I actually agree with you here. MN is a tough job. I would guess a large percentage of 17-18 year old kids outside of the Midwest believe Minnesota is in Canada. I think even if Jay Wright was coaching here we’d probably crack the top 4 once every 5 years.
This fundamental issue is like this:
- kids want to leave the place they grew up
- the farther away you are from the recruit, on average
it does have a (perhaps small-ish, again on average
) negative bias to being able to land them.
TC is or is becoming a great DI bball talent center. But we're relative far away from the next center (probably Chicago) and even farther and farther away from other centers.
The above two factors can
be overcome: if you're a winning program. But if that were true, then we wouldn't have that problem in the first place.
I don't believe you can overcome those factors with only opportunity
, ie to play in the Big Ten and/or to make it a winning place when it currently isn't, unless you're reaching down for a kid who has most non-P5 interest.
We're thus at the same natural disadvantage as Nebraska, though they have even less local talent.