joshvanklomp
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No, 46 and 58 when I look at 247.
Which means they haven't had a top-45 class.....
No, 46 and 58 when I look at 247.
1. Why would you be happy to finish in the mid 40s? That's asking pretty little of someone who is supposed to be a great recruiter. It's setting the bar pretty low.
2. You are somewhat right about the 4 star thing. Finishing in the top 40 with zero four stars is very rare, and has only happened with classes of at least 27 players.
Which means they haven't had a top-45 class.....
He was apparently just 15 at time his junior year hudl video came out, and he was dominating. He's going to be a monster. Great addition.
<iframe src='//www.hudl.com/embed/video/3/3916892/583b4ec8dfd8b72524bdbb29' width='640' height='360' frameborder='0' allowfullscreen></iframe>
Recruiting rankings vs AP rankings is a different debate (one I also disagree with you on). My question is why folks care if this particular recruit changes from a 3-star to 4-star. That is what I said was odd.
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The thing is, we don't actually know how good these kids are yet. If they move from a 3* to a 4*, it likely means they improved since the last time they were evaluated, which means they are likely even better than we thought they were when they committed. That is a good thing, no?
Whether they are better, worse, or the same as we thought - it doesn't change how good they are when they play here. The above does not explain why I should care if OU stays a 3, moves to a 4, or even drops to a 2. In any event he will be the same player here. I'm delighted he is going to be a Gopher. I couldn't care less what his ranking is or ends up being. Still not sure why I should or why there were multiple posters hoping he and others move to a 4-star.
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The thing is, we don't actually know how good these kids are yet. If they move from a 3* to a 4*, it likely means they improved since the last time they were evaluated, which means they are likely even better than we thought they were when they committed. That is a good thing, no?
Whether they are better, worse, or the same as we thought - it doesn't change how good they are when they play here. The above does not explain why I should care if OU stays a 3, moves to a 4, or even drops to a 2. In any event he will be the same player here. I'm delighted he is going to be a Gopher. I couldn't care less what his ranking is or ends up being. Still not sure why I should or why there were multiple posters hoping he and others move to a 4-star.
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I get that changing their ranking doesn't magically change their ability, but that isn't the point. No one thinks that it does. Again, fans don't actually know how good these players are yet. There are different expectations for a 4 star recruit and a 3 star recruit, and if one of our guys moves to a 4 star, the assumption is "oh, this guy is even better than we thought he was". Higher rankings = higher expectations = more excitement. You can pretend this doesn't make sense or that you don't understand, but I don't believe you.
Because many Gopher fans look for anything to pat themselves on the back. Recruiting rankings may give them a chance to escape their their feelings of inferiority, if only for a moment on a discussion board.Oh, I understand some will be more excited about OU if he is a 4-star than a 3-star. It is the point that I find that silly that I am making. Feel free to disagree, but I find it odd. I will be equally excited even if he drops to a 2-star. He is an awesome get - why do we feel some need to have a perception that it is even more awesome?
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Yet Fleck has been after a number of 4*s and official visits haven't even started. Yet you feel the need to post this in every. single. recruiting. thread.
For people on a message board - maybe, yes. But I would think our coaches use their own evaluation and probably hope some of these guys stay under the radar. I would hope that professional recruiters would have very little knowledge what a bunch of entry level journalists rate the players that will determine their career and more likely be able to evaluate on their own. All that said, of course I hope all our recruits get 'bumped up.' It makes the offseason more entertaining...but nothing more.
While the star system does have some strong statistical correlation to success on the field it is completely arbitrary and only exists to make money off fans. They could have picked any number for their top recruits - they settled with 5. It would probably be more exact if they went with 7. By the way, do these human beings ever drop from a 3 star to a 2 star? I can't remember a Gopher recruit who dropped within their last year. It seems like they can only go up based on the schools interested. The entire practice is a sham...I still love it, though. I always go with the philosophy that stars are fun, but they cease to matter with the first snap in which a player participates.
I get that changing their ranking doesn't magically change their ability, but that isn't the point. No one thinks that it does. Again, fans don't actually know how good these players are yet. There are different expectations for a 4 star recruit and a 3 star recruit, and if one of our guys moves to a 4 star, the assumption is "oh, this guy is even better than we thought he was". Higher rankings = higher expectations = more excitement. You can pretend this doesn't make sense or that you don't understand, but I don't believe you.
Oh, I understand some will be more excited about OU if he is a 4-star than a 3-star. It is the point that I find that silly that I am making. Feel free to disagree, but I find it odd. I will be equally excited even if he drops to a 2-star. He is an awesome get - why do we feel some need to have a <I>perception </I>that it is even more awesome?
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There's nothing to "disagree" on. It is a fact that there is a strong positive correlation between recruiting rankings and on-field results.
I can't imagine how big a deal it will be to see Andries, Uzebu, and Carroll should he decide to stay home on the same O-Line.
Because many Gopher fans look for anything to pat themselves on the back. Recruiting rankings may give them a chance to escape their their feelings of inferiority, if only for a moment on a discussion board.
As for the purpose of this thread, I welcome any player who desires to wear the maize and maroon. [emoji41]
Yet Fleck has been after a number of 4*s and official visits haven't even started. Yet you feel the need to post this in every. single. recruiting. thread.
Dog Whistle.
As for the ratings yes, Fleck will need 4-stars for top 40 class. I hope he does. It's called reality... you disagree he needs several to have a top 40 class?
Yes, it's early and that my point Einstein. Top 15 class right now because many of the big boys below Gophs right now have very few commits...and they too will have official visits just like the Gophs, it is how it works.
If Fleck lands a couple 5 stars and a half dozen 4 stars, I'll be pretty happy about this class.
Yes, I was talking about fans and people on message boards, hence the reason I said "we". How can the star system have a strong statistical correlation to success on the field if they are completely arbitrary? That doesn't even make sense. The fact that there is a strong correlation should make it obvious that rankings are based on talent/potential. If they were truly arbitrary, there would be no correlation to on field success.
Dog Whistle.
As for the ratings yes, Fleck will need 4-stars for top 40 class. I hope he does. It's called reality... you disagree he needs several to have a top 40 class?
Yes, it's early and that my point Einstein. Top 15 class right now because many of the big boys below Gophs right now have very few commits...and they too will have official visits just like the Gophs, it is how it works.
Well, "we" can mean a lot of different things, but okay I get where you were coming from. Thanks.
My point about it being arbitrary is that you limit yourself by only using 5 rating points. I'm going to take 5 star recruits and 2 star recruits out of comparison because I think history pretty much solidifies the difference between the two. Since they only have "5" different strata I think the difference between 3 and 4 stars is pretty arbitrary. I feel like guys get both 3 and 4 star ratings solely based on where they commit...there have been many Gopher commits that were unrated (mostly local guys in this scenario) that have UMN, NDSU, SDSU offers for example. When they commit to the Gophers they are given a 3 star rating. I'd be willing to bet if they chose one of the Dakotas, they would maintain being unrated or given a 2 star ranking. My main point is that they should use a 7 star system - much like a lot of statistical modeling. Unfortunately that would require a bunch of young journalists actually having to put some thought into their click-bait.
Has anybody ever done analysis on how rivals 5.7 recruits (3 star) do VS 5.8 recruits (4 star)? My guess is that it would be completely random or based on situation/surrounding talent. Hence - none of this matters and we should just wait and see how these guys perform.
It would be a nice improvement of roughly 15 spots over Fleck's 2017 class and the highest ranked recruiting class for him.
I'm not somewhat right, it is very rare.