In-depth article from The Athletic on what the signing of SImmons means to the Twins D -
Just stay healthy.
Major question marks surrounding the health of shortstop Jorge Polanco, third baseman Josh Donaldson and second baseman Luis Arraez, combined with the free-agent departures of backups Marwin González and Ehire Adrianza, made improved infield depth an obvious priority for the Twins this offseason as they look to fend off Chicago and Cleveland for a third straight AL Central title.
At a minimum, they had to find upgrades over González and Adrianza, both of whom struggled in 2020 and could no longer be counted on to provide the type of insurance the Twins needed behind Polanco, Donaldson and Arraez. But it quickly became clear the front office had larger ambitions. It wasn’t just better depth the Twins were after. They wanted to shake up the infield as a whole.
After months of biding their time, confident that good value would eventually shake loose from a deep free-agent class of infielders, the Twins finally did just that on Tuesday,
signing four-time Gold Glove-winning shortstop Andrelton Simmons to a one-year, $10.5 million deal. With one move, they have a new starting shortstop, a new starting second baseman and a new utility man.
How’s that for improved infield depth?
Simmons’ four Gold Gloves are the seventh-most ever and his metrics suggest that actually underrates his fielding greatness. No shortstop has ever had more Defensive Runs Saved than Simmons (plus-191) through age 30, and he trails only 11-time Gold Glove winner Ozzie Smith (plus-239) and eight-time Gold Glove winner Mark Belanger (plus-240) on the career DRS leaderboard.
He’s a big, physical shortstop who attacks balls in every direction with a mix of plus range, uncanny instincts and unmatched arm strength, capable of amazing plays punctuated by jaw-dropping throws. His numbers were merely average in the small sample of last season, in part due to returning ahead of schedule from an ankle injury, but from 2012-2019 he rated plus-30 runs per 150 games.
Hard work and smart positioning by Twins coaches helped Polanco improve at shortstop, but he simply lacks the range and arm strength to ever be more than adequate at the position and even that might be wishful thinking
coming off a second ankle surgery. Not only is Simmons a massive upgrade at shortstop, his arrival pushes Polanco to second base, where he has a chance to be a real asset.
Similar to Polanco at shortstop, Arraez is stretched at second base because of limited athleticism, and knee injuries threaten to further reduce his range. For now, the plan is to use him in a González-like super-utility role, where he’ll see plenty of time at second base, along with third base, designated hitter, left field and perhaps even shortstop, although Polanco could remain the backup there.
González started 72 percent of the Twins’ games the past two seasons despite not playing particularly well, so manager Rocco Baldelli should be able to find something resembling an everyday role for Arraez even if he’s not technically a starter. Assuming the Twins aren’t blown away by a trade offer, Arraez will still get 500 at-bats in a full season and added rest might be the best thing for his knees long term.
Five starting-caliber infielders for four lineup spots — plus occasional outfield action for Arraez — is an ideal scenario given the many injury worries. And if Polanco’s transition to second base goes as smoothly as his skill set suggests, the Twins could boast average-or-better defenders at every space on the diamond, including elite gloves at shortstop, center field, third base and right field.
Last season, the Twins ranked 15th out of 30 teams at converting balls in play into outs, including 21st on ground balls. They tried to mask the deficiencies of Polanco and Arraez with clever shifting, but range-based limitations can only be hidden so much. They were as bad in 2019, ranking 22nd on ground balls. That’s going to change with Simmons and Donaldson manning the left side.
Like most great-fielding shortstops, Simmons isn’t a great hitter, but his bat is anything but a negative relative to the position. He rarely walks and averaged just 10 homers per 150 games since joining the Angels in 2016, but Simmons also had the majors’ lowest strikeout rate over that span, hitting .281/.328/.394 for a .722 OPS within shouting distance of the .744 average for all shortstops.
Simmons’ straight-line speed was always lacking relative to other shortstops, and he’s gotten even slower with age, yet he’s been a very efficient low-volume base-stealer, swiping an average of 14 bases per 150 games at an 82.3 percent clip since 2016. His thievery comes via impeccable timing and off-the-charts baseball IQ, taking advantage of defensive lapses by the other team.
Great fielding paired with average-ish hitting made Simmons one of the game’s most valuable all-around players the past five years, amassing 20.9 Wins Above Replacement to rank 18th among all MLB position players and fourth among all shortstops behind Francisco Lindor (24.7), Carlos Correa (21.5) and Trevor Story (21.0). During that time, he averaged 5.6 WAR per 150 games.
At age 31, and coming off a season in which he played just 30 of 60 games, he’s not without risk, but that level of all-around impact at a premium position for $10.5 million is exceptional value in a market where another Twins shortstop target, Marcus Semien, got $18 million for one year, and utility men Jurickson Profar and Enrique Hernández got $7 million per season for multiple years.
They added a potentially great player, dramatically remade the infield to boost both depth and defense without totally sacrificing offense, avoided a multi-year commitment that would have blocked 21-year-old prospect Royce Lewis’ path to the shortstop job in 2022 and did so while seemingly leaving enough room under their (self-imposed) payroll limit to re-sign Nelson Cruz.