Spot on. I think that the AD is looking at the coach he has today as being more important than what the whole 7 years were- especially since Pitino was brought in so green.After Pitino's second season, he lost a bunch of players to graduation -- Andre Hollins, Dre Matthieu, Elliot Eliason, and Mo Walker. His year three roster included one senior that played much (Joey King), was led by a sophomore point guard (Mason) and had all of its talent in the freshman and sophomore classes (Mason/Murphy/Dorsey/McBrayer) and/or had yet to arrive. That roster had a disastrous conference season (2-16) in sort of a reset year but went on to the tournament two of the next three years and likely would have been three for three if not for all the injuries and suspension in year five.
Fast forward to "year seven". After losing seven players off last year's team, the roster is configured very similarly to his "year three" team -- one senior that plays (Demir), led by a sophomore point guard, and all the talent is in the freshman and sophomore classes and/or coming in next year.
I'm not completely against the thought of moving on. It wouldn't be the biggest sports travesty in history. But I'm also quite sure his team this year would destroy his year three team and I'd put my money on the over if we looked at the number of tournament appearances and wins over the next three years relative to the prior group's success. My own perception is that this team, this coaching staff, the recruits, or something has improved over the last few years.
I sometimes wonder if his lack of cachet that he earned over the first six years will distort the perception (and ultimately be his undoing) in what should have been the viewpoint of year seven from the beginning -- a reset year.
I think Pitino is a good enough coach to get it done here. I think the bigger issue is whether or not he can overcome the perception of the negative crowd. At some point you can't sell the coach to the fans and if we don't make the tournament, Coyle may see that as the bigger issue.