Gophers Open +22.5

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Oregon has relied heavily on run game recently. Great OL and RBs can cut and fly. Collins has got to emphasize the D’s front 7 working better at gaps, not overrunning the play, and tackling fundamentals. Oregon’s defense is at Iowa’s level. Can Harbaugh design something that isn’t just an exercise in futility? Hate to see a third essentially uncontrsted blowout this season.
 

22.5 points seems like a ton!!!! ...and then I remember Ohio St and Iowa.
And then I remember, while we are 6 and 3...all the wins are at home and we are 0 and 3 on the road this season and played like zombies in each of them.
Maybe this time is different? And maybe not...
 




Iowa lost to Oregon by 2 snd came within a few seconds of winning, Wisconsin, in a tough weather game, lost to Oregon by “only” two touchdowns. I think, for ranking purposes, Oregon will be looking for its first convincing victory in a while. Too bad the Gophers are up. So far this year, the Gophs have played badly, or horribly, on the road. More of the same this week? Game over before the 1st Q expires? Or can the Gophers compete? Go Gophers!
 






Gophers on the road. I am surprised it is not 30. We have not played well against good competition. Iowa killed us and they lost to Oregon. I don't think Oregon is great but they moved the ball against Iowa I think they will move fairly easily against us. And the question is will our offense show any ability to run the ball. We have not this year except against Nebraska. Without a running attack we lose by 30+.
 






Big time contrast in defensive styles coming up. As we've seen, the Gophers have been able to create negative plays. Oregon, by contrast, gives up very few explosive plays. The Gophers will probably need to be +2 (or better) in TO to come away with the win.

 

Could see this getting pair shaped fairly quickly but if the weather sucks, factor in it's a short week for Oregon coming off an emotional high and gophs are coming off a bye week, I could see people being tempted to take the gophs to cover. Be interesting to see how the line moves through the week. Part of the reason Wisconsin and Iowa were so close on top of their good defensive efforts the weather in those games was pretty shitty as well, definitely helps if your goal is to muck it up
 

Scottsdale Gopher said:
Big time contrast in defensive styles coming up. As we've seen, the Gophers have been able to create negative plays. Oregon, by contrast, gives up very few explosive plays. The Gophers will probably need to be +2 (or better) in TO to come away with the win.

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More matchup details.... Oregon's offense doesn't suffer many negative plays, but has a lot of explosives. Can the Gophers defense break that trend?

The Gopher offense continues to struggle to generate explosives (water is wet) and the Oregon defense also does not surrender them. Can the Gophers find ways to get chunk yardage?

 

I like the Gophers against this spread. Oregon coming off an emotional win on the road at Iowa and a short week. Oregon's pass game is beat up a bit.
 

The Deliberate Stranger said:
Could see this getting pair shaped fairly quickly but if the weather sucks, factor in it's a short week for Oregon coming off an emotional high and gophs are coming off a bye week, I could see people being tempted to take the gophs to cover. Be interesting to see how the line moves through the week. Part of the reason Wisconsin and Iowa were so close on top of their good defensive efforts the weather in those games was pretty shitty as well, definitely helps if your goal is to muck it up
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Trap game forthcoming!
 

Oregon likely covers. Prob go undefeated at home this year and defeated on the road :(
 


I hope I am wrong but I don't see our offense getting anything going in this one and our defense giving up chunk plays something like 42-6 with PJ kicking a field goal with under 2 minutes left to cut the margin. Hope I am wrong.
 

Some guy said:
They’ve only scored 31+ against one big ten opponent and 30-10 wouldn’t cover.



Seems low to me too. But could easily end up a 28-10 or 35-14 game
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Fair - I was more thinking the Gophers have been outscored 83-6 in the B10 road games so far...

It Taylor plays I think the Gophers will cover the spread. I don't think they will if he is out.
 

gopherbadgerman said:
Fair - I was more thinking the Gophers have been outscored 83-6 in the B10 road games so far...

It Taylor plays I think the Gophers will cover the spread. I don't think they will if he is out.
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I will be surprised if they do either way.
 

Gopher Mac said:
I hope I am wrong but I don't see our offense getting anything going in this one and our defense giving up chunk plays something like 42-6 with PJ kicking a field goal with under 2 minutes left to cut the margin. Hope I am wrong.
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One of the biggest problems the gophers have if Taylor doesn’t play is the best strategy to win the game is to come out throwing and that is also a strategy that makes blowout more likely.
 

MaxyJR1 said:
I like the Gophers against this spread. Oregon coming off an emotional win on the road at Iowa and a short week. Oregon's pass game is beat up a bit.
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I liked the Gophers against the spread at tOSU.
I liked the Gophers against the spread at Iowa.
I liked the Gophers to win at Cali.
I'm done liking.

Just get to 8-4 and don't embarrass me Friday...see, I'm a cheap date.
 

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