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Johnson was a great receiver at MN but he did have the dropsies his Junior and Senior year. We beat Iowa if he makes one more catch. That, coupled with a deep receiver class is the reason why he will not be in the top two rounds.
First team all Big Ten and his performance against Auburn are two reasons why he will get drafted and have a roster spot in the NFL.
Everything you typed is correct, but you can't use the bold if you don't count all the catches he did make as well. You could just as easily say we don't make it a close game with Iowa without the successful plays Johnson made.