It’s hilarious how many people here know better than the people who set point spreads for a living.I'm not convinced Jerry's motivation level will have a huge impact on the final score in this game. Jerry won't be throwing any blocks or making any tackles. He can be as jacked up as he wants.
The last time we played this team — 2018 — we beat 'em by exactly 38 points. And, call me a homer, but I think there's a very good chance that the 2022 Gophers will be a better team than that 2018 team was.
If I was in Vegas, and my job was setting an early spread, I'd look very closely at the actual score the last time the two teams met. I'd look at both team's recent non-conference record, and the scores in those games.
If you go by Fleck's actual history in non-cons, this spread seems about right to me.