Gophers -1.5 vs PSU

Donate To GopherHole
Costa Rican Gopher

Costa Rican Gopher

Mind of a Scientist
Joined
Nov 22, 2008
Messages
28,569
Reaction score
6,895
Points
113
Just saw Bookmaker is using Gophers -1.5, sounds about right to me. Your thoughts?
 

I thought it would be about +1 or +2 to start but that's pretty close. I'm guessing it will move a little closer to even as the days go on.
 


I was thinking -3 or -4. I'm really confident about this game, which is a different feeling than the previous 3 weeks. Hopefully the players still play with a chip on their shoulder despite being slight favorites.
 



My heart wants to jump on it before it goes up, but my brain says our starting QB may have some degree of hip pointer, our #1 WR may have an ankle/foot injury & our top defensive player barely played yesterday for some odd reason. If we end up starting a new center in Tommy O & a QB with fumble problems in Leidner, that's a recipe for turnovers. I'm gonna hold off until these issues are cleared up.
 

I clicked on this thread because the number was in the title.
 


Looking at how the Gophers have played the last three weeks, (heck for 14 of the last 16 Quarters :cool:) and looking at how Penn State plays on the Road, it's not really surprising is it? The Gophers should either be favored or it's a toss-up game. From your short symposium on how they set the line CRG, they don't really like toss-up games in College Football do they? :eek:
 



Dr.Don said:
Big Whoop!!! :)
Click to expand...

whoopie_cushion_prank_by_longshot09-d5loay1.jpg
 


Still seems low to me. Why is Penn State given any credit? What have they done?

This game is at home against a team worse than Indiana. We should be favored by at least 3-5 points.
 

Gopherprof said:
Still seems low to me. Why is Penn State given any credit? What have they done?

This game is at home against a team worse than Indiana. We should be favored by at least 3-5 points.
Click to expand...

Then you should jump all over that -1.5 before it gets worse! ;)
 



If it stays at Gophers -1.5, heck even if it goes as high as -3, might have to put a mythical 100 on the Gophers. Penn State isn't that good. Gophers are a much better football team than the Nitts. I'd expect that line to go up.
 

Gopherprof said:
Still seems low to me. Why is Penn State given any credit? What have they done?

This game is at home against a team worse than Indiana. We should be favored by at least 3-5 points.
Click to expand...

They beat a Michigan team against which we were not even competitive.
 

just would like to say that i called this spread so i will take my obligatory moment to gloat. :cool02:
 

MZBKA said:
They beat a Michigan team against which we were not even competitive.
Click to expand...

They also scored 24 against a bad Indiana defense. Bowling Green is the only FBS school to not score at least 41 on them.
 

MZBKA said:
They beat a Michigan team against which we were not even competitive.
Click to expand...

Penn State plays a lot better at home. Michigan plays a lot better at home, Brady Hoke hasn't lost in the big house. Also, we were without Nelson and our coach didn't make the trip. Not really comparable IMO.
 

MZBKA said:
They beat a Michigan team against which we were not even competitive.
Click to expand...
That's one game out of 8.

Their wins:
-Michigan (OT)
-Syracuse
-Illinois (OT)

Our wins:
-Nebraska
-Northwestern
-Indiana

Their losses:
-Central Florida
-Ohio State (by 50)
-Indiana (by 20)

Our losses:
-Michigan (by 29)
-Iowa (by 16)

I'm not saying it's a runaway deal, but I don't see how in the world they are basically considered the better team (home field advantage is usually worth 3 points to betters)
 

" (home field advantage is usually worth 3 points to betters) "

I think that holds more true for basketball than it does for football.
 

My head tells me PSU still probably has better players. But that's about it.

Looking at their schedule, they've played two road games, both B1G games, and got stomped like a narc at a biker rally in both games. At the end of the day, it's still very, very tough to win on the road in the Big Ten.

This is a big one, no doubt. Locking up at worst a .500 record in conference play with two games left would be pretty amazing.
 

No matter the line.. I'm still setting myself up for a let down.

Sorry, Gophs, I've seen this show before.
 


Formo said:
No matter the line.. I'm still setting myself up for a let down.

