Minnesota at Michigan State line prediction, MSU opens as 3 point favorites

Stan

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 20, 2008
Messages
4,140
Reaction score
1,306
Points
113
I think the Spartans will open up -2, but it will end up a pick-em by the time kickoff rolls around.
 



Panthadad2

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 20, 2015
Messages
3,484
Reaction score
1,493
Points
113
MSU will be favored by -2.5 or so. Sagarin had MSU -3 going into this week neutral field. Massey had it as a push neutral field. I don't think the metrics will change that much.
 




Stuff

F.A.M.I.L.Y. Member
Joined
Aug 22, 2015
Messages
1,313
Reaction score
447
Points
83
Is Washington good this year? Or was MSU rated a little too high in the top 25?
 

Yah-E

Bulieve
Joined
Nov 20, 2008
Messages
1,265
Reaction score
528
Points
113
I’ll take MN +3 all day! LFG!! Can’t wait for this game.
 




RememberMurray

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 25, 2019
Messages
5,816
Reaction score
4,536
Points
113

I'll agree with that. I was impressed with Washington.

As far as Sparty is concerned, they're not the 11th best team in the country. But I disagree with the folks who say they're awful. They look like an 8-4, 7-5 team to me. Better than average, but certainly not Ohio State or Michigan level.
 

Word

Eats difficult conversations
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
10,151
Reaction score
5,456
Points
113
I'll agree with that. I was impressed with Washington.

As far as Sparty is concerned, they're not the 11th best team in the country. But I disagree with the folks who say they're awful. They look like an 8-4, 7-5 team to me. Better than average, but certainly not Ohio State or Michigan level.
Agree on MSU.
 






Panthadad2

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 20, 2015
Messages
3,484
Reaction score
1,493
Points
113
The loss of CAB is probably worth a couple points on betting line. It might be worth more points in reality.
 

noamfromm

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 9, 2014
Messages
2,313
Reaction score
1,403
Points
113
I think MSU is being underrated by this board.
What's the rating? I think their pass defense is horrible. Have two good backs and an average to below average offensive line. A two good receivers, a good pass cathing tight end, and a fine but not great QB. I think the win 7 games at most.
 

UpAndUnder43

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 3, 2017
Messages
10,560
Reaction score
7,156
Points
113
What's the rating? I think their pass defense is horrible. Have two good backs and an average to below average offensive line. A two good receivers, a good pass cathing tight end, and a fine but not great QB. I think the win 7 games at most.
I feel like for many the game is a foregone conclusion. It’s a road game in the big ten against a capable team.
 

btowngopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 23, 2008
Messages
5,874
Reaction score
2,211
Points
113
What's the rating? I think their pass defense is horrible. Have two good backs and an average to below average offensive line. A two good receivers, a good pass cathing tight end, and a fine but not great QB. I think the win 7 games at most.
That basically means they would be among the best offenses in the conference.
 

noamfromm

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 9, 2014
Messages
2,313
Reaction score
1,403
Points
113
That basically means they would be among the best offenses in the conference.
I guess we define things different. Their line limits everything. You can have good backs but they can't over come the line, same with the receivers.
 



U2Gopher

Well-known member
Joined
Nov 28, 2008
Messages
1,540
Reaction score
748
Points
113
I think MSU is being underrated by this board.
I absolutely agree with this take. While I don’t think we have an “easy” game left on our schedule, I’d argue that Michigan State is the toughest game left on our schedule. Our defense lost a lot from last year and is untested this year. I think we have better depth on defense than last year but I don’t know that we have the “impact” players that we had last year. We will see what we truly have on that side of the ball this coming Saturday. If we pull this game out on the road in a place we historically don’t play well at, it could mean we truly have something.

But this game is going to be extremely tough and I think very, very physical. We will need to really run the ball well and control the clock. Need to keep their offense off the field.
 



cjbfbp

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 23, 2014
Messages
10,917
Reaction score
5,429
Points
113
Agreed. Think it's going to be a tough game, especially since MSU is coming off a loss.

Yes, this is one of those circumstances where schadenfreude is short-lived. It only lasts until you realize that you're going on the road with a couple of key injuries to meet an angry team that has some undeniable talent.
 

hello-world

Well-known member
Joined
Dec 27, 2016
Messages
2,061
Reaction score
753
Points
113
Minnesota -1.5 on DK.
SP+ says this game should be even money.

Not touching the Gophers this week.
 


Dave H

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 10, 2011
Messages
387
Reaction score
408
Points
63
I never buy the "the team is going to be tough cause they are coming off a loss" line of thinking...if that was the case losing streaks would never happen. How did Northwestern do "coming off a loss" playing SIU? How about Nebraska against hated former rival Oklahoma?

If MSU beats us it isn't because they were mad they lost last week IMHO.
 


cjbfbp

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 23, 2014
Messages
10,917
Reaction score
5,429
Points
113
Minnesota -1.5 on DK.
SP+ says this game should be even money.

Not touching the Gophers this week.

Sagarin also has it as an even game. I still think eventual betting will give a slight edge to MSU.
 




Top Bottom