SelectionSunday
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“S” CURVE ULTIMATE FIELD OF 68 (through 2020-21 season)
The 68 teams (32 automatic qualifiers, 36 at-large) are determined by the number of NCAA Tournament appearances since the 1999-2000 season. The school with the most tourney appearances from each conference is deemed the automatic qualifier (i.e. Michigan State has appeared in every tourney since 1999-2000, so the Spartans get the Big Ten’s auto bid). The same thing applies to determine the 36 at-large bids.
Once the 68 teams are identified, seeding then is determined strictly by the number of NCAA Tournament wins by each school since the 1999-2000 season, with one exception. The last 4 at-large teams automatically will be slotted as the top 4 (of 6) #12 seeds.
2022 NCAA Tournament sites are used for the projection. An * denotes an automatic qualifier.
MIDWEST REGIONAL (Chicago)
Fort Worth
#1 *Kansas vs. #64 *UCSB/*NCCU
#32 Marquette vs. #33 Notre Dame
Portland
#17 Ohio State vs. #48 *Vermont
#16 *Xavier vs. #49 *Texas Southern
Buffalo
#9 Syracuse vs. #56 *Winthrop
#24 West Virginia vs. #41 Missouri
Milwaukee
#25 Illinois vs. #40 *VCU
#8 Wisconsin vs. #57 *Belmont
WEST REGIONAL (San Francisco)
Cincinnati
#4 *Michigan State vs. #61 *Iona
#29 Memphis vs. #36 Georgetown
Pittsburgh
#20 Oklahoma vs. #45 Creighton/San Diego State
#13 Villanova vs. #52 *Mount Saint Mary’s
San Diego
#12 *Arizona vs. #53 *Georgia State
#21 Oregon vs. #44 *Kent State
Cincinnati
#28 Tennessee vs. #37 Iowa State
#5 *Kentucky vs. #60 *Liberty
EAST REGIONAL (Philadelphia)
Greenville
#2 *Duke vs. #63 *Penn/*East Tennessee State
#31 Virginia vs. #34 *Cincinnati
Fort Worth
#18 Maryland vs. #47 *Milwaukee
#15 Michigan vs. #50 *Bucknell
Buffalo
#10 UConn vs. #55 *Utah State
#23 Purdue vs. #42 *Northern Iowa
Portland
#26 Baylor vs. #39 NC State
#7 *Gonzaga vs. #58 *Montana
SOUTH REGIONAL (San Antonio)
Greenville
#3 *North Carolina vs. #62 *New Mexico State
#30 Indiana vs. #35 Oklahoma State
Milwaukee
#19 Butler vs. #46 Temple/BYU
#14 Louisville vs. #51 *North Dakota State
San Diego
#11 UCLA vs. #54 *Northwestern State
#22 Texas vs. #43 *Western Kentucky
Pittsburgh
#27 Pitt vs. #38 USC
#6 Florida vs. #59 *UNC-Wilmington
_________________________
Last 4 In: Creighton, San Diego State, Temple, BYU (last team in)
First 4 Out: Stanford (first team out), Kansas State, Arkansas, Cal
Non-Power 6 At-Larges (4): BYU, Memphis, San Diego State, Temple
Movin’ On In (9) : Baylor, East Tennessee State, Liberty, Mount Saint Mary’s, North Dakota State, Northwestern State, UCSB, USC, Utah State
Movin’ On Out (9): Cal, Florida Gulf Coast, Hawaii, Kansas State, LIU, South Dakota State, Stanford, Stephen F. Austin, Wofford
The 68 teams (32 automatic qualifiers, 36 at-large) are determined by the number of NCAA Tournament appearances since the 1999-2000 season. The school with the most tourney appearances from each conference is deemed the automatic qualifier (i.e. Michigan State has appeared in every tourney since 1999-2000, so the Spartans get the Big Ten’s auto bid). The same thing applies to determine the 36 at-large bids.
Once the 68 teams are identified, seeding then is determined strictly by the number of NCAA Tournament wins by each school since the 1999-2000 season, with one exception. The last 4 at-large teams automatically will be slotted as the top 4 (of 6) #12 seeds.
2022 NCAA Tournament sites are used for the projection. An * denotes an automatic qualifier.
MIDWEST REGIONAL (Chicago)
Fort Worth
#1 *Kansas vs. #64 *UCSB/*NCCU
#32 Marquette vs. #33 Notre Dame
Portland
#17 Ohio State vs. #48 *Vermont
#16 *Xavier vs. #49 *Texas Southern
Buffalo
#9 Syracuse vs. #56 *Winthrop
#24 West Virginia vs. #41 Missouri
Milwaukee
#25 Illinois vs. #40 *VCU
#8 Wisconsin vs. #57 *Belmont
WEST REGIONAL (San Francisco)
Cincinnati
#4 *Michigan State vs. #61 *Iona
#29 Memphis vs. #36 Georgetown
Pittsburgh
#20 Oklahoma vs. #45 Creighton/San Diego State
#13 Villanova vs. #52 *Mount Saint Mary’s
San Diego
#12 *Arizona vs. #53 *Georgia State
#21 Oregon vs. #44 *Kent State
Cincinnati
#28 Tennessee vs. #37 Iowa State
#5 *Kentucky vs. #60 *Liberty
EAST REGIONAL (Philadelphia)
Greenville
#2 *Duke vs. #63 *Penn/*East Tennessee State
#31 Virginia vs. #34 *Cincinnati
Fort Worth
#18 Maryland vs. #47 *Milwaukee
#15 Michigan vs. #50 *Bucknell
Buffalo
#10 UConn vs. #55 *Utah State
#23 Purdue vs. #42 *Northern Iowa
Portland
#26 Baylor vs. #39 NC State
#7 *Gonzaga vs. #58 *Montana
SOUTH REGIONAL (San Antonio)
Greenville
#3 *North Carolina vs. #62 *New Mexico State
#30 Indiana vs. #35 Oklahoma State
Milwaukee
#19 Butler vs. #46 Temple/BYU
#14 Louisville vs. #51 *North Dakota State
San Diego
#11 UCLA vs. #54 *Northwestern State
#22 Texas vs. #43 *Western Kentucky
Pittsburgh
#27 Pitt vs. #38 USC
#6 Florida vs. #59 *UNC-Wilmington
_________________________
Last 4 In: Creighton, San Diego State, Temple, BYU (last team in)
First 4 Out: Stanford (first team out), Kansas State, Arkansas, Cal
Non-Power 6 At-Larges (4): BYU, Memphis, San Diego State, Temple
Movin’ On In (9) : Baylor, East Tennessee State, Liberty, Mount Saint Mary’s, North Dakota State, Northwestern State, UCSB, USC, Utah State
Movin’ On Out (9): Cal, Florida Gulf Coast, Hawaii, Kansas State, LIU, South Dakota State, Stanford, Stephen F. Austin, Wofford
