Official APR/GPA bowl thread

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Some guy

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This is a GPA bowl top 10 ranking thread.

If not enough teams qualify at 6 wins APR qualifies teams to compete with 5 wins.

I will track the top 10. A team gets removed from the top 10 when one of the following happens:
8th loss - this means they’ll be 4-8 or worse and not be eligible
6th win - this means they’ll not need a second source of qualifying


Current APR BOWL top 10
1) alabama 5-1
2) tie
Michigan 4-2 and North Carolina 2-3
4) tie
Clemson 3-3 and wake forest 4-2
6) Cincinnati 5-1
7) northwestern 4-2
8) tie
Air Force 1-5 and Minnesota 4-2
10) tie
Iowa state 5-2 and Wisconsin 2-4
 

Updated ranks:
1) Michigan 5-2 and north Carolina 2-4

3) Clemson 3-4 and wake forest 4-2

5) northwestern 5-2
6) Minnesota 5-2 and Air Force 2-5

8) Iowa state 5-2 and Wisconsin 2-5

10) Notre Dame 5-2
 

Updated Ranks:
1) North Carolina 2-5
2) Clemson 3-4 and wake forest 5-2

4) northwestern 5-3
5) Minnesota 5-3 and Air Force 2-5

7) Wisconsin 2-6 and Iowa state 5-3

9) Notre Dame 5-2

10) Kansas State 4-4
 

Currently ESPN FPI has 83 teams at projections of over 50% chance of 6 wins.

There are:
12 playoff teams
34 bowls - 68 teams
A 35th bowl for two FCS teams (celebration bowl).

This is 80 FBS teams

So currently there is projected surplus of 3 teams if espn FPI goes chalk.
Meaning this thread won’t matter.

But I also think ESPN FPi is broken it’s just the easiest to see a projection of 6 win teams.
For instance it projects 3-4 army to 6 wins but they’d have to get to 6 wins before the navy game. So they’d need to go 3-1 the next 4.
It projects 3-4 penn state to 6. But they still play Ohio state and Indiana. So assuming no upset they have to sweep the rest.
It projects Florida state as a 75% chance of 6 wins. I have my doubts.

So I’ll keep thread alive for now.


It has 83 teams with > 50% chance of 6 wins but 12 of them are projected between 5.5 and 5.9 so it’s a round up vs round down projection
 
Last edited:

Some guy said:
Updated Ranks:
1) North Carolina 2-5
2) Clemson 3-4 and wake forest 5-2

4) northwestern 5-3
5) Minnesota 5-3 and Air Force 2-5

7) Wisconsin 2-6 and Iowa state 5-3

9) Notre Dame 5-2

10) Kansas State 4-4
Click to expand...
1) North Carolina 3-5
2) Clemson 3-5
3) northwestern 5-3
4) Air Force 2-6
5) Wisconsin 2-6 and Iowa state 5-4

7) Kansas State 4-5, auburn 4-5, Florida state 4-4

10) Rice 4-5
 



Still 83 projected to bowl eligible but I still don’t buy it
 


Question Some. How many times has a five win team made it and what is the most five win teams in one season?
 




HitMeAgainIAmStillMoving said:
Question Some. How many times has a five win team made it and what is the most five win teams in one season?
Click to expand...
I don’t know the answer to the first one. I believe the second one is a trick question. There was a year it would’ve been 3 but there were two non eligible transition teams that got it FIRST so even though the answer was 3 the real answer was 1 (it happened to be the gophers). So I’m going to say it was 3 even though the year it was 3 it was 1.
 







1) north carolina 4-6
2) Clemson 5-5
3) northwestern 5-5
4) Air Force 3-7
5) Wisconsin 3-7
6) Kansas state 5-5 Florida state 5-5 auburn 4-7
9) rice 5-5

10) many teams tied
 


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