Bubblicious Wednesday: Baylor locked & loaded after win over Cyclones

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SelectionSunday

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Tuesday's significant developments?

(1) Baylor earns lock status with a win over Iowa State. Even if Baylor (currently 8-9 in the Big XII) loses its next two games (@ K-State, 1st game in conference tourney), do you really think a bubble team with wins over Colorado, Dayton, Iowa State, Kansas State, Kentucky, and Oklahoma State (twice) is going to get left out the tournament? I don't.

(2) Oregon now on the threshold after beating Arizona State. That's 6 straight wins for the Ducks. With a RPI already in the 20s, the Ducks can lock themselves in with a home win over Arizona on Saturday.

(3) Georgetown moves up to a true bubbler with a win over Creighton, Florida State also moves up a rung with a win @ Boston College, while Providence holds serve in an OT thriller over Marquette.

Bids Accounted For: 53 (32 auto bids, 21 locks)

Bids Available: 15 (5 if we concede bids to thresholders)

On the Threshold (10)
Oregon (28) -- beat Arizona State 85-78
Colorado (32) -- @ Stanford, 8 p.m. (ESPN2)
George Washington (33) -- Saint Joseph's, 8 p.m.
Saint Joseph's (34) -- @ George Washington, 8 p.m.
BYU (35)
Iowa (38)
SMU (39) -- Louisville, 6 p.m. (CBSSN)
Oklahoma State (43)
Xavier (45)
Arkansas (58) -- Ole Miss, 7 p.m.

Truest of the True Bubblers (11)
Stanford (42) -- Colorado, 8 p.m. (ESPN2)
GOPHERS (46)
Dayton (47) -- @ Saint Louis, 8 p.m. (CBSSN)
Tennessee (49) -- @ Auburn, 7 p.m.
Providence (51) -- beat Marquette 81-80
Missouri (52) -- Texas A&M, 7 p.m.
Pitt (53)
Cal (54) -- Utah, 10 p.m. (ESPNU)
Georgetown (56) -- beat Creighton 75-63
Florida State (57) -- beat Boston College 74-70
Nebraska (59) -- @ Indiana, 6 p.m. (BTN)

In the Mix (4)
Boise State (55) -- Nevada, 8 p.m.
Saint John's (63)
LSU (67)
Clemson (68) -- beat Miami-Florida 58-54

Conference Tournaments Starting Tonight
Big South -- 1-bid conference (High Point, Tubby's alma mater, the #1 seed). Gophers want host Coastal Carolina to win this tourney.
Northeast -- 1-bid conference (Bobby Morris the #1 seed).
Ohio Valley -- 1-bid conference (Belmont the #1 seed).
 

I look forward to these every day. Thanks SS.
 

station19 said:
I look forward to these every day. Thanks SS.
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You're welcome, 19. Will try to do these every day (except for perhaps this weekend) leading up to the Big Ten Tournament. Once the BTT starts, I'll mostly disappear until posting my final selections early Sunday the 16th.
 


I think we'd prefer Stanford over Colorado tonight in the battle of the bubblers. Stanford finishes the regular season home against Utah, while Colorado finishes the season @Cal. I like the chances of two losses from Colorado a lot more than getting two from Stanford.

My eyes are on the A-10 games tonight with St Joseph's and Dayton playing. I am not impressed with either A-10 teams resume, but understand why St Joseph's is ahead of the Gophers as of now. St Joseph's isn't losing to LaSalle at home this weekend, so we need a loss from them here at George Washington and hopefully a quick A-10 tournament exit. Dayton is playing in the type of road game seemingly every bubbler is winning right now to boost their resume. Gophers need the Billikens to knock the Flyers down a peg or two.

All three SEC teams have what appear to be easy games, if we could have just one of the three lose I think we'd like it be UT. UT gets Missouri at home this weekend and a win by the Volunteers in that game could possibly keep both SEC teams out of the dance.

Obviously none of this matters if the Gophers don't beat Penn State at home.
 



Saint Joe's-GW is one I'm struggling with. I like Saint Joe's a little better than GW (even though GW beat Creighton and Saint Joe's didn't), but I don't think I can lock either one in with a win tonight. Saint Joe's would be in awfully good shape, however, if they win. Kinda' hard to argue with 12-3 in the A-10 with 5 top-50 wins, which is what Saint Joe's would be.

Agree with you about the Stanford/Colorado scenario. I'm definitely locking in Colorado if they beat either Stanford or Cal on the road. Will do the same for Stanford if they sweep Colorado/Utah.

Of all the conferences, I think the Pac 12 has the best chance to benefit in this last week +. Stanford, Colorado, and Oregon conceivably all could close the deal this weekend. Cal's in the most trouble, but they get a top 50 (Colorado) and a top 100 (Utah) opponent at home this week so they can help help themselves, too.
 

Not near as good of night last night for the Gophers as it was Monday night in terms of the bubble. Really thought Marquette was gonna knock Providence down and they really blew it and I would think they completely took themselves out of the little at large argument they had. Creighton is struggling lately giving up wins in their last 2 to bubble teams. I feel like an SEC bubble team or two is gonna get upset tonight and really hurt themselves.
 

Goldy Gopher said:
I feel like an SEC bubble team or two is gonna get upset tonight and really hurt themselves.
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Auburn over Tennessee would be my call. Auburn's been playing better lately, and Tennessee (3-7 in true road games) plays about as well on the road as the Gophers do.
 