Sorry, Gophs, I've seen this show before.
Click to expand...

I get it Formo. I had the same thoughts/concerns before the Indiana game. Hard not to if you've been a Gopher fan for a while. However, I'm starting to see the difference and that is Kill. MN has suffered from that in the past, but Kill's teams have not.
 

SelectionSunday said:
If it stays at Gophers -1.5, heck even if it goes as high as -3, might have to put a mythical 100 on the Gophers. Penn State isn't that good. Gophers are a much better football team than the Nitts. I'd expect that line to go up.
Click to expand...

Not a gambler, but I'd be curious as to how many of our fans put real money on our Gophers the last three games and how much of a windfall they gathered.
 

Dr.Don said:
" (home field advantage is usually worth 3 points to betters) "

I think that holds more true for basketball than it does for football.
Click to expand...

Applies to both sports & is usually adjusted slightly depending on which home field/court. i.e. The Big House with 110k screaming maniacs is worth more than playing in front of 8k people doing crossword puzzles at Northwestern.

* Interestingly, the Barn used to be known as one of the 5 biggest home court advantages in college hoops among top handicappers along with Vandy, New Mexico, Duke & the old Penn St arena.
 

ESPN.com currently has:

Penn State at Minnesota - Sat, Nov 9, 12:00 PM ET (140)
POINT SPREAD TOTAL MONEY LINE
5Dimes.eu
PSU: +2
MINN: -2 -110
-110

N/A o: 0
u: 0
PSU: 110
MINN: -130
BOVADA
PSU: +2
MINN: -2 -110
-110

N/A o: 0
u: 0
PSU: 110
MINN: -130
BETONLINE.ag
PSU: +2
MINN: -2 -110
-110

N/A o: 0
u: 0
PSU: 0
MINN: 0
Fantasy911.com
PSU: +2
MINN: -2 -110
-110

N/A o: 0
u: 0
PSU: 110
MINN: -130
SportsBetting.ag
PSU: +2
MINN: -2 -110
-110

N/A o: 0
u: 0
PSU: 110
MINN: -130
 

Gopherprof said:
Still seems low to me. Why is Penn State given any credit? What have they done?
Click to expand...
They upset Michigan, a team which we lost by 30 to. They play with a lot of heart and have won 2 OT games. They have the #1 or #2 qb recruit in the nation last year lacing it up for them. They don't blow anyone out and they don't have a killer D. They play very much like we do. It's another pick'em game and the score will be much lower than last week.
 

Mulligan said:
Not a gambler, but I'd be curious as to how many of our fans put real money on our Gophers the last three games and how much of a windfall they gathered.
Click to expand...

No guts, and that would obviously be breaking the cardinal rule of gambling, never bet on your own team. Once they won the Northwestern game, I didn't want to do anything different and jinx it. Same this week for PSU. Stick with what works!!

Trust me, it's crossed my mind what you would have right now if you started with $100 on the money line against Northwestern, and rolled it over to money line Nebraska, and rolled that over to money line Indiana game. My rough math guesstimate tells me it would be around $2500-$3000 but I'm too lazy to check the money lines on each game to verify.
 

Ogee Oglethorpe said:
No guts, and that would obviously be breaking the cardinal rule of gambling, never bet on your own team. Once they won the Northwestern game, I didn't want to do anything different and jinx it. Same this week for PSU. Stick with what works!!

Trust me, it's crossed my mind what you would have right now if you started with $100 on the money line against Northwestern, and rolled it over to money line Nebraska, and rolled that over to money line Indiana game. My rough math guesstimate tells me it would be around $2500-$3000 but I'm too lazy to check the money lines on each game to verify.
Click to expand...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p><a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Gophers&src=hash">#Gophers</a> only 3rd tm since '80 to win 3 straight as TD+ 'dog in each.$100 on UM to win all 3–lettin it ride–wouldve paid $8700 per @RJinVega</p>— Bruce Feldman (@BFeldmanCBS) <a href="https://twitter.com/BFeldmanCBS/statuses/397174323246424064">November 4, 2013</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

You must log in or register to reply here.



Top Bottom