MINN/MICH Betting

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Tully55

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Betting lines per VegasInsider.com:

Minn opened up + 10 now +9 to +9.5

Money line:
Minn opened up +290 now + 270 to +280
Mich opened up -375 now -340 to -355

o/u opened up 39.5 now 38 to 39
 




Wally said:
I would just put it all on Michigan giving up the points. No way we keep it under 14.
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After the 2nd half against Iowa I can totally understand why people would think this way yet for whatever reason the bettors don't seem to be following suit because if they were then the line would be moving up to try and attract bets toward Minnesota in order to balance it out. Vegas doesn't tend to give away free money so the line on this game definitely feels strange.
 





Wisconsin is also a bottom big ten team this year, starting a backup QB who frankly doesn't belong in this conference. But maybe Fickell's T.E.A.M Jacket will inspire them to only lose by 15 :LOL:
 




GopherGlory said:
Wisconsin is also a bottom big ten team this year, starting a backup QB who frankly doesn't belong in this conference. But maybe Fickell's T.E.A.M Jacket will inspire them to only lose by 15 :LOL:
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Prettt funny a fanbase who makes fun or row the boat hired a guy whose gimmick isn’t even his own gimmick
 

Some guy said:
Prettt funny a fanbase who makes fun or row the boat hired a guy whose gimmick isn’t even his own gimmick
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Will be interesting to watch how their fanbase deals with things if Fickell can't push them past where Chryst had things.
 

MNVCGUY said:
After the 2nd half against Iowa I can totally understand why people would think this way yet for whatever reason the bettors don't seem to be following suit because if they were then the line would be moving up to try and attract bets toward Minnesota in order to balance it out. Vegas doesn't tend to give away free money so the line on this game definitely feels strange.
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Yes, and maybe no. Full disclosure: I have a significant bet on Michigan -8.5.

When I looked yesterday, 85% of the money on FanDuel was on Michigan - yet the line had only moved to -9.5. Now it is at -10.5 with 88% of the $ on Michigan. I expected the line to move more faster, but it hasn't and it doesn't seem to be because bettors are putting $ on MN. My best guess is that there are some large bets on MI and the book is worried if they move the line too much they will create too big of a float for that money.
 



Spoofin said:
Yes, and maybe no. Full disclosure: I have a significant bet on Michigan -8.5.

When I looked yesterday, 85% of the money on FanDuel was on Michigan - yet the line had only moved to -9.5. Now it is at -10.5 with 88% of the $ on Michigan. I expected the line to move more faster, but it hasn't and it doesn't seem to be because bettors are putting $ on MN. My best guess is that there are some large bets on MI and the book is worried if they move the line too much they will create too big of a float for that money.
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Very possible, I will never pretend to have more then a very base understand about how all the stuff with lines and what not works....not a gambler myself.

But on a side note....knowing you put down a bet against us will have some us pulling for Minnesota to win or at the very least keep the score tight knowing you will take it in the shorts.... :)
 

MNVCGUY said:
Very possible, I will never pretend to have more then a very base understand about how all the stuff with lines and what not works....not a gambler myself.

But on a side note....knowing you put down a bet against us will have some us pulling for Minnesota to win or at the very least keep the score tight knowing you will take it in the shorts.... :)
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LOL. My son told me the same thing. 🤷‍♂️
Truth is this is only the 2nd time ever I have put $ down against MN. I hate doing it as I can't root against them while I watch. The first time was Penn State in 2022 (-4.5) and the second this game. I don't view this MI -8.5 as good of a bet as I did the PSU in 2022, but good enough to bet against MN. I've been wrong a bunch, but I just don't see how MN keeps this one close.
 


Spoofin said:
LOL. My son told me the same thing. 🤷‍♂️
Truth is this is only the 2nd time ever I have put $ down against MN. I hate doing it as I can't root against them while I watch. The first time was Penn State in 2022 (-4.5) and the second this game. I don't view this MI -8.5 as good of a bet as I did the PSU in 2022, but good enough to bet against MN. I've been wrong a bunch, but I just don't see how MN keeps this one close.
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Yeah, I did the same — and it’s as rare in my case as yours. I’ve got PTSD from watching the rush defense last year, and that was reawakened last week. Michigan is a horrible passing team, so perhaps the D pulls it together and commits enough guys to the box to slow them down, but I have a hard time seeing less than 200 yards rushing for Mich.
 

Wow - the oddsmakers with an incredibly soft line. I should have put a lot more than 200 on the Wolverines here. Gopher fans -- it does help soften the blow a little bit but watching this debacle unfold still sucks.
 

Gold Rush said:
Wow - the oddsmakers with an incredibly soft line. I should have put a lot more than 200 on the Wolverines here. Gopher fans -- it does help soften the blow a little bit but watching this debacle unfold still sucks.
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You sure?

This is why I don't bet sports, I would have bet big Michigan
 



Spoofin said:
Yes, and maybe no. Full disclosure: I have a significant bet on Michigan -8.5.

When I looked yesterday, 85% of the money on FanDuel was on Michigan - yet the line had only moved to -9.5. Now it is at -10.5 with 88% of the $ on Michigan. I expected the line to move more faster, but it hasn't and it doesn't seem to be because bettors are putting $ on MN. My best guess is that there are some large bets on MI and the book is worried if they move the line too much they will create too big of a float for that money.
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How much did you bet against your own team?
 

I don't gamble...But if I was in Vegas, I would have definitely picked Michigan to cover.

But I guess that's why I don't gamble 🙃
 


Luckily I only used a $10 bonus bet I had laying around to parlay the over and Mich -9.5. That was looking tasty for most of the game, but I’m happy to lose it and have experienced those last 12 min of game time.
 


Iceland12 said:
Books said before the game that the money was coming in heavily on Michigan. Probably explains why the margin posted was so close.

Books still lost a lot of money on a 3 point Michigan victory. Unless they had more money than usual come in on the over.
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Doesn’t that mean the books won a ton? All the money coming in was on Michigan and Michigan didn’t cover.

That over was juicy. So I think a lot probably did come in.
 


The books absolutely cleaned up on this game. At one point on Scores & Odds 98% of the money was on Michigan.

IMG_8169.jpeg
 


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