lost to Texas Tech. He was fired because he lost to them like he lost to Wisconsin in 2005 and Michigan in 2003 and Purdue in 2001 and Northwestern in 2000. Brewster set a bad precedent last week and one that will probably be part of the equation that eventually will get him fired. Yesterday's performance didn't save his job or even calm his critics, but it didn't cost him either.

The pivotal game of the year looks to be N. Ill. They have to win next week, otherwise Brew is done. They may not fire him Saturday, but he'd practically have to win the conference title in order to save his job following a loss. Win next Saturday and I can see a scenario that will spare Brew the axe. All Brew has to do is win 2 out of 3 against NW, Penn St and Iowa at home and take down Purdue and Illinois on the road. That's 4-4 in the Big Ten, a victory in a trophy game, a bowl and likely a win over a top 25 team (NW, PSU or Iowa). If he does it, he can argue that the USD game was an early season gaffe. In the realm of college football it might be tough to justify firing a coach who just made a bowl and a disaster for us to fire him after a bowl. Anyway, that just how I see it.
 


How a good AD treats his imperiled head coach:

In public: supportive until the last second.

In private: laying down plastic sheets.
 


June, 2011 President Bruininks retires. I seriously doubt anything will be done until the new President is appointed and Maturi has a chance to meet with him or her. If the new President sees the Stadium and team as a Window on The University, he may want his own AD.That would in turn mean his own coach. Or the new President may have no interest is athletics. He or she could be contrary or even hostile. (See Malcom Moos) It could be a very interesting summer.

Now if President Bruininks feels he cannot wait and needs Joel to have candidates ready that could be a problem as well. Timing would be critical. Does he wait till after the signing date? Then pull the plug?

But with either scenario, Coach Brewster has to know its over, it only a matter of when.
 

But with either scenario, Coach Brewster has to know its over, it only a matter of when.

It's not over. There are still 9 games to play. Ya, I wouldn't put money on Brewster returning, but teams have certainly recovered from 1-2 starts with a terrible loss. It's a young team that should keep improving unless it blows another game and gives up on the coaches.

2 of the last 3 games are against teams we've done okay against. Then beat Iowa at home in the last game, and you end the season on a 3 game winning streak. If you beat Northern Illinois and can beat either Northwestern or Purdue that's 6 wins, about what a lot of people expected. Then it becomes a lot tougher. You don't want to start over unless you're absolutely sure you have to. I would also think a factor is going to be who Maturi thinks he can get. A hire of a veteran with a so-so resume wouldn't do anything. I also doubt Maturi is going to can Brewster just to gamble on another perceived up and comer.

Just because so many people want to see him gone, doesn't mean he's a dead man walking. Brewster certainly still has a pulse. Still a lot of the season to play.
 



What you do is exactly what every single quality AD would do...

You give Brew until the end of the year, but behind the scenes you start to accumulate a list of potential candidates and determine if their might be interest through indirect means (via agents, boosters, etc.). You make no promises, this is the feeling out stage. In the meantime, Brew and his coaches will continue to recruit and coach in order to try to save their jobs and/or to audition for their next jobs. If at the end of our regular season we aren't where we want to be, we fire him the next day and "officially" begin our search. Remember the Big 10 ends significantly before other conferences so we will have time to really gain as much info as needed. By the time the other conferences are having their championship games, you hire our new coach. That is an appropriate time (between regular season and bowl season) to make the hiring. It wouldn't be rushed and you would still be able to recruit a bit.


As for the Notre Dame question...huh? The are in week 3 of their new coach. This is a question for year 3, not week 3.
 

A quality AD always has a list for every situation all the time. Maturi? Wouldn't bet he has them.

Why build a very nice (and very small) stadium that you know Minnesotans won't fill (thank goodness for North Dakota, Wisconsin, Iowa, etc, you know schools with football fans)? Why not fund a competitive football budget and build a winner.
 

Standards and capacity

This really is an operational question, as marketing will depend on success on the field. What yardsticks can we measure things by besides the almighty and most important W? We all know that W's matter the most.

We can look at the future. Are we better prepared for 2011 than 2010? How could we measure that? Quality of personnel. Does the team have the right personnel to accomplish the plan?
If not, what corrective measures have been implemented? How is the team being motivated and incented to move forward (really tough here. Can't give out cash, but for walkons you may dangle scholarships. Pushing the starters forward.) Do we need to revisit our strengths and weakness assessments mid season and revise the plan?

We can adjust the current plan to reach longer term goals sacrificing this year for the develpment of younger talent. Such as bench some seniors to develop the underclassmen to be taught on the field as well as in practice, pushing development earlier in the process. This may push more losses on the team, but, that might not be the worst thing. Explaining this to the team may bring them on board to work harder for a better next year. Impact on marketing would be a severe hit. Not likely to do that now with the financial obligations so high (payoff TCF stadium).

We can stick to the current plan, run, ball control, simple team development over the course of the season. We are who we are and we can not be world beaters this year. Gain defensive experience. Get a better feel for the game. Measure it by where we are now in defensive categories and offensive categories. Measure it out. Project our staff contribution and losses and see where we should be next year. Then decide if we need to make leadership changes.

My guess is that if we did a thoughrough examination of a SWOT analysis and an environmental scan, we would find that we are simply in a down cycle with a young team on defense. We have a solid future on the offensive line with a solid QB coming in. We lack skill players on the current team and lack them in recruiting this class. We are also lacking in defensive linemen in the current recruiting class. In the short term, the clearest needs are to further develop the talent of the defensive secondary and recruit for more defensive players and offensive skill players.

I think, after calling for Brewsters head after USD, Brewster is likely to remain the head coach. The training and development of the team look like our greatest weakness, as many are very inexperienced on the defensive side of the ball. Take away 2 big USC plays, and the game is even. Those are player mistakes and they are able to be fixed. The staff is performing just fine. With minor adjustments, the plan looks solid. The vision of the team is gaining wider acceptance by customers and players.

I say we stick to the plan, keep the leadership of the team, and continue to work on refining our skills and recruiting for talent. Projections look rough but they are managable.
 

I think Maturi needs to be working the back channels. If he can land a no brainer he needs to do it, otherwise it is probably best to let the dust settle on the President changeover.
 



There is really no reason to fire Brewster until the end of the year. Maturi should be working on laying the ground work during the season in finding a new coach. Wether you like it or not I think there is a lot more going on behind the scenes while the soon to be fired coach is still coaching the team.

I know there is still on out cry against Maturi, but he has a chance to have a positive legacy if he gets the baseball stadium and the basketball practice faciltiy built. Plus, if he found the right football coach, he'd leave behind a very good legacy. We'll see if he's up to the task.
 

What you do is you start making a list of potential candidates now. There is blood in the water, the coaches looking to move up into the BCS ranks are already thinking it over. It shouldn't be too hard to find out through the grapevine who is interested.
 




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