Ubben: The CFP committee has to do the unpopular thing and exclude the SEC
Georgia and Alabama are clearly two of the best teams in the country. But neither should go to the College Football Playoff.
theathletic.com
....If we had a 12-team Playoff this year and simulated it 100 times, Alabama would hoist the trophy on at least 30 of those occasions.
This is the same Alabama team that lost to Texas, trailed by double digits at halftime to Tennessee, got dragged into an ugly, rainy slugfest against USF, needed Jimbo Fisher to shrink in big moments to survive Kyle Field, nearly coughed up a big lead against Arkansas and needed a miracle fourth-and-31 to survive a trip to Auburn.
And the Crimson Tide closed their season by beating Georgia, a team that probably wins that simulated 12-team Playoff 55 times out of 100.
But we don’t have a 12-team Playoff. And we can’t simulate it 100 times. We live in the real world where we’ve spent the last three months playing real games.
We have a four-team Playoff. And we have results.
Games have to matter. The committee proved last year that they do, taking TCU over an Alabama team that would have been favored by at least a touchdown against the Horned Frogs.
Georgia isn’t a conference champion — one of the listed criteria the committee considers. And it just lost to Alabama.
Alabama may end up being compared directly to Texas. Putting the Crimson Tide into the field over a team that dominated it on the line of scrimmage and beat it at home by double digits would be criminal.
And Florida State? That’s a more complicated question. It’s not worth belaboring the debate. Every team in contention for the Playoff is better equipped to compete in the Playoff than this Florida State team as currently composed, playing without star quarterback Jordan Travis and on Saturday, was left to third-stringer Brock Glenn.
But Florida State, who annually plays rival Florida and this year faced LSU and Heisman Trophy frontrunner Jayden Daniels in Orlando, navigates that minefield and goes unbeaten in the ACC, including a win over No. 14 Louisville on a neutral field on Saturday with Glenn at the helm.
Everyone involved in that program answered the call and continued to beat each opponent put in front of them despite difficult odds, misfortune and an injury that could have deflated their season.
And their reward should be getting passed over because 13 people believe an Alabama team that looked extremely flawed even at full strength for much of the season would beat them?
The Playoff field should be Michigan and Washington as obvious candidates, along with Texas and Florida State.....
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Florida State without the QB changes the calculus. People can't just fling out the phrase "FSU should be in" because what they are really saying is "FSU without the QB should be in." Right or wrong that was a huge factor. And that SEC and Big Ten are top dogs and going to get in for "tie" situations. During ties, the coin toss has SEC on one side and Big Ten on the other.