*IF* The Gophers win out, do they make the playoffs?

If the Gophers win out, do they make the playoffs?

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A_Slab_of_Bacon said:
WHEN THEY WIN OUT
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I voted no.

Mostly because I don't see a 9-3 team making it in this year unless all of their 3 losses are to teams also making it into the playoffs.

At the moment, I don't think any of our 3 losses are making it into the playoffs, so we won't either.

If we win out, best I see happening is: 1. Ending the season ranked between #20 and #25, and 2. Getting a good bowl selection.
 

Oregon and Ohio State are the class of the BIG this year. Indiana and Penn State are also having great years, but I foresee a couple losses in both of their futures. Nebraska and Illinois are on the outside looking in to that top tier. I would consider it an amazing year if our boys could get 7-8 wins before a bowl game, it’s amazing how a couple wins in a row can get me so optimistic.
 

HoustonTXGopher said:
Oregon and Ohio State are the class of the BIG this year. Indiana and Penn State are also having great years, but I foresee a couple losses in both of their futures. Nebraska and Illinois are on the outside looking in to that top tier. I would consider it an amazing year if our boys could get 7-8 wins before a bowl game, it’s amazing how a couple wins in a row can get me so optimistic.
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Yeah, it helps to have a win at home against a good ranked blue blood in USC and a road win against a desperate UCLA team that's better than its record (Massey has them rated about the same as MSU, Northwestern, Maryland). It seems like the second half vs Michigan jump started the Gophs.

That UNC loss is looking bad after that team implodes (major injuries?).
 





upnorthkid said:
Absolute joke that Michigan would still be considered if they lose to Illinois. Wisconsin is also toast if they lose to NW
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I don't think they are because of their remaining schedule. Michigan still plays Oregon, Indiana, and Ohio St, who are all still in the conversation, with 2 being in the top 4.

Wisconsin still plays Oregon and Penn St, both in the top 3.
 



GopherWeatherGuy said:
I don't think they are because of their remaining schedule. Michigan still plays Oregon, Indiana, and Ohio St, who are all still in the conversation, with 2 being in the top 4.

Wisconsin still plays Oregon and Penn St, both in the top 3.
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3 losses is 3 losses with multiple mediocre to bad losses. Unless we’remaking arguments they could still win the conference, in which cases other teams could still be alive. Wisconsin the worse of the 2 given the loss to NW would be an absolute tanker coupled with one to an already 3 loss MN. By this metric, MN shouldn’t be eliminated yet with a bad loss a pair of top 25 losses (Iowa and Michigan). It’s more the eliminated thing and varying methodology. There are way too many permutations remaining to eliminate any P4 team with 2 or less conference losses as they all could still win their conference but it feels like they’re keeping more brand names alive rather than using a similar metric for all the teams
 

Panthadad2 said:
Yeah, it helps to have a win at home against a good ranked blue blood in USC and a road win against a desperate UCLA team that's better than its record (Massey has them rated about the same as MSU, Northwestern, Maryland). It seems like the second half vs Michigan jump started the Gophs.

That UNC loss is looking bad after that team implodes (major injuries?).
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Gophers win easily against NC with Taylor in the backfield. Were Jackson and Lindenberg out that game as well?
 

MaxyJR1 said:
Currently the polls are running with 15 SEC/B1G teams roughly each week. Only 6-8 can realistically make it. There is still going to be bias in the polls. Conference will be lucky to get a 4th team after Oregon, tOSU and PSU unless it's a 1 loss Indiana, Nebraska, or Illinois team...
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If only 6-8 combined Big 10/SEC teams can realistically make the 12 team playoff, as you suggest, then these two heavyweight conferences need to finish off sifting through the rubble of the lesser conferences, and finalize their conference expansion.

Florida State and Notre Dame will be announced to the Big 10 this winter, which will make 20 teams.
Then perhaps add 2-4 more teams shortly afterward?

Clemson and a few others to the SEC.

Then these two super conferences will break away and do their own thing... and let the other conferences do their thing. And that will be a good thing, says dinkything.
 

dinkything said:
If only 6-8 combined Big 10/SEC teams can realistically make the 12 team playoff, as you suggest, then these two heavyweight conferences need to finish off sifting through the rubble of the lesser conferences, and finalize their conference expansion.

Florida State and Notre Dame will be announced to the Big 10 this winter, which will make 20 teams.
Then perhaps add 2-4 more teams shortly afterward?

