Gophers open up as 28.5 pt underdogs

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I would take the Gophers and the 28.5 - Did Vegas not see the improvment over the last two weeks? We also have the 12th man. Badgers getting too much credit. Vegas definitly has this wrong....Anybody have a bookie?
 



I'd probably take the gophers and the points, but if I were setting the line I'd probably put it in the 20s somewhere. Matchup nightmare, and this team can obviously run up the points against inferior opponents
 


RedPoo said:
I'd probably take the gophers and the points, but if I were setting the line I'd probably put it in the 20s somewhere. Matchup nightmare, and this team can obviously run up the points against inferior opponents
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Agreed. Their offensive line against our run defense makes me very, very nervous. However, I also thought MSU would be a mismatch so you never know.
 


What is the over/under? With a 28 pt line it must be about pushing 56 or so? Vegas looking for a 42-14 game or so.

I could see it looking like the Nebraska game, but MN has played better the last two weeks.

I would probably bet MN to cover 28.5 points. I would have thought the line to be 22-24 or so. IMO a little high.
 

Probably a good starting point to get bets coming in.....Wisconsin has been known to blast the weaker teams & lose to a team that's at their level. We're classified as a team in the former category.

The reason I'm encouraged is that Minnesota's offense recently performed well against a defense that is MUCH better than the one they field. Wisconsin may get into the 50s, but there's signs to show that Minnesota may be in the 30s....

I'd stay away from this game, personally. I don't trust any college game where the coach has a history of passing on a 2 point conversion to decide a bowl game, willing to shelve one of the best running attacks in Big Ten history.
 



gopherbadgerman said:
What is the over/under? With a 28 pt line it must be about pushing 56 or so? Vegas looking for a 42-14 game or so.

I could see it looking like the Nebraska game, but MN has played better the last two weeks.

I would probably bet MN to cover 28.5 points. I would have thought the line to be 22-24 or so. IMO a little high.
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I'd agree with that. 28.5 seems low if they're in Madison, high in Mpls, given the badgers struggles on the road recently. But I don't do well betting on CFB.
 


Great- we got em right where we want em!
 




The line's about a touchdown too high, in my opinion. I'd take the points.
 


No matter the outcome, we all know this.......

BUCKY CHOKED 2 WEEKS IN A ROW!!!!!!!!

The first choke cost their shot at the BCS title

The second choke may result in not even make the B10 Title Game

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA
 

Hmmm. If I were betting, I'd take the Gophers + the points. Despite having not beaten them since 2003 and them having much more overall stability in their program than we've had in ours during that time, we still have generally managed to play Becky tough, in spite of them having some vastly superior teams to ours over that time. Looking back at the scores during our seven game losing streak to WI:

2004- Wisconsin 38 Minnesota 14, Madison, WI
2005- Wisconsin 38 Minnesota 34, Minneapolis, MN
2006- Wisconsin 48 Minnesota 12, Madison, WI
2007- Wisconsin 41 Minnesota 34, Minneapolis, MN
2008- Wisconsin 35 Minnesota 32, Madison, WI
2009- Wisconsin 31 Minnesota 28, Minneapolis, MN
2010- Wisconsin 41 Minnesota 23, Madison, WI

So in those seven games there were only two true beatdowns (and both of those taking place in Madison), while four of those games have been decided by a touchdown or less and we have played them very, very competitively at home. That's why I'm somewhat surprised that so many people automatically assume we're going to get killed here. That's not to say that we won't, because we certainly could and might, but recent history has shown that our boys have quite often played very well in pursuit of the Axe (and in spite of Wisconsin being a much better team over that period and with us having so much instability, turmoil and upheaval going on), and maybe that can be at least partly attributable to the motivation of playing for the Axe and wanting to beat that rival.

A rivalry game like this, I think I might throw any point spread right out the window, because I believe that truly anything can happen in this type of game and circumstance, and that's including the possibility of a Gopher victory. Not very likely perhaps, but certainly possible.
 

On 5dimes the line is down to 26.5 and that seems too high still. Wisconsin hasn't beaten Minnesota by more than 7 in Minneapolis since 1983. They've struggled in both of their 'true' road games.

I'm eager to see the total in this one. Have to think 40-30 is a reasonable possibility.
 

Wilson vs Minn pass defense? As much as I hate the thought of it, I'd have to lay the points and take Wisky. I know we are much improved, but not by that much. We will need a number of long sustained drives to keep their offense in check.
 

Give Wisconsin's offense a ton of oppurtunities 28 sounds about right. Control the ball, score some points, and limit Wisconsin's possesions and I'll take the Gophers. I think 17-20 sounds more likely.
 

Wisconsin was a 26.5 point favorite against Purdue last week (a team who spanked us) and beat them by 45. Of course that was at Camp Randall & this is on the road. Of course being "on the road" at Minnesota isn't a huge disadvantage when 40% of the crowd is wearing red. I personally took +28.5 when it opened last night because I figured it would drop, but I don't LOVE my bet.
 

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