Predict the Score Thread: Rate Bowl - Minnesota vs New Mexico


Q1: Minnesota 7, New Mexico 0
Q2: Minnesota 14, New Mexico 7
Q3: Minnesota 20, New Mexico 10
FINAL: Minnesota 27, New Mexico 17
 







Abusing the transitive property, since Boise State beat NM 38-21, Washington beat Boise State 38-10, Wisc. beat Washington 13-10, and we beat W 17-7, we should be at least 2 TD favorites.
Minnesota 28
New Mexico 3
 




Add me to the 27-17 group.

Unless the defense is having a rough time with UNM (like they did with Northwestern and to a lesser extent Rutgers), I don't see the team scoring 30 or more. Fleck usually keeps it conservative when the team is doing a fair job of controlling the game.
 






I was waiting for BTChamp to post his predictions. He usually has it wrong, so wanted to make sure I wasn't on the same page as him.
Gophers 28- Lobos 7
You're being gracious by saying "usually" wrong......
 







New Mexico 34
Minnesota 10

With the offense down to just a few WRs, it seems like Minnesota will have to have a very limited and predictable offense with some of the top guys out. You also have a defense that has been up and down all year with only a couple solid games. I watched the Wisconsin game. Minnesota got a few lucky turnovers (including when Wisconsin was driving) and had good field position multiple times. Yet, they failed to convert or really take advantage of either of them. The game could have been a much bigger blowout if they had put their foot down, but this team just can't do that.

Minnesota's special teams are extremely shaky with a lot of it being on the kicker. That doesn't make me feel good. If they need to make a field goal to go up at any time in the game or from any distance, short or long, I do not trust them.

You have New Mexico on a six game winning streak and coming in red hot. They have a chip on their shoulder with all these Minnesota predications being bulletin board material, New Mexico beat UCLA this year, and they played Michigan tough on the road. Minnesota did none of that versus the actually good teams that they played. Not to mention, Minnesota only beat sub .500 teams, and New Mexico is not one of them. New Mexico will probably be a double digit 10 win team. Hence, Minnesota doesn't have a chance.

You have the obvious stat that New Mexico won more road Big Ten games than Minnesota this year and this game will be like a road game. With lots of New Mexico fans attending and making noise, this actually could hurt Minnesota. It could cause play calling issues and penalties.

I hope I'm wrong, but it feels as though New Mexico has all the momentum, the fan support, the tougher team, the better team, and they just flat out will dominate this game. This game will be a blowout with New Mexico winning easily.
 

New Mexico 34
Minnesota 10

With the offense down to just a few WRs, it seems like Minnesota will have to have a very limited and predictable offense with some of the top guys out. You also have a defense that has been up and down all year with only a couple solid games. I watched the Wisconsin game. Minnesota got a few lucky turnovers (including when Wisconsin was driving) and had good field position multiple times. Yet, they failed to convert or really take advantage of either of them. The game could have been a much bigger blowout if they had put their foot down, but this team just can't do that.

Minnesota's special teams are extremely shaky with a lot of it being on the kicker. That doesn't make me feel good. If they need to make a field goal to go up at any time in the game or from any distance, short or long, I do not trust them.

You have New Mexico on a six game winning streak and coming in red hot. They have a chip on their shoulder with all these Minnesota predications being bulletin board material, New Mexico beat UCLA this year, and they played Michigan tough on the road. Minnesota did none of that versus the actually good teams that they played. Not to mention, Minnesota only beat sub .500 teams, and New Mexico is not one of them. New Mexico will probably be a double digit 10 win team. Hence, Minnesota doesn't have a chance.

You have the obvious stat that New Mexico won more road Big Ten games than Minnesota this year and this game will be like a road game. With lots of New Mexico fans attending and making noise, this actually could hurt Minnesota. It could cause play calling issues and penalties.

I hope I'm wrong, but it feels as though New Mexico has all the momentum, the fan support, the tougher team, the better team, and they just flat out will dominate this game. This game will be a blowout with New Mexico winning easily.
While some of your points are valid IMO, the WR one is not. All the opt outs were no good anyway, or at least were not difference makers during the season, and if you think New Mexico has a chip on their shoulder due to predictions on this website I think that's crazy.

All that said I think NM wins the game, but its close as PJ will play conservative.
NM 23
MN 21
 


New Mexico 34
Minnesota 10

With the offense down to just a few WRs, it seems like Minnesota will have to have a very limited and predictable offense with some of the top guys out. You also have a defense that has been up and down all year with only a couple solid games. I watched the Wisconsin game. Minnesota got a few lucky turnovers (including when Wisconsin was driving) and had good field position multiple times. Yet, they failed to convert or really take advantage of either of them. The game could have been a much bigger blowout if they had put their foot down, but this team just can't do that.

Minnesota's special teams are extremely shaky with a lot of it being on the kicker. That doesn't make me feel good. If they need to make a field goal to go up at any time in the game or from any distance, short or long, I do not trust them.

You have New Mexico on a six game winning streak and coming in red hot. They have a chip on their shoulder with all these Minnesota predications being bulletin board material, New Mexico beat UCLA this year, and they played Michigan tough on the road. Minnesota did none of that versus the actually good teams that they played. Not to mention, Minnesota only beat sub .500 teams, and New Mexico is not one of them. New Mexico will probably be a double digit 10 win team. Hence, Minnesota doesn't have a chance.

You have the obvious stat that New Mexico won more road Big Ten games than Minnesota this year and this game will be like a road game. With lots of New Mexico fans attending and making noise, this actually could hurt Minnesota. It could cause play calling issues and penalties.

I hope I'm wrong, but it feels as though New Mexico has all the momentum, the fan support, the tougher team, the better team, and they just flat out will dominate this game. This game will be a blowout with New Mexico winning easily.
We're down Wr's but outside of some snaps for Coleman we still have the ones that play. Loya and Brockington aren't good enough to opt out. With the layoff I don't think momentum means much it'll come down to how hard both teams play and ultimately who has more talent, if we lose while disappointing if that's the case it'll be because the more talented team won, but I believe we have more talent and that will win out in the end. Guessing if Smith and Taylor haven't made up their minds they will be playing in this game
 




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