Clemson and a few others to the SEC.

Then these two super conferences will break away and do their own thing... and let the other conferences do their thing. And that will be a good thing, says dinkything.
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Not convinced B1G wants anything to do with FSU. And still don't think FSU can get out of ACC anytime soon either.
 



HoustonTXGopher said:
Gophers win easily against NC with Taylor in the backfield. Were Jackson and Lindenberg out that game as well?
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I was questioning whether UNC had major injuries that have impacted their season (other than the big transfer QB injured late vs the Gophs), but yeah, the Gophers were missing Taylor.
 


dinkything said:
If only 6-8 combined Big 10/SEC teams can realistically make the 12 team playoff, as you suggest, then these two heavyweight conferences need to finish off sifting through the rubble of the lesser conferences, and finalize their conference expansion.

Florida State and Notre Dame will be announced to the Big 10 this winter, which will make 20 teams.
Then perhaps add 2-4 more teams shortly afterward?

Clemson and a few others to the SEC.

Then these two super conferences will break away and do their own thing... and let the other conferences do their thing. And that will be a good thing, says dinkything.
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It is possible for up to 9 to make it



20 is a way better number for a 9 game conference schedule.

4 groups of 5. Play your group plus another. Rotate 3 others over 6 years.

4 teams every year
Everyone else home and home every 6 years.
Never have more than 3 unbeatens.

If you go to 21-23 that sucks for scheduling.
Go to 24…sucks unless you go to 11 conference games.
 

mngolf said:
Not convinced B1G wants anything to do with FSU. And still don't think FSU can get out of ACC anytime soon either.
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FSU is in the Big 10... watch for the announcement in early 2025
 

With the massive win today ...

while we would not make the playoff, it would be fun to think about where we might get to go for a bowl game!
 

The only scenario where I think it might be interesting is if OSU were to lose three games. Because that means that OSU will end up losing to both IU & PSU. That means the Gophs have won out they have beaten PSU whereas OSU has lost to PSU and both teams (Minn & OSU) sit at 9 - 3. That means it's likely that the first three teams into the CFP from the B1G would be ORE, IU and PSU. From what I've seen everybody has said that the B1G will get 4 teams into the CFP and that would make it very interesting as that 4th team would likely be 9 - 3. Taking into account the fact that Minn would have wins over a ranked USC (#11 at the time), a win over a likely still ranked Illini (current #20) and PSU (current #3). Whereas, OSU would have lost to all three of their ranked matchups (ORE, IU & PSU), meaning no ranked wins and their early season schedule was weak. Then it comes down to our ranking and this is where Minn could still get screwed because they are Ohio State (blue blood bias) and we need to rely on the CFP committee.
 

99Gopher said:
The only scenario where I think it might be interesting is if OSU were to lose three games. Because that means that OSU will end up losing to both IU & PSU. That means the Gophs have won out they have beaten PSU whereas OSU has lost to PSU and both teams (Minn & OSU) sit at 9 - 3. That means it's likely that the first three teams into the CFP from the B1G would be ORE, IU and PSU. From what I've seen everybody has said that the B1G will get 4 teams into the CFP and that would make it very interesting as that 4th team would likely be 9 - 3. Taking into account the fact that Minn would have wins over a ranked USC (#11 at the time), a win over a likely still ranked Illini (current #20) and PSU (current #3). Whereas, OSU would have lost to all three of their ranked matchups (ORE, IU & PSU), meaning no ranked wins and their early season schedule was weak. Then it comes down to our ranking and this is where Minn could still get screwed because they are Ohio State (blue blood bias) and we need to rely on the CFP committee.
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However, I'm guessing what you're referring to (people saying the B1G getting 4 teams in ...) assumes that all of Oregon, IU, PSU, and OSU have 2 or fewer losses

So if OSU (and Gophers) had 3 losses, then the B1G would only get 3 in ...
 

Even if we do manage to go 7-0, I have a bad feeling that the UNC loss is going to haunt us.

Because 10-2 would catapult us to a much higher path ... but 9-3 will stick us in a group that is out of the playoff, but with a bunch of programs that travel much better than Gophers are perceived to (for right or wrong) and so Bowls will choose those other fanbases over us, and the conference won't give a crap and will allow that.

Hope that's wrong!
 

It is possible but probably closer to 25% than 75%
 

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