SelectionSunday said:
Auburn over Tennessee would be my call. Auburn's been playing better lately, and Tennessee (3-7 in true road games) plays about as well as the Gophers do on the road.
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That is the main one I was thinking of too. Always the chance that Henderson goes off for Ole Miss too but I think Arkansas usually plays pretty well at home and I don't know if a win there would do as much for us.
 

EG#9 said:
I think we'd prefer Stanford over Colorado tonight in the battle of the bubblers. Stanford finishes the regular season home against Utah, while Colorado finishes the season @Cal. I like the chances of two losses from Colorado a lot more than getting two from Stanford.

My eyes are on the A-10 games tonight with St Joseph's and Dayton playing. I am not impressed with either A-10 teams resume, but understand why St Joseph's is ahead of the Gophers as of now. St Joseph's isn't losing to LaSalle at home this weekend, so we need a loss from them here at George Washington and hopefully a quick A-10 tournament exit. Dayton is playing in the type of road game seemingly every bubbler is winning right now to boost their resume. Gophers need the Billikens to knock the Flyers down a peg or two.

All three SEC teams have what appear to be easy games, if we could have just one of the three lose I think we'd like it be UT. UT gets Missouri at home this weekend and a win by the Volunteers in that game could possibly keep both SEC teams out of the dance.

Obviously none of this matters if the Gophers don't beat Penn State at home.
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I disagree on Colorado-Stanford. I feel like Colorado is in with one more win, which they'll almost certainly get. I'd rather Stanford take a home loss. Would drop them below the Gophers, IMO.
 

I hope the selection committee looks at who we've lost to compared to others. 9 or our 12 L's have been to teams in the rpi top 50. only 5 of Providences' 10 L's came against the top 50, with their worst loss being to Seton Hall w/ an rpi of 144. Arkansas is 4-3 vs the Top 50 but their SOS is 81 and there worst loss is at Texas A&M (rpi 132) by 16. Tennessee has lost 3 to the top 150 rpi with 2 L's to Texas A&M (rpi 132) and Vandy (101). I don't feel great about being on the bubble but I don't understand why we are getting bumped off and the last one in according to Joe Lunardi. It's the Big Ten and you are just about always playing Top 50 or top 100 rpi teams night in and night out. I think that should at least carry some weight. Is there any chance that if PSU beats NW tomorrow that that puts them in the rpi top 100?
 

One thing I liked reading today in the Bubble Watch on ESPN was what Brennan wrote in his Baylor summary.

"The committee loves strong schedules; it has been its most consistent criteria over the past five years."

Our SOS is #3 right now. Hopefully that's the X factor that gets us in.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch
 



Bracket Matrix has the last four in as: Cal, Arkansas, Minnesota, and Tennessee

Last four out: Missouri, Dayton, Providence, Florida State

Tennessee and/or Mizzou getting upset tonight would be huge.
 

BJN said:
Bracket Matrix has the last four in as: Cal, Arkansas, Minnesota, and Tennessee

Last four out: Missouri, Dayton, Providence, Florida State

Tennessee and/or Mizzou getting upset tonight would be huge.
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On the previous update we were listed on 60 of the 89 brackets.

On this update we are listed on only 47 of the 89.
 

if we go 2 and 1 to be at 19-13 we should be fine with our SOS. Looking back at 2011 there were several teams at 19-14 that got in via at large thanks to their SOS
 

IU laying an egg so far against Nebraska. The Gophers can't buy a break this week.
 

howeda7 said:
IU laying an egg so far against Nebraska. The Gophers can't buy a break this week.
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Wouldn't be too bad of Nebraska won, would it? Then we should get the higher seed in the BTT
 

mcal24 said:
Wouldn't be too bad of Nebraska won, would it? Then we should get the higher seed in the BTT
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Yes it would. Nebraska may well leapfrog us on the bubble. We will get the #7 seed anyway unless IU wins at Michigan on Sunday (not likely).
 

mcal24 said:
Wouldn't be too bad of Nebraska won, would it? Then we should get the higher seed in the BTT
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I going out on a limb here, but I think Nebraska gets in with a win tonight, and at least one win in the BTT. It will be tough to ignore 10 regular season conference wins (11 if they beat Wisconsin).

We need them to lose tonight.
 

howeda7 said:
Yes it would. Nebraska may well leapfrog us on the bubble. We will get the #7 seed anyway unless IU wins at Michigan on Sunday (not likely).
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If Indiana wins tonight they'll be going all out vs a Michigan team that already has the big ten title wrapped up. I don't know...I could see Indiana winning that game as well. But yeah....probably best if Nebraska loses. We need them to stay below us.
 

jaymil said:
If Indiana wins tonight they'll be going all out vs a Michigan team that already has the big ten title wrapped up. I don't know...I could see Indiana winning that game as well. But yeah....probably best if Nebraska loses. We need them to stay below us.
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Possibly. It's Michigan's senior day, they lost the B1G title last year to IU on the last day, and they're still playing for their NCAA seed. If they lay down for IU, I'll be surprised and disappointed.
 

PitinoFan said:
I going out on a limb here, but I think Nebraska gets in with a win tonight, and at least one win in the BTT. It will be tough to ignore 10 regular season conference wins (11 if they beat Wisconsin).

We need them to lose tonight.
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Yeah I guess 10 wins would be tough to say no to. Thought they would've been further off the bubble after losing to Illinois.
 



Hopefully A&M hangs on vs Missouri. They're up 10 at half.
 


IU choking. I'd be glad for Nebraska in any other case.
 

This one's over. Nebraska now at 10-7; plays one more at home against Wisconsin. If I was on the committee I wouldn't be able to keep them out.
 

I hate Indiana and love Miles. But this still sucks.
 

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