New Mexico 34
Minnesota 10
With the offense down to just a few WRs, it seems like Minnesota will have to have a very limited and predictable offense with some of the top guys out. You also have a defense that has been up and down all year with only a couple solid games. I watched the Wisconsin game. Minnesota got a few lucky turnovers (including when Wisconsin was driving) and had good field position multiple times. Yet, they failed to convert or really take advantage of either of them. The game could have been a much bigger blowout if they had put their foot down, but this team just can't do that.
Minnesota's special teams are extremely shaky with a lot of it being on the kicker. That doesn't make me feel good. If they need to make a field goal to go up at any time in the game or from any distance, short or long, I do not trust them.
You have New Mexico on a six game winning streak and coming in red hot. They have a chip on their shoulder with all these Minnesota predications being bulletin board material, New Mexico beat UCLA this year, and they played Michigan tough on the road. Minnesota did none of that versus the actually good teams that they played. Not to mention, Minnesota only beat sub .500 teams, and New Mexico is not one of them. New Mexico will probably be a double digit 10 win team. Hence, Minnesota doesn't have a chance.
You have the obvious stat that New Mexico won more road Big Ten games than Minnesota this year and this game will be like a road game. With lots of New Mexico fans attending and making noise, this actually could hurt Minnesota. It could cause play calling issues and penalties.
I hope I'm wrong, but it feels as though New Mexico has all the momentum, the fan support, the tougher team, the better team, and they just flat out will dominate this game. This game will be a blowout with New Mexico winning easily.