I see, USC cannot catch Iowa no matter what to tie break. Yea, I see now the record you are talking about.
SHOOT! I didn't realize Ohio State was this viable IF THEY WERE TO BEAT HIGH RANKED MICHIGAN -- A SIGNATURE WIN.
Unlikely but if Ohio State beats Michigan:
| Projected Seed | Team | Final Conf. Record | Impact of Michigan Loss |
|---|
| 1 | UCLA | 18–0 | Clinched #1. Unaffected by other results. |
| 2 | Iowa | 15–3 | Moves to #2. Becomes the clear second-best with 3 losses. |
| 3 | Michigan | 14–4 | Drops to #3. A loss to Maryland and a projected loss to Ohio State on Feb 25 would give them 4 losses. |
| 4 | Ohio State | 14–4 | Moves to #4. If they beat Michigan on Feb 25, they tie Michigan and could take the #3 or #4 seed based on tiebreakers. |
| 5 | Minnesota | 13–5 | Stays #5. Just misses the double-bye behind the 4-loss tier. |
| 6 | Maryland | 12–6 | Climbs to #6. Moves up by securing a signature win over Michigan. |
| 7 | Michigan State | 11–7 | Stays #7. Solidly in the middle tier. |
HOWEVER IT IS LIKELY TO BE THIS:
Projected Seeding Tiers
The tournament features the top
15 teams (out of 18).
- Double Bye (Seeds 1–4):
- 1. UCLA: Already clinched at least a share of the title; expected to finish #1.
- 2. Michigan: Likely to hold the #2 spot.
- 3. Iowa: Expected to maintain its lead over the middle pack.
- 4. Minnesota: Currently #4, but must fend off Ohio State in the final week.
- Single Bye (Seeds 5–9):
- 5. Ohio State: Just one game behind Minnesota.
- 6. Michigan State
- 7. Maryland
- 8. USC
- 9. Washington
- First Round (Seeds 10–15):
- Teams like Illinois, Oregon, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Indiana are currently in this tier.
- Note: The bottom three finishers (currently projected as Penn State, Northwestern, and Rutgers) do not qualify for the tournament.
I'm not afraid of a Gophers showdown with Ohio State. Trap teams are nullified by Minnesota's defense built to stop scoring off turnovers. GOPHERS ARE #1 IN NCAA IN LIMITING OPPONENT TURNOVERS.
I more fear fast transition teams like Maryland.
I simply want Minnesota to host the NCAA tournament.
Anyway it all comes down to one thing: get one signature win in the Big Ten Tournament and then hosting. Maryland, Ohio State, win that one game, host.
Would be easier if Minnesota had the double-bye but cannot avoid the showdown game the Gophers have to win to host.
Win first game as double-bye is host. Win first two game as a single-bye, host. Gophers cannot flop out of the B1G Tournament.
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