Field of 68 Projection

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SelectionSunday

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NET rankings (in parentheses) are through games played Feb. 24. An * denotes currently #1 seed for conference tournament.

FIELD OF 68 (through games played Feb. 24)
America East (1): Vermont (86)

American (4): *Houston (4), Cincinnati (24), UCF (34), Temple (50)

ACC (8): Virginia (2), *Duke (3), North Carolina (8), Virginia Tech (12), Louisville (22), Florida State (26), NC State (32), Syracuse (44)

ASUN (1): Lipscomb (45)

Atlantic 10 (1): VCU (35)

Big East (4): *Marquette (17), Villanova (28), Saint John's (47), Seton Hall (62)

Big Sky (1): Montana (106)

Big South (1): Radford (134)

B1G (7): *Michigan State (6), Michigan (9), Purdue (11), Wisconsin (13), Maryland (21), Iowa (30), Ohio State (42)

Big XII (8): Texas Tech (10), Iowa State (15), Kansas (20), *Kansas State (27), Baylor (33), Texas (36), Oklahoma (40), TCU (41)

Big West (1): UC-Irvine (92)

CAA (1): Hofstra (71)

Conference USA (1): Old Dominion (74)

Horizon (1): Wright State (140)

Ivy (1): Yale (70)

MAAC (1): Iona (215)

MAC (1): Buffalo (16)

MEAC (1): Norfolk State (251)

MVC (1): Missouri State (159)

Mountain West (2): *Nevada (18), Utah State (37)

NEC (1): Saint Francis, Pa. (257)

OVC (2): *Belmont (52), Murray State (55)

Pac 12 (2): *Washington (29), Arizona State (63)

Patriot (1): Bucknell (153)

SEC (8): Kentucky (5), Tennessee (7), *LSU (14), Auburn (23), Mississippi State (25), Florida (31), Ole Miss (38), Alabama (53)

SoCon (1): Wofford (19)

Southland (1): Sam Houston State (178)

SWAC (1): Prairie Vierw A&M (229)

Summit (1): South Dakota State (98)

Sun Belt (1): Texas State (122)

WCC (1): Gonzaga (1)

WAC (1): New Mexico State (58)
________________________

Last 4 In: Texas (36), Ohio State (42), Murray State (55/last team in), Seton Hall (62)

First 4 Out: Clemson (43), Furman (48), Butler (49), Minnesota (59/first team out)

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5): Cincinnati (24), UCF (34), Utah State (37), Temple (50), Murray State (55)

Movin' On In (7): Iona, Lipscomb, Missouri State, Murray State (at-large), NC State (at-large), Texas State, Wright State

Movin' On Out (7): Canisius, Furman (at-large), Georgia State, Liberty, Loyola-Chicago, Minnesota (at-large), Northern Kentucky
 
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The minimum scenario that should get Gophers into NCAA tourney

Here's the (reasonable) minimum scenario that I think gets the Gophers into the NCAA Tournament:

Win @ Northwestern

Beat Purdue or win @ Maryland

Win 1st-round game at Big Ten Tournament, preferably vs. Ohio State

That's 20-13, 10-12 vs. Big Ten opponents.

The reason I prefer playing Ohio State is the Buckeyes very well may end up squarely on the bubble right along with us, and probably more importantly it could be a 5th Quad 1 win (also Iowa, Maryland/Purdue, Washington, Wisconsin), though the Iowa win is in jeopardy of falling to Quad 2.
 



We differ on 2.

I have St. Mary's and Minnesota in.
I have NC State and Murray State out.

Last 4 In: Minnesota (last team in), St. Mary's, Seton Hall, Alabama
First 4 Out: Butler (first team out), UNC-Greensboro, NC State, Clemson
Next 4 Out: Davidson, Dayton, Creighton, Toledo
 

Palm has Gophers as 10 seed.

They need to win 2 of the last 3 and one big ten tourney game to even have a chance.
 

Out and dropping like a rock. I agree with what SS said about their minimum requirements. I don't see if happening though. They just are in such a free fall I am not
sure they can come back from it.
 

bizzle22 said:
We differ on 2.

I have St. Mary's and Minnesota in.
I have NC State and Murray State out.

Last 4 In: Minnesota (last team in), St. Mary's, Seton Hall, Alabama
First 4 Out: Butler (first team out), UNC-Greensboro, NC State, Clemson
Next 4 Out: Davidson, Dayton, Creighton, Toledo
Click to expand...

I reached this week with Murray State. That's not likely to last, though I will like Belmont's chances as an at-large if a few certain (specific) things happen.
 



SelectionSunday said:
I reached this week with Murray State. That's not likely to last, though I will like Belmont's chances as an at-large if a few certain (specific) things happen.
Click to expand...

Was a little surprised to see you had Murray St in there. But hey, to each their own, and a 23-4 record is pretty darn good. OVC is a good mid-major conference this year.

Agree on Belmont. Could easily see them getting an at-large.
 


SelectionSunday said:
Here's the (reasonable) minimum scenario that I think gets the Gophers into the NCAA Tournament:

Win @ Northwestern

Beat Purdue or win @ Maryland

Win 1st-round game at Big Ten Tournament, preferably vs. Ohio State

That's 20-13, 10-12 vs. Big Ten opponents.

The reason I prefer playing Ohio State is the Buckeyes very well may end up squarely on the bubble right along with us, and probably more importantly it could be a 5th Quad 1 win (also Iowa, Maryland/Purdue, Washington, Wisconsin), though the Iowa win is in jeopardy of falling to Quad 2.
Click to expand...

Feel like 3 more wins no matter how they get them will be enough. Maybe even with 2 more if theyre MD and Purdue
 